IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/endesu/v24y2022i4d10.1007_s10668-021-01676-7.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Demand side management for electricity in Iran: cost and emission analysis using LEAP modeling framework

Author

Listed:
  • Mina Masoomi

    (Islamic Azad University)

  • Mostafa Panahi

    (Islamic Azad University)

  • Reza Samadi

    (SATBA - Ministry of Energy)

Abstract

In recent years, escalating cost of generating electricity, substantial investments with the purpose of building power plants, and environmental pollution related to the power generation have underlined the importance of optimal power supply and demand management. Given that, by employing Long-range Energy Alternatives Planning (LEAP) software, the present study set out to optimize the energy system of Iran through two model capabilities, namely electric sector optimization and simulation. To do so, the energy system was initially evaluated by optimizing Iran's demand for electricity by the Demand Side Management (DSM) scenario. Then, Iran's electricity sector was optimized to generate electricity at the lowest cost by setting emission roof with different scenarios, especially the Optimized scenario. The social cost and GHG emission were evaluated in both steps. The prospective social costs of the electricity generation sector based on Optimized and DSM scenarios were calculated to be 5.1 and 4.8 Billion U.S. Dollars in 2035. Regarding the environmental results of the study, the emission rates of pollutants based on Optimized and DSM scenarios were reported to be144 and 429 $${\mathrm{MtCO}}_{2}$$ MtCO 2 for the same year.

