IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/compst/v34y2019i1d10.1007_s00180-018-0828-5.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Joint modelling of two count variables when one of them can be degenerate

Author

Listed:
  • Jacek Osiewalski

    (Cracow University of Economics)

  • Jerzy Marzec

    (Cracow University of Economics)

Abstract

We formulate a joint statistical model for two variables: one of them is either a count variable or just zero, and the other is a regular count variable. We consider a modelling framework based on switching between a bivariate Poisson regression model and a univariate one, where the switching depends on the observable outcome of the third, dichotomous variable. The ZIP–CP bivariate model (proposed quite recently) and the standard univariate Poisson regression model are used as basic elements of the switching (or mixture) model. Bayesian analysis is advocated; in two special cases of our Bayesian statistical model, consequences for inference are discussed. The empirical part is devoted to joint modelling of the numbers of cash payments and bank card payments in Poland, with the use of data for both cardholders and non-cardholders. Our Bayesian statistical test enables to examine whether it is appropriate to analyse each of two subsamples separately in order to infer on basic parameters. In the case of our data it is so, therefore inference on individual parameters is not affected by the sample selection error. However, inference on the correlation coefficient between two count variables is possible only within the proposed trivariate model.

Suggested Citation

  • Jacek Osiewalski & Jerzy Marzec, 2019. "Joint modelling of two count variables when one of them can be degenerate," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 34(1), pages 153-171, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:compst:v:34:y:2019:i:1:d:10.1007_s00180-018-0828-5
    DOI: 10.1007/s00180-018-0828-5
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s00180-018-0828-5
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s00180-018-0828-5?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ulf Kalckreuth & Tobias Schmidt & Helmut Stix, 2014. "Choosing and using payment instruments: evidence from German microdata," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 46(3), pages 1019-1055, May.
    2. Łukasz Goczek & Bartosz Witkowski, 2016. "Determinants of card payments," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(16), pages 1530-1543, April.
    3. Tom Brijs & Dimitris Karlis & Gilbert Swinnen & Koen Vanhoof & Geert Wets & Puneet Manchanda, 2004. "A multivariate Poisson mixture model for marketing applications," Statistica Neerlandica, Netherlands Society for Statistics and Operations Research, vol. 58(3), pages 322-348, August.
    4. Ian McHale & Phil Scarf, 2007. "Modelling soccer matches using bivariate discrete distributions with general dependence structure," Statistica Neerlandica, Netherlands Society for Statistics and Operations Research, vol. 61(4), pages 432-445, November.
    5. Gianluca Baio & Marta Blangiardo, 2010. "Bayesian hierarchical model for the prediction of football results," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(2), pages 253-264.
    6. Golnaz Shahtahmassebi & Rana Moyeed, 2016. "An application of the generalized Poisson difference distribution to the Bayesian modelling of football scores," Statistica Neerlandica, Netherlands Society for Statistics and Operations Research, vol. 70(3), pages 260-273, August.
    7. Tom Brijs & Filip Van den Bossche & Geert Wets & Dimitris Karlis, 2006. "A model for identifying and ranking dangerous accident locations: a case study in Flanders," Statistica Neerlandica, Netherlands Society for Statistics and Operations Research, vol. 60(4), pages 457-476, November.
    8. Peter Berkhout & Erik Plug, 2004. "A bivariate Poisson count data model using conditional probabilities," Statistica Neerlandica, Netherlands Society for Statistics and Operations Research, vol. 58(3), pages 349-364, August.
    9. Felix Famoye, 2010. "On the bivariate negative binomial regression model," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(6), pages 969-981.
    10. Bermúdez, Lluís & Karlis, Dimitris, 2011. "Bayesian multivariate Poisson models for insurance ratemaking," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 48(2), pages 226-236, March.
    11. van Ophem, Hans, 1999. "A General Method To Estimate Correlated Discrete Random Variables," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 15(2), pages 228-237, April.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Tzougas, George & Makariou, Despoina, 2022. "The multivariate Poisson-Generalized Inverse Gaussian claim count regression model with varying dispersion and shape parameters," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 117197, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    2. Bermúdez, Lluís & Karlis, Dimitris, 2012. "A finite mixture of bivariate Poisson regression models with an application to insurance ratemaking," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(12), pages 3988-3999.
