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Can knowledge improve population forecasts at subcounty levels?

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  • Guangqing Chi

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  • Guangqing Chi, 2009. "Can knowledge improve population forecasts at subcounty levels?," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 46(2), pages 405-427, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:demogr:v:46:y:2009:i:2:p:405-427
    DOI: 10.1353/dem.0.0059
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    1. Joao Saboia, 1974. "Modeling and forecasting populations by time series: The Swedish case," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 11(3), pages 483-492, August.
    2. Mincer, Jacob, 1978. "Family Migration Decisions," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 86(5), pages 749-773, October.
    3. Marylou Mandell & Jeffrey Tayman, 1982. "Measuring temporal stability in regression models of population estimation," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 19(1), pages 135-146, February.
    4. Jeff Tayman & Stanley Smith & Jeffrey Lin, 2007. "Precision, bias, and uncertainty for state population forecasts: an exploratory analysis of time series models," Population Research and Policy Review, Springer;Southern Demographic Association (SDA), vol. 26(3), pages 347-369, June.
    5. Graves, Philip E., 1983. "Migration with a composite amenity: the role of rents," MPRA Paper 19917, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Michael Reibel & Michael E Bufalino, 2005. "Street-Weighted Interpolation Techniques for Demographic Count Estimation in Incompatible Zone Systems," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 37(1), pages 127-139, January.
    7. Kenneth Land & David Cantor, 1983. "Arima models of seasonal variation in U. S. birth and death rates," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 20(4), pages 541-568, November.
    8. Graves, Philip E. & Linneman, Peter D., 1979. "Household migration: Theoretical and empirical results," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 6(3), pages 383-404, July.
    9. Smith, Stanley K. & Sincich, Terry, 1992. "Evaluating the forecast accuracy and bias of alternative population projections for states," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 8(3), pages 495-508, November.
    10. Jarque, Carlos M. & Bera, Anil K., 1980. "Efficient tests for normality, homoscedasticity and serial independence of regression residuals," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 6(3), pages 255-259.
    11. Stanley Smith & June Nogle & Scott Cody, 2002. "A regression approach to estimating the average number of persons per household," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 39(4), pages 697-712, November.
    12. I Bracken & D Martin, 1989. "The Generation of Spatial Population Distributions from Census Centroid Data," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 21(4), pages 537-543, April.
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    Cited by:

    1. Atsede D. Tegegne & Marianne Penker & Maria Wurzinger, 2016. "Participatory Demographic Scenarios Addressing Uncertainty and Transformative Change in Ethiopia," Systemic Practice and Action Research, Springer, vol. 29(3), pages 277-296, June.
    2. Dean B Carson & Andreas Koch, 2013. "Divining the local: Mobility, scale and fragmented development," Local Economy, London South Bank University, vol. 28(3), pages 304-319, May.
    3. Jeff Tayman & Stanley Smith & Stefan Rayer, 2011. "Evaluating Population Forecast Accuracy: A Regression Approach Using County Data," Population Research and Policy Review, Springer;Southern Demographic Association (SDA), vol. 30(2), pages 235-262, April.
    4. Sebal Oo & Makoto Tsukai, 2022. "Long-Term Impact of Interregional Migrants on Population Prediction," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-21, May.
    5. Jie Chen & Yujie Liu & Ermei Zhang & Tao Pan & Yanhua Liu, 2022. "Estimating China’s Population over 21st Century: Spatially Explicit Scenarios Consistent with the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs)," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(4), pages 1-17, February.
    6. Tom Wilson & Irina Grossman & Monica Alexander & Phil Rees & Jeromey Temple, 2022. "Methods for Small Area Population Forecasts: State-of-the-Art and Research Needs," Population Research and Policy Review, Springer;Southern Demographic Association (SDA), vol. 41(3), pages 865-898, June.
    7. Michael P. Cameron & William Cochrane, 2015. "Using Land-Use Modelling to Statistically Downscale Population Projections to Small Areas," Working Papers in Economics 15/12, University of Waikato.
    8. Chi, Guangqing & Ho, Hung Chak, 2018. "Population stress: A spatiotemporal analysis of population change and land development at the county level in the contiguous United States, 2001–2011," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 128-137.

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