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Targeting migration with limited control: the case of the UK and the EU

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  • Cinzia Rienzo
  • Carlos Vargas-Silva

Abstract

Since 2010 the UK Government has aimed to reduce net-migration. The UK Government cannot restrict EEA migration, and it has focused instead on restricting non-EEA migration, including closing routes intended for non-EEA high-skilled workers. We identify a possible substitution effect in this context: restricting one type of migration may lead to an increase in an unrestricted type (i.e., ‘balloon effect’). We present evidence which is consistent with this substitution effect for the case of high-skilled migrant workers in the UK. We also construct counterfactual estimates of the number of different types of migrant workers in the UK with pre-policies conditions. Copyright Rienzo and Vargas-Silva. 2015

Suggested Citation

  • Cinzia Rienzo & Carlos Vargas-Silva, 2015. "Targeting migration with limited control: the case of the UK and the EU," IZA Journal of European Labor Studies, Springer;Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit GmbH (IZA), vol. 4(1), pages 1-19, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:izaels:v:4:y:2015:i:1:p:1-19:10.1186/s40174-015-0039-9
    DOI: 10.1186/s40174-015-0039-9
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Rienzo, Cinzia, 2020. "Trick or treat? The Brexit effect on immigrants’ wellbeing in the UK," GLO Discussion Paper Series 586, Global Labor Organization (GLO).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    F22; J24; High-skilled workers; Balloon effect; Net migration; United Kingdom; European Union;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F22 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Migration
    • J24 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Human Capital; Skills; Occupational Choice; Labor Productivity

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