    3. Santos-Fernandez Edgar & Wu Paul & Mengersen Kerrie L., 2019. "Bayesian statistics meets sports: a comprehensive review," Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports, De Gruyter, vol. 15(4), pages 289-312, December.
    4. Lluís Bermúdez & Dimitris Karlis, 2022. "Copula-based bivariate finite mixture regression models with an application for insurance claim count data," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 31(4), pages 1082-1099, December.
    5. Bermúdez, Lluís & Karlis, Dimitris, 2011. "Bayesian multivariate Poisson models for insurance ratemaking," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 48(2), pages 226-236, March.
    6. Lluís Bermúdez & Dimitris Karlis, 2021. "Multivariate INAR(1) Regression Models Based on the Sarmanov Distribution," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(5), pages 1-13, March.
    7. Jacek Pietrucha & Grzegorz Maciejewski, 2020. "Precautionary Demand for Cash and Perceived Risk of Electronic Payments," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(19), pages 1-25, September.
    8. Świecka, Beata & Terefenko, Paweł & Paprotny, Dominik, 2021. "Transaction factors’ influence on the choice of payment by Polish consumers," Journal of Retailing and Consumer Services, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    9. Yuvraj Sunecher & Naushad Mamode Khan & Vandna Jowaheer & Marcelo Bourguignon & Mohammad Arashi, 2019. "A Primer on a Flexible Bivariate Time Series Model for Analyzing First and Second Half Football Goal Scores: The Case of the Big 3 London Rivals in the EPL," Annals of Data Science, Springer, vol. 6(3), pages 531-548, September.
    10. Shi, Peng & Valdez, Emiliano A., 2014. "Multivariate negative binomial models for insurance claim counts," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 18-29.
    11. George Tzougas & Despoina Makariou, 2022. "The multivariate Poisson‐Generalized Inverse Gaussian claim count regression model with varying dispersion and shape parameters," Risk Management and Insurance Review, American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 25(4), pages 401-417, December.
    12. Bijwaard, G.E. & Franses, Ph.H.B.F., 2006. "Does rounding matter for payment efficiency?," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI 2006-43, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
    13. Bruno Karoubi & Régis Chenavaz & Corina Paraschiv, 2016. "Consumers’ perceived risk and hold and use of payment instruments," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(14), pages 1317-1329, March.
    14. Scarf, Philip & Yusof, Muhammad Mat & Bilbao, Mark, 2009. "A numerical study of designs for sporting contests," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 198(1), pages 190-198, October.
    15. Luke S. Benz & Michael J. Lopez, 2023. "Estimating the change in soccer’s home advantage during the Covid-19 pandemic using bivariate Poisson regression," AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, Springer;German Statistical Society, vol. 107(1), pages 205-232, March.
    16. Ramon Alemany & Catalina Bolancé & Roberto Rodrigo & Raluca Vernic, 2020. "Bivariate Mixed Poisson and Normal Generalised Linear Models with Sarmanov Dependence—An Application to Model Claim Frequency and Optimal Transformed Average Severity," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(1), pages 1-18, December.
    17. Catalina Bolancé & Raluca Vernic, 2017. "“Multivariate count data generalized linear models: Three approaches based on the Sarmanov distribution”," IREA Working Papers 201718, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised Oct 2017.
    18. Lola Hernandez & Nicole Jonker & Anneke Kosse, 2017. "Cash versus Debit Card: The Role of Budget Control," Journal of Consumer Affairs, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 51(1), pages 91-112, March.
    19. David B. Audretsch & Albert N. Link & Martijn Hasselt, 2019. "Knowledge begets knowledge: university knowledge spillovers and the output of scientific papers from U.S. Small Business Innovation Research (SBIR) projects," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 121(3), pages 1367-1383, December.
    20. Payandeh Najafabadi Amir T. & MohammadPour Saeed, 2018. "A k-Inflated Negative Binomial Mixture Regression Model: Application to Rate–Making Systems," Asia-Pacific Journal of Risk and Insurance, De Gruyter, vol. 12(2), pages 1-31, July.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:compst:v:34:y:2019:i:1:d:10.1007_s00180-018-0828-5. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.