IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/futbus/v9y2023i1d10.1186_s43093-023-00203-6.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Do capital inflows affect domestic bank credit? Empirical evidence from India

Author

Listed:
  • Zeeshan Nezami Ansari

    (Indian Institute of Technology)

  • Muzffar Hussain Dar

    (Aligarh Muslim University)

  • Shadman Zafar

    (Aligarh Muslim University)

Abstract

This paper studies multivariate dynamic analysis of capital inflows in relation with domestic bank’s credit which has not been investigated earlier adequately in the context of Indian economy. Using autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model, we find the existence of co-integration over the period 1991 Q3 to 2022 Q1. The long-run ARDL regression model results show net equity inflows, i.e. net foreign direct investment, and net non-equity inflows, i.e. foreign loan, are significant to influence domestic bank credit. Result also reveals that depreciation of exchange rate and current account (trade) deficit increase bank credit. Outcome of this research contributes significantly to frame effective monetary policy in the Indian context.

Suggested Citation

  • Zeeshan Nezami Ansari & Muzffar Hussain Dar & Shadman Zafar, 2023. "Do capital inflows affect domestic bank credit? Empirical evidence from India," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 9(1), pages 1-10, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:futbus:v:9:y:2023:i:1:d:10.1186_s43093-023-00203-6
    DOI: 10.1186/s43093-023-00203-6
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1186/s43093-023-00203-6
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1186/s43093-023-00203-6?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Robin Boudias, 2015. "Capital inflows, exchange rate regimes and credit dynamics in emerging market economies," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 143, pages 80-97.
    2. Baskaya, Yusuf Soner & di Giovanni, Julian & Kalemli-Özcan, Şebnem & Peydro, José-Luis & Ulu, Mehmet Fatih, 2017. "Capital flows and the international credit channel," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(S1), pages 15-22.
    3. Kalpana Sahoo & Narayan Sethi, 2017. "Impact of Foreign Capital on Economic Development in India: An Econometric Investigation," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 18(3), pages 766-780, June.
    4. Özgür Orhangazi, 2014. "Capital Flows and Credit Expansions in Turkey," Review of Radical Political Economics, Union for Radical Political Economics, vol. 46(4), pages 509-516, December.
    5. Nicolas E. Magud & Carmen M. Reinhart & Esteban R. Vesperoni, 2014. "Capital Inflows, Exchange Rate Flexibility and Credit Booms," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 18(3), pages 415-430, August.
    6. Ranjan, Rajiv & Kumar, Sunil, 2012. "An Empirical Investigation of the Impact of Capital Inflows on Domestic Investment in India," Indian Economic Review, Department of Economics, Delhi School of Economics, vol. 47(1), pages 15-32.
    7. Fabia A. de Carvalho & Marcos R. Castro, 2015. "Foreign Capital Flows, Credit Growth and Macroprudential Policy in a DSGE Model with Traditional and Matter-of-Fact Financial Frictions," Working Papers Series 387, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    8. Esteban Gómez & Andrés Murcia & Nancy Zamundio, 2014. "Foreign Debt Flows and the Credit Market: A Principal Agent Approach," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, vol. 32(73), pages 87-103, July.
    9. Rakesh Mohan, 2008. "Capital flows to India," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Financial globalisation and emerging market capital flows, volume 44, pages 235-263, Bank for International Settlements.
    10. Furceri, Davide & Guichard, Stéphanie & Rusticelli, Elena, 2012. "The effect of episodes of large capital inflows on domestic credit," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 23(3), pages 325-344.
    11. Philip R. Lane & Peter McQuade, 2014. "Domestic Credit Growth and International Capital Flows," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 116(1), pages 218-252, January.
    12. Yoel Hecht & Assaf Razin & Nitzan Gad Shinar, 2004. "Interactions between Capital Inflows and Domestic Investment: Israel and Developing Economies," Israel Economic Review, Bank of Israel, vol. 2(2), pages 1-14.
    13. Deniz Igan & Zhibo Tan, 2017. "Capital Inflows, Credit Growth, and Financial Systems," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(12), pages 2649-2671, December.
    14. Samarina, Anna & Bezemer, Dirk, 2016. "Do capital flows change domestic credit allocation?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 98-121.
