IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/climat/v168y2021i3d10.1007_s10584-021-03227-5.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Historical and recent change in extreme climate over East Asia

Author

Listed:
  • Guoyu Ren

    (China University of Geosciences (CUG)
    National Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration (CMA))

  • Johnny C. L. Chan

    (City University of Hong Kong (CityU))

  • Hisayuki Kubota

    (Hokkaido University)

  • Zhongshi Zhang

    (China University of Geosciences (CUG))

  • Jinbao Li

    (Hong Kong University (HKU))

  • Yongxiang Zhang

    (National Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration (CMA))

  • Yingxian Zhang

    (National Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration (CMA))

  • Yuda Yang

    (Fudan University)

  • Yuyu Ren

    (National Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration (CMA))

  • Xiubao Sun

    (Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS))

  • Yun Su

    (Beijing Normal University (BNU))

  • Yuhui Liu

    (China University of Geosciences (CUG))

  • Zhixin Hao

    (Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS))

  • Xiaoying Xue

    (China University of Geosciences (CUG))

  • Yun Qin

    (China University of Geosciences (CUG))

Abstract

This is an extended editors’ commentary on the topical collection “Historical and recent change in extreme climate over East Asia”, which collects a total of 15 papers related to the change and variability of extreme climate events in East Asia over the last few hundreds years. The extreme climate events are broadly classified into three categories: temperature and extreme warmth/coldness, precipitation and floods/droughts and western North Pacific typhoons. This commentary briefly summarizes the main findings presented in each paper in this topical collection, and outlines the implications of these findings for monitoring, detecting and modeling of regional climate change and for studying climate change impacts and adaptability. It also assesses the uncertainties of these studies, as well as the remaining knowledge gaps that should be filled in the future. One solid conclusion we can draw from these studies is that there was a marked decadal to multi-decadal variability of extreme climate events in East Asia in recent history, and the extreme events as observed during the last decades of the instrumental era were still within the range of natural variability except for some of those related to temperature. More severe and enduring droughts occurred in the early 20 th century or the earlier periods of history, frequently leading to great famines in northern China. Uncertainties remain in reconstructing historical extreme climate events and analyzing the early instrumental records. Further research could focus on the improvement of methodology in proxy based reconstruction of multi-decadal variations of surface air temperature and precipitation/drought, the recovery, digitization, calibration and verification of the early instrumental records, and the mechanisms of the observed multi-decadal variability of extreme climate in the region.

