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Migration from New-Accession Countries and Duration Expectancy in the EU-15: 2002–2008

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  • Jack DeWaard

    (University of Minnesota)

  • Jasmine Trang Ha

    (University of Minnesota)

  • James Raymer

    (Australian National University)

  • Arkadiusz Wiśniowski

    (University of Manchester)

Abstract

European Union (EU) enlargements in 2004 and 2007 were accompanied by increased migration from new-accession to established-member (EU-15) countries. The impacts of these flows depend, in part, on the amount of time that persons from the former countries live in the latter over the life course. In this paper, we develop period estimates of duration expectancy in EU-15 countries among persons from new-accession countries. Using a newly developed set of harmonized Bayesian estimates of migration flows each year from 2002 to 2008 from the Integrated Modelling of European Migration Project, we exploit period age patterns of country-to-country migration and mortality to summarize the average number of years that persons from new-accession countries could be expected to live in EU-15 countries over the life course. In general, the results show that the amount of time that persons from new-accession countries could be expected to live in the EU-15 nearly doubled after 2004.

Suggested Citation

  • Jack DeWaard & Jasmine Trang Ha & James Raymer & Arkadiusz Wiśniowski, 2017. "Migration from New-Accession Countries and Duration Expectancy in the EU-15: 2002–2008," European Journal of Population, Springer;European Association for Population Studies, vol. 33(1), pages 33-53, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:eurpop:v:33:y:2017:i:1:d:10.1007_s10680-016-9383-3
    DOI: 10.1007/s10680-016-9383-3
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    Cited by:

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    2. Willekens Frans, 2019. "Evidence-Based Monitoring of International Migration Flows in Europe," Journal of Official Statistics, Sciendo, vol. 35(1), pages 231-277, March.

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