IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/climat/v166y2021i1d10.1007_s10584-021-03124-x.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Climate change enhances deepwater warming of subtropical reservoirs: evidence from hydrodynamic modelling

Author

Listed:
  • Laura Melo Vieira Soares

    (University of São Paulo at São Carlos School of Engineering)

  • Maria Calijuri

    (University of São Paulo at São Carlos School of Engineering)

  • Talita Fernanda Silva

    (Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais)

  • Evlyn Marcia Leão Novo

    (National Institute of Space Research (INPE))

Abstract

Lake surface warming and thermal responses to climate change have been widely reported, especially in temperate regions. Evidence of reservoir response in low latitudes is still limited. In this study, the vertical profile of water temperature in the Barra Bonita Reservoir (Brazil) is simulated using the one-dimensional General Lake Model (GLM), calibrated, and validated using in-situ data. Water temperature and reservoir hydrodynamics are simulated over 26 years (1993–2018) to investigate warming trends, seasonal patterns, Schmidt stability, and the number of stratified days per year. Results indicate that the reservoir has experienced significant warming since 1993 related to increasing air temperature and decreasing wind speed. Water temperature increases (p value

Suggested Citation

  • Laura Melo Vieira Soares & Maria Calijuri & Talita Fernanda Silva & Evlyn Marcia Leão Novo, 2021. "Climate change enhances deepwater warming of subtropical reservoirs: evidence from hydrodynamic modelling," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 166(1), pages 1-19, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:166:y:2021:i:1:d:10.1007_s10584-021-03124-x
    DOI: 10.1007/s10584-021-03124-x
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10584-021-03124-x
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10584-021-03124-x?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jonathan Butcher & Daniel Nover & Thomas Johnson & Christopher Clark, 2015. "Sensitivity of lake thermal and mixing dynamics to climate change," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 129(1), pages 295-305, March.
    2. Read, Jordan S. & Winslow, Luke A. & Hansen, Gretchen J.A. & Van Den Hoek, Jamon & Hanson, Paul C. & Bruce, Louise C. & Markfort, Corey D., 2014. "Simulating 2368 temperate lakes reveals weak coherence in stratification phenology," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 291(C), pages 142-150.
    3. Snortheim, Craig A. & Hanson, Paul C. & McMahon, Katherine D. & Read, Jordan S. & Carey, Cayelan C. & Dugan, Hilary A., 2017. "Meteorological drivers of hypolimnetic anoxia in a eutrophic, north temperate lake," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 343(C), pages 39-53.
    4. Weinberger, Stefan & Vetter, Mark, 2012. "Using the hydrodynamic model DYRESM based on results of a regional climate model to estimate water temperature changes at Lake Ammersee," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 244(C), pages 38-