Suggested Citation

  • Guoyu Ren & Johnny C. L. Chan & Hisayuki Kubota & Zhongshi Zhang & Jinbao Li & Yongxiang Zhang & Yingxian Zhang & Yuda Yang & Yuyu Ren & Xiubao Sun & Yun Su & Yuhui Liu & Zhixin Hao & Xiaoying Xue & Y, 2021. "Historical and recent change in extreme climate over East Asia," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 168(3), pages 1-19, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:168:y:2021:i:3:d:10.1007_s10584-021-03227-5
    DOI: 10.1007/s10584-021-03227-5
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10584-021-03227-5
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10584-021-03227-5?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Xiaoying Xue & Guoyu Ren & Xiubao Sun & Panfeng Zhang & Yuyu Ren & Siqi Zhang & Chunyu Zhao & Xiujing Yu, 2021. "Change in mean and extreme temperature at Yingkou station in Northeast China from 1904 to 2017," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 164(3), pages 1-20, February.
    2. Jianfu Han & Yuda Yang, 2021. "The socioeconomic effects of extreme drought events in northern China on the Ming dynasty in the late fifteenth century," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 164(3), pages 1-17, February.
    3. Mengxin Bai & Jingyun Zheng & Zhixin Hao & Xuezhen Zhang & Gang Zeng, 2019. "Hydroclimate patterns over the Northern Hemisphere when megadroughts occurred in North China during the last millennium," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 157(3), pages 365-385, December.
    4. Min-Hee Lee & Chang-Hoi Ho & Jinwon Kim & Chang-Keun Song, 2012. "Assessment of the changes in extreme vulnerability over East Asia due to global warming," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 113(2), pages 301-321, July.
    5. Jingxian Li & Jinbao Li & Teng Li & Tsun Fung Au, 2021. "351-year tree ring reconstruction of the Gongga Mountains winter minimum temperature and its relationship with the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 165(3), pages 1-19, April.
    6. Xijin Wang & Fenghua Xie & Zhongshi Zhang & Stefan Liess & Keyan Fang & Chenxi Xu & Feng Shi, 2021. "Complex network of synchronous climate events in East Asian tree-ring data," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 165(3), pages 1-14, April.
    7. Hisayuki Kubota & Jun Matsumoto & Masumi Zaiki & Togo Tsukahara & Takehiko Mikami & Rob Allan & Clive Wilkinson & Sally Wilkinson & Kevin Wood & Mark Mollan, 2021. "Tropical cyclones over the western north Pacific since the mid-nineteenth century," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 164(3), pages 1-19, February.
    8. Barry Smit & Ian Burton & Richard Klein & J. Wandel, 2000. "An Anatomy of Adaptation to Climate Change and Variability," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 45(1), pages 223-251, April.
    9. Xiubao Sun & Chunzai Wang & Guoyu Ren, 2021. "Changes in the diurnal temperature range over East Asia from 1901 to 2018 and its relationship with precipitation," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 166(3), pages 1-17, June.
    10. Kin Sik Liu & Johnny C. L. Chan & Hisayuki Kubota, 2021. "Meridional oscillation of tropical cyclone activity in the western North Pacific during the past 110 years," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 164(1), pages 1-22, January.
    11. Zhengrong Xu & Yuda Yang & Tao Sun, 2021. "Feng Shui and Imperial Examinations: a case study on the 1849 severe flood in Nanjing and debates on flood discharge," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 166(1), pages 1-16, May.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Abdul Rahim Ridzuan & Bayu Arie Fianto & Miguel Angel Esquivias & Vikniswari Vija Kumaran & Mohd Shahidan Shaari & Aliashim Albani, 2022. "Do Financial Development and Trade Liberalization Influence Environmental Quality in Indonesia? Evidence-based on ARDL Model," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(5), pages 342-351, September.
    2. Jianglin Wang & Bao Yang & Zhiyuan Wang & Jingjing Liu, 2025. "ENSO and volcanic forcing of winter and summer interannual temperature variability in East Asia over the past six centuries," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 178(2), pages 1-19, February.
    3. Indrė Gečaitė & Egidijus Rimkus, 2023. "Wintertime cold and warm spells in the eastern part of the Baltic Sea region," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 115(3), pages 2435-2456, February.
    4. Yuan Wang & Youzhen Yang, 2022. "Research on Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Economic Assessment of Biomass Gasification Power Generation Technology in China Based on LCA Method," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(24), pages 1-11, December.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Savin S. Chand & Kevin J. E. Walsh & Suzana J. Camargo & James P. Kossin & Kevin J. Tory & Michael F. Wehner & Johnny C. L. Chan & Philip J. Klotzbach & Andrew J. Dowdy & Samuel S. Bell & Hamish A. Ra, 2022. "Declining tropical cyclone frequency under global warming," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 12(7), pages 655-661, July.
