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Historical and recent change in extreme climate over East Asia

Author

Listed:
  • Guoyu Ren

    (China University of Geosciences (CUG)
    National Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration (CMA))

  • Johnny C. L. Chan

    (City University of Hong Kong (CityU))

  • Hisayuki Kubota

    (Hokkaido University)

  • Zhongshi Zhang

    (China University of Geosciences (CUG))

  • Jinbao Li

    (Hong Kong University (HKU))

  • Yongxiang Zhang

    (National Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration (CMA))

  • Yingxian Zhang

    (National Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration (CMA))

  • Yuda Yang

    (Fudan University)

  • Yuyu Ren

    (National Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration (CMA))

  • Xiubao Sun

    (Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS))

  • Yun Su

    (Beijing Normal University (BNU))

  • Yuhui Liu

    (China University of Geosciences (CUG))

  • Zhixin Hao

    (Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS))

  • Xiaoying Xue

    (China University of Geosciences (CUG))

  • Yun Qin

    (China University of Geosciences (CUG))

Abstract

This is an extended editors’ commentary on the topical collection “Historical and recent change in extreme climate over East Asia”, which collects a total of 15 papers related to the change and variability of extreme climate events in East Asia over the last few hundreds years. The extreme climate events are broadly classified into three categories: temperature and extreme warmth/coldness, precipitation and floods/droughts and western North Pacific typhoons. This commentary briefly summarizes the main findings presented in each paper in this topical collection, and outlines the implications of these findings for monitoring, detecting and modeling of regional climate change and for studying climate change impacts and adaptability. It also assesses the uncertainties of these studies, as well as the remaining knowledge gaps that should be filled in the future. One solid conclusion we can draw from these studies is that there was a marked decadal to multi-decadal variability of extreme climate events in East Asia in recent history, and the extreme events as observed during the last decades of the instrumental era were still within the range of natural variability except for some of those related to temperature. More severe and enduring droughts occurred in the early 20 th century or the earlier periods of history, frequently leading to great famines in northern China. Uncertainties remain in reconstructing historical extreme climate events and analyzing the early instrumental records. Further research could focus on the improvement of methodology in proxy based reconstruction of multi-decadal variations of surface air temperature and precipitation/drought, the recovery, digitization, calibration and verification of the early instrumental records, and the mechanisms of the observed multi-decadal variability of extreme climate in the region.

Suggested Citation

  • Guoyu Ren & Johnny C. L. Chan & Hisayuki Kubota & Zhongshi Zhang & Jinbao Li & Yongxiang Zhang & Yingxian Zhang & Yuda Yang & Yuyu Ren & Xiubao Sun & Yun Su & Yuhui Liu & Zhixin Hao & Xiaoying Xue & Y, 2021. "Historical and recent change in extreme climate over East Asia," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 168(3), pages 1-19, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:168:y:2021:i:3:d:10.1007_s10584-021-03227-5
    DOI: 10.1007/s10584-021-03227-5
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Xiaoying Xue & Guoyu Ren & Xiubao Sun & Panfeng Zhang & Yuyu Ren & Siqi Zhang & Chunyu Zhao & Xiujing Yu, 2021. "Change in mean and extreme temperature at Yingkou station in Northeast China from 1904 to 2017," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 164(3), pages 1-20, February.
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    5. Jingxian Li & Jinbao Li & Teng Li & Tsun Fung Au, 2021. "351-year tree ring reconstruction of the Gongga Mountains winter minimum temperature and its relationship with the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 165(3), pages 1-19, April.
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    7. Hisayuki Kubota & Jun Matsumoto & Masumi Zaiki & Togo Tsukahara & Takehiko Mikami & Rob Allan & Clive Wilkinson & Sally Wilkinson & Kevin Wood & Mark Mollan, 2021. "Tropical cyclones over the western north Pacific since the mid-nineteenth century," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 164(3), pages 1-19, February.
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    10. Kin Sik Liu & Johnny C. L. Chan & Hisayuki Kubota, 2021. "Meridional oscillation of tropical cyclone activity in the western North Pacific during the past 110 years," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 164(1), pages 1-22, January.
    11. Zhengrong Xu & Yuda Yang & Tao Sun, 2021. "Feng Shui and Imperial Examinations: a case study on the 1849 severe flood in Nanjing and debates on flood discharge," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 166(1), pages 1-16, May.
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