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Population and labour force projections for 27 European countries, 2002-052: impact of international migration on population ageing

Author

Listed:
  • Jakub Bijak

    (Central European Forum for Migration Research)

  • Dorota Kupiszewska

    (Central European Forum for Migration Research)

  • Marek Kupiszewski

    (Central European Forum for Migration Research)

  • Katarzyna Saczuk

    (Central European Forum for Migration Research)

  • Anna Kicinger

    (Central European Forum for Migration Research)

Abstract

Population and labour force projections are made for 27 selected European countries for 2002-052, focussing on the impact of international migration on population and labour force dynamics. Starting from single scenarios for fertility, mortality and economic activity, three sets of assumptions are explored regarding migration flows, taking into account probable policy developments in Europe following the enlargement of the EU. In addition to age structures, various support ratio indicators are analysed. The results indicate that plausible immigration cannot offset the negative effects of population and labour force ageing.

Suggested Citation

  • Jakub Bijak & Dorota Kupiszewska & Marek Kupiszewski & Katarzyna Saczuk & Anna Kicinger, 2007. "Population and labour force projections for 27 European countries, 2002-052: impact of international migration on population ageing," European Journal of Population, Springer;European Association for Population Studies, vol. 23(1), pages 1-31, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:eurpop:v:23:y:2007:i:1:d:10.1007_s10680-006-9110-6
    DOI: 10.1007/s10680-006-9110-6
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    5. Frank T. Denton & Byron G. Spencer, 2015. "A Simulation Analysis of the Longer-Term Effects of Immigration on Per Capita Income in an Aging Population," Department of Economics Working Papers 2015-14, McMaster University.
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