    2. Xudong Chen & Le Tao & Fangyu Tian & Yun Su & Jingxue Pan & Siying Chen & Xianshuai Zhai, 2024. "The Qing’s central government response to the most severe drought over the past 300 years," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 177(7), pages 1-20, July.
    3. Yongdeng Lei & Jing’ai Wang & Yaojie Yue & Hongjian Zhou & Weixia Yin, 2014. "Rethinking the relationships of vulnerability, resilience, and adaptation from a disaster risk perspective," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 70(1), pages 609-627, January.
    4. Kamaldeen Mohammed & Evans Batung & Moses Kansanga & Hanson Nyantakyi-Frimpong & Isaac Luginaah, 2021. "Livelihood diversification strategies and resilience to climate change in semi-arid northern Ghana," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 164(3), pages 1-23, February.
    5. Fobissie Kalame & Johnson Nkem & Monica Idinoba & Markku Kanninen, 2009. "Matching national forest policies and management practices for climate change adaptation in Burkina Faso and Ghana," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 14(2), pages 135-151, February.
    6. Philip Antwi-Agyei & Andrew J. Dougill & Lindsay C. Stringer, 2017. "Assessing Coherence between Sector Policies and Climate Compatible Development: Opportunities for Triple Wins," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(11), pages 1-16, November.
    7. Arun S. Malik & Stephen C. Smith, 2012. "Adaptation To Climate Change In Low-Income Countries: Lessons From Current Research And Needs From Future Research," Climate Change Economics (CCE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 3(02), pages 1-22.
    8. Md. Sadique Rahman & Farhad Zulfiqar & Hayat Ullah & Sushil Kumar Himanshu & Mofasser Rahman & Avishek Datta, 2024. "Does the adoption of homestead gardening increase dietary diversity in climate-vulnerable coastal areas? Evidence from Bangladesh," Asia-Pacific Journal of Regional Science, Springer, vol. 8(3), pages 859-878, September.
    9. Seo, S. Niggol & Mendelsohn, Robert, 2008. "An analysis of crop choice: Adapting to climate change in South American farms," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(1), pages 109-116, August.
    10. Seo, Sungno Niggol & Mendelsohn, Robert, 2007. "Climate change adaptation in Africa : a microeconomic analysis of livestock choice," Policy Research Working Paper Series 4277, The World Bank.
    11. Alain Ayong Le Kama & Aude Pommeret, 2017. "Supplementing Domestic Mitigation and Adaptation with Emissions Reduction Abroad to Face Climate Change," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 68(4), pages 875-891, December.
    12. Singh, Amarendra Pratap & Narayanan, Krishnan, 2016. "How can weather affect crop area diversity? Panel data evidence from Andhra Pradesh, a rice growing state of India," Studies in Agricultural Economics, Research Institute for Agricultural Economics, vol. 118(2), pages 1-10, August.
    13. Angela Rosa & Angela Santangelo & Simona Tondelli, 2021. "Investigating the Integration of Cultural Heritage Disaster Risk Management into Urban Planning Tools. The Ravenna Case Study," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(2), pages 1-24, January.
    14. Md. Humayain Kabir & Mohammed Abdul Baten, 2024. "Sustainability of Climate Change Adaptation Practices in South-Western Coastal Area of Bangladesh," Journal of Sustainable Development, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 12(5), pages 1-1, July.
    15. Shannon McNeeley, 2012. "Examining barriers and opportunities for sustainable adaptation to climate change in Interior Alaska," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 111(3), pages 835-857, April.
    16. Seraina Buob & Gunter Stephan, 2008. "Global Climate Change and the Funding of Adaptation," Diskussionsschriften dp0804, Universitaet Bern, Departement Volkswirtschaft.
    17. W.Neil Adger, 2001. "Scales of governance and environmental justice for adaptation and mitigation of climate change," Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 13(7), pages 921-931.
    18. Claudio Szlafsztein, 2014. "Development projects for small rural communities in the Brazilian Amazon region as potential strategies and practices of climate change adaptation," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 19(2), pages 143-160, February.
    19. Dirk Heinrichs & Kerstin Krellenberg & Michail Fragkias, 2013. "Urban Responses to Climate Change: Theories and Governance Practice in Cities of the Global South," International Journal of Urban and Regional Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(6), pages 1865-1878, November.
    20. Mavi, Can Askan, 2020. "Can harmful events be another source of environmental traps?," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 29-46.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:168:y:2021:i:3:d:10.1007_s10584-021-03227-5. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.