Suggested Citation

  • Mina Masoomi & Mostafa Panahi & Reza Samadi, 2022. "Demand side management for electricity in Iran: cost and emission analysis using LEAP modeling framework," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 24(4), pages 5667-5693, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:endesu:v:24:y:2022:i:4:d:10.1007_s10668-021-01676-7
    DOI: 10.1007/s10668-021-01676-7
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10668-021-01676-7
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10668-021-01676-7?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Nadia S. Ouedraogo, 2017. "Modeling sustainable long-term electricity supply–demand in Africa," WIDER Working Paper Series 023, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    2. Yang, Dewei & Liu, Dandan & Huang, Anmin & Lin, Jianyi & Xu, Lingxing, 2021. "Critical transformation pathways and socio-environmental benefits of energy substitution using a LEAP scenario modeling," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 135(C).
    3. Park, Sangwon & Lee, Seungmoon & Jeong, Suk Jae & Song, Ho-Jun & Park, Jin-Won, 2010. "Assessment of CO2 emissions and its reduction potential in the Korean petroleum refining industry using energy-environment models," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 35(6), pages 2419-2429.
    4. Cai, Wenjia & Wang, Can & Chen, Jining & Wang, Ke & Zhang, Ying & Lu, Xuedu, 2008. "Comparison of CO2 emission scenarios and mitigation opportunities in China's five sectors in 2020," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 1181-1194, March.
    5. Park, Kyungtae & Shin, Dongil & Yoon, En Sup, 2011. "The cost of energy analysis and energy planning for emerging, fossil fuel power plants based on the climate change scenarios," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 36(5), pages 3606-3612.
    6. Ouedraogo, Nadia S., 2017. "Modeling sustainable long-term electricity supply-demand in Africa," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 190(C), pages 1047-1067.
    7. Schmidt, J. & Kemmetmüller, W. & Kugi, A., 2017. "Modeling and static optimization of a variable speed pumped storage power plant," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 38-51.
    8. Good, Nicholas, 2019. "Using behavioural economic theory in modelling of demand response," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(C), pages 107-116.
    9. Prina, Matteo Giacomo & Lionetti, Matteo & Manzolini, Giampaolo & Sparber, Wolfram & Moser, David, 2019. "Transition pathways optimization methodology through EnergyPLAN software for long-term energy planning," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 235(C), pages 356-368.
    10. Bautista, Santiago, 2012. "A sustainable scenario for Venezuelan power generation sector in 2050 and its costs," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 331-340.
    11. Ates, Seyithan A., 2015. "Energy efficiency and CO2 mitigation potential of the Turkish iron and steel industry using the LEAP (long-range energy alternatives planning) system," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 90(P1), pages 417-428.
    12. Henrik Lund & Finn Arler & Poul Alberg Østergaard & Frede Hvelplund & David Connolly & Brian Vad Mathiesen & Peter Karnøe, 2017. "Simulation versus Optimisation: Theoretical Positions in Energy System Modelling," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(7), pages 1-17, June.
    13. Erum Rehman & Muhammad Ikram & Shazia Rehman & Ma Tie Feng, 2021. "Growing green? Sectoral-based prediction of GHG emission in Pakistan: a novel NDGM and doubling time model approach," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 23(8), pages 12169-12191, August.
    14. Ouedraogo, Nadia S., 2017. "Africa energy future: Alternative scenarios and their implications for sustainable development strategies," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 457-471.
    15. Ilaria Perissi & Gianluca Martelloni & Ugo Bardi & Davide Natalini & Aled Jones & Angel Nikolaev & Lukas Eggler & Martin Baumann & Roger Samsó & Jordi Solé, 2021. "Cross-Validation of the MEDEAS Energy-Economy-Environment Model with the Integrated MARKAL-EFOM System (TIMES) and the Long-Range Energy Alternatives Planning System (LEAP)," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(4), pages 1-27, February.
    16. Pukšec, Tomislav & Mathiesen, Brian Vad & Novosel, Tomislav & Duić, Neven, 2014. "Assessing the impact of energy saving measures on the future energy demand and related GHG (greenhouse gas) emission reduction of Croatia," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 198-209.
    17. Farrokhifar, Meisam & Nie, Yinghui & Pozo, David, 2020. "Energy systems planning: A survey on models for integrated power and natural gas networks coordination," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 262(C).
    18. Ferguson, Ross & Wilkinson, William & Hill, Robert, 2000. "Electricity use and economic development," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 28(13), pages 923-934, November.
    19. McPherson, Madeleine & Karney, Bryan, 2014. "Long-term scenario alternatives and their implications: LEAP model application of Panama׳s electricity sector," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 146-157.
    20. Kachoee, Mohammad Sadegh & Salimi, Mohsen & Amidpour, Majid, 2018. "The long-term scenario and greenhouse gas effects cost-benefit analysis of Iran's electricity sector," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 143(C), pages 585-596.
    21. Zhao, Xiaoli & Ma, Qian & Yang, Rui, 2013. "Factors influencing CO2 emissions in China's power industry: Co-integration analysis," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 89-98.
    22. Lauer, Markus & Leprich, Uwe & Thrän, Daniela, 2020. "Economic assessment of flexible power generation from biogas plants in Germany's future electricity system," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 146(C), pages 1471-1485.
    23. Chung, Whan-Sam & Kim, Seung-Su & Moon, Kee-Hwan & Lim, Chae-Young & Yun, Sung-Won, 2017. "A conceptual framework for energy security evaluation of power sources in South Korea," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 137(C), pages 1066-1074.
    24. Shrestha, Ram M. & Marpaung, Charles O.P., 2006. "Integrated resource planning in the power sector and economy-wide changes in environmental emissions," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 34(18), pages 3801-3811, December.
    25. Ming, Zeng & Song, Xue & Mingjuan, Ma & Lingyun, Li & Min, Cheng & Yuejin, Wang, 2013. "Historical review of demand side management in China: Management content, operation mode, results assessment and relative incentives," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 470-482.