    15. Claudio Borio & Robert McCauley & Patrick McGuire, 2011. "Global credit and domestic credit booms," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Daniel Carvalho & Etienne Lepers & Rogelio Jr Mercado, 2021. "Taming the "Capital Flows-Credit Nexus": A Sectoral Approach," Trinity Economics Papers tep0921, Trinity College Dublin, Department of Economics.
    2. Daniel Carvalho, 2021. "Revisiting the relationship between cross‐border capital flows and credit," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 24(2), pages 179-218, August.
    3. Bezemer, Dirk & Zhang, L, 2014. "From boom to bust in the credit cycle," Research Report 14025-GEM, University of Groningen, Research Institute SOM (Systems, Organisations and Management).
    4. Alexander Raabe & Christiane Kneer, 2019. "Tracking Foreign Capital: The Effect of Capital Inflows on Bank Lending in the UK," IHEID Working Papers 10-2019, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.
    5. Samarina, Anna & Bezemer, Dirk, 2016. "Do capital flows change domestic credit allocation?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 98-121.
    6. Gozgor, Giray, 2018. "Determinants of the domestic credits in developing economies: The role of political risks," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 430-443.
    7. Puspa D. Amri & Greg M. Richey & Thomas D. Willett, 2016. "Capital Surges and Credit Booms: How Tight is the Relationship?," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 27(4), pages 637-670, September.
    8. Gozgor, Giray, 2014. "Determinants of domestic credit levels in emerging markets: The role of external factors," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 18(C), pages 1-18.
    9. repec:dgr:rugsom:14025-gem is not listed on IDEAS
    10. repec:dgr:rugsom:14021-gem is not listed on IDEAS
    11. Samarina, Anna & Bezemer, Dirk, 2014. "Capital Flows and Financial Intermediation: is EMU different?," Research Report 14021-GEM, University of Groningen, Research Institute SOM (Systems, Organisations and Management).
    12. Varlik Serdar & Berument M. Hakan, 2016. "Credit channel and capital flows: a macroprudential policy tool? Evidence from Turkey," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 16(1), pages 145-170, January.
    13. Akhilesh K. Verma & Rajeswari Sengupta, 2021. "Interlinkages between external debt financing, credit cycles and output fluctuations in emerging market economies," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 157(4), pages 965-1001, November.
    14. Carlos Cantù & Catherine Casanova & Rodrigo Alfaro & Fernando Chertman & Gerald Cisneros & Toni dos Santos & Roberto Lobato & Calixto Lopez & Facundo Luna & David Moreno & Miguel Sarmiento & Rafael Ni, 2022. "How capital inflows translate into new bank lending: tracing the mechanism in Latin America," BIS Working Papers 1051, Bank for International Settlements.
    15. Maurice Obstfeld, 2021. "Trilemmas and Tradeoffs: Living with Financial Globalization," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Steven J Davis & Edward S Robinson & Bernard Yeung (ed.), THE ASIAN MONETARY POLICY FORUM Insights for Central Banking, chapter 2, pages 16-84, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    16. Thi Hong Hanh Pham, 2015. "Determinants of Bank Lending," Working Papers hal-01158241, HAL.
    17. Berrak Bahadir & Neven Valev, 2021. "Global Liquidity and Household Credit," Working Papers 2106, Florida International University, Department of Economics.
    18. Mr. Thorvardur Tjoervi Olafsson, 2018. "Cross-Border Credit Intermediation and Domestic Liquidity Provision in a Small Open Economy," IMF Working Papers 2018/202, International Monetary Fund.
    19. Juan Carlos Cuestas & Karsten Staehr, 2017. "The Great Leveraging in the European crisis countries," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 44(6), pages 895-910, November.
    20. Qamar ABBAS & Muhammad RAMZAN & Sumbal FATIMA, 2022. "Financial development and public debt. Estimating the role of institutional quality," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania / Editura Economica, vol. 0(3(632), A), pages 5-26, Autumn.
    21. Aylin Soydan & Serap Bedir Kara, 2020. "Implications of Capital Flows for Domestic Credit Growth: Evidence from Panel Data Analysis," Eurasian Journal of Economics and Finance, Eurasian Publications, vol. 8(4), pages 231-245.
    22. Li, Xiang & Su, Dan, 2022. "Surges and instability: The maturity shortening channel," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Capital inflows; Domestic bank credit; ARDL model; Co-integration; India;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers
    • F33 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:futbus:v:9:y:2023:i:1:d:10.1186_s43093-023-00203-6. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.