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Real estate listings and their usefulness for hedonic regressions

Author

Listed:
  • Jens Kolbe

    (Technische Universität Berlin)

  • Rainer Schulz

    (University of Aberdeen Business School)

  • Martin Wersing

    (University of Aberdeen Business School)

  • Axel Werwatz

    (Technische Universität Berlin)

Abstract

Real estate platforms provide a new source of data which has already been used as a substitute for transaction data in hedonic regression applications. This paper asks whether it is valid to do so in the established research areas of (1) willingness to pay estimation, (2) automated valuations, and (3) price index construction. It therefore compares listings and transaction data and regression results derived from them. We find that ask prices stochastically dominate sale prices, mainly because the composition of characteristics differs between the two data sets. But estimates of implicit prices also differ. As a result, willingness to pay estimates from listings data can be widely off when compared with estimates from transaction data. Listings data are not very useful to predict market values of individual houses either, as these predictions suffer from upward bias and large error variance. We find, however, that an ask price index complements a sale price index, as it is useful for nowcasting.

Suggested Citation

  • Jens Kolbe & Rainer Schulz & Martin Wersing & Axel Werwatz, 2021. "Real estate listings and their usefulness for hedonic regressions," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(6), pages 3239-3269, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:empeco:v:61:y:2021:i:6:d:10.1007_s00181-020-01992-3
    DOI: 10.1007/s00181-020-01992-3
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    2. Trojanek, Radoslaw & Gluszak, Michal, 2022. "Short-run impact of the Ukrainian refugee crisis on the housing market in Poland," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    3. Bricongne, Jean-Charles & Meunier, Baptiste & Pouget, Sylvain, 2023. "Web-scraping housing prices in real-time: The Covid-19 crisis in the UK," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 59(PB).
    4. Hill, Robert J. & Trojanek, Radoslaw, 2022. "An evaluation of competing methods for constructing house price indexes: The case of Warsaw," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    5. Pfeifer Norbert & Steurer Miriam, 2022. "Early Real Estate Indicators during the COVID-19 Crisis," Journal of Official Statistics, Sciendo, vol. 38(1), pages 319-351, March.
    6. Michał Hebdzyński, 2024. "Price-setting factors or revealed preferences? How to understand the results of hedonic models and hedonic indices of the housing rental market that base on listings data?," Bank i Kredyt, Narodowy Bank Polski, vol. 55(4), pages 519-550.
    7. Natividad Guadalajara & Miguel Ángel López & Adina Iftimi & Antonio Usai, 2021. "Influence of the Cadastral Value of the Urban Land and Neighborhood Characteristics on the Mean House Mortgage Appraisal," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(3), pages 1-17, March.
    8. Mateusz Tomal & Marco Helbich, 2023. "A spatial autoregressive geographically weighted quantile regression to explore housing rent determinants in Amsterdam and Warsaw," Environment and Planning B, , vol. 50(3), pages 579-599, March.
    9. Robert J. Hill & Norbert Pfeifer & Miriam Steurer & Radoslaw Trojanek, 2021. "Warning: Some Transaction Prices can be Detrimental to your House Price Index," Graz Economics Papers 2021-11, University of Graz, Department of Economics.
    10. Kionka, Marlene & Kuethe, Todd H. & Musshoff, Oliver & Odening, Martin & Ritter, Matthias, 2022. "Bargaining Power in the Agricultural Land Rental Market," 2022 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Anaheim, California 322186, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Hedonic modelling; Nowcasting; Price prediction; Stochastic dominance;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
    • C81 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology; Computer Programs - - - Methodology for Collecting, Estimating, and Organizing Microeconomic Data; Data Access
    • R31 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location - - - Housing Supply and Markets

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