    26. Nadia S. Ouedraogo, 2017. "Modeling sustainable long-term electricity supply-demand in Africa," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2017-23, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    27. Le, Thai-Ha & Nguyen, Canh Phuc, 2019. "Is energy security a driver for economic growth? Evidence from a global sample," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 129(C), pages 436-451.
    28. Chontanawat, Jaruwan & Wiboonchutikula, Paitoon & Buddhivanich, Atinat, 2014. "Decomposition analysis of the change of energy intensity of manufacturing industries in Thailand," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 171-182.
    29. Letschert, Virginie & Desroches, Louis-Benoit & Ke, Jing & McNeil, Michael, 2013. "Energy efficiency – How far can we raise the bar? Revealing the potential of best available technologies," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 72-82.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. El-Sayed, Ahmed Hassan A. & Khalil, Adel & Yehia, Mohamed, 2023. "Modeling alternative scenarios for Egypt 2050 energy mix based on LEAP analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 266(C).
    2. Mahdi Asadi & Iman Larki & Mohammad Mahdi Forootan & Rouhollah Ahmadi & Meisam Farajollahi, 2023. "Long-Term Scenario Analysis of Electricity Supply and Demand in Iran: Time Series Analysis, Renewable Electricity Development, Energy Efficiency and Conservation," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(5), pages 1-24, March.
    3. Malka, Lorenc & Bidaj, Flamur & Kuriqi, Alban & Jaku, Aldona & Roçi, Rexhina & Gebremedhin, Alemayehu, 2023. "Energy system analysis with a focus on future energy demand projections: The case of Norway," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 272(C).
    4. Alicja Kolasa-Więcek & Agnieszka A. Pilarska & Małgorzata Wzorek & Dariusz Suszanowicz & Piotr Boniecki, 2023. "Modeling the Consumption of Main Fossil Fuels in Greenhouse Gas Emissions in European Countries, Considering Gross Domestic Product and Population," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(23), pages 1-18, December.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Bissiri, M. & Moura, P. & Figueiredo, N.C. & Silva, P.P., 2020. "Towards a renewables-based future for West African States: A review of power systems planning approaches," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    2. Dioha, Michael O. & Kumar, Atul, 2020. "Exploring the energy system impacts of Nigeria's Nationally Determined Contributions and low-carbon transition to mid-century," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    3. Nieves, J.A. & Aristizábal, A.J. & Dyner, I. & Báez, O. & Ospina, D.H., 2019. "Energy demand and greenhouse gas emissions analysis in Colombia: A LEAP model application," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 169(C), pages 380-397.
    4. Trotter, Philipp A., 2022. "The slow transition to solar, wind and other non-hydro renewables in Africa – Responding to and building on a critique by Kincer, Moss and Thurber (2021)," World Development Perspectives, Elsevier, vol. 25(C).
    5. Halkos, George & Tzeremes, Panagiotis, 2015. "Scenario analysis on greenhouse gas emissions reduction in Southeast Balkans' energy system," MPRA Paper 65280, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Padi, Richard Kingsley & Chimphango, Annie, 2021. "Assessing the potential of integrating cassava residues-based bioenergy into national energy mix using long-range Energy Alternatives Planning systems approach," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
    7. El-Sayed, Ahmed Hassan A. & Khalil, Adel & Yehia, Mohamed, 2023. "Modeling alternative scenarios for Egypt 2050 energy mix based on LEAP analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 266(C).
    8. Zhou, Kaile & Yang, Shanlin & Shen, Chao & Ding, Shuai & Sun, Chaoping, 2015. "Energy conservation and emission reduction of China’s electric power industry," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 10-19.
    9. Shahid, Muhammad & Ullah, Kafait & Imran, Kashif & Masroor, Neha & Sajid, Muhammad Bilal, 2022. "Economic and environmental analysis of green transport penetration in Pakistan," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 166(C).
    10. Prasad, Ravita D. & Raturi, Atul, 2019. "Low carbon alternatives and their implications for Fiji's electricity sector," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 1-19.
    11. Ates, Seyithan A., 2015. "Energy efficiency and CO2 mitigation potential of the Turkish iron and steel industry using the LEAP (long-range energy alternatives planning) system," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 90(P1), pages 417-428.
    12. Vicente Sebastian Espinoza & Veronica Guayanlema & Javier Mart nez-G mez, 2018. "Energy Efficiency Plan Benefits in Ecuador: Long-range Energy Alternative Planning Model," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 8(4), pages 52-54.
    13. Bissiri, Mounirah & Moura, Pedro & Figueiredo, Nuno Carvalho & Pereira da Silva, Patrícia, 2020. "A geospatial approach towards defining cost-optimal electrification pathways in West Africa," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 200(C).
    14. Handayani, Kamia & Krozer, Yoram & Filatova, Tatiana, 2017. "Trade-offs between electrification and climate change mitigation: An analysis of the Java-Bali power system in Indonesia," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 208(C), pages 1020-1037.
    15. Østergaard, P.A. & Lund, H. & Thellufsen, J.Z. & Sorknæs, P. & Mathiesen, B.V., 2022. "Review and validation of EnergyPLAN," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
    16. Santika, Wayan G. & Anisuzzaman, M. & Simsek, Yeliz & Bahri, Parisa A. & Shafiullah, G.M. & Urmee, Tania, 2020. "Implications of the Sustainable Development Goals on national energy demand: The case of Indonesia," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 196(C).
    17. Xinyu Han & Rongrong Li, 2019. "Comparison of Forecasting Energy Consumption in East Africa Using the MGM, NMGM, MGM-ARIMA, and NMGM-ARIMA Model," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(17), pages 1-24, August.
    18. Nyiko Worship Hlongwane & Olebogeng David Daw, 2023. "Electricity Consumption and Population Growth in South Africa: A Panel Approach," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(3), pages 374-383, May.
    19. Riva, Fabio & Gardumi, Francesco & Tognollo, Annalisa & Colombo, Emanuela, 2019. "Soft-linking energy demand and optimisation models for local long-term electricity planning: An application to rural India," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 166(C), pages 32-46.
    20. Hlongwane, Nyiko Worship & Daw, Olebogeng David, 2022. "Electricity consumption and population growth in South Africa: A panel approach," MPRA Paper 113828, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:endesu:v:24:y:2022:i:4:d:10.1007_s10668-021-01676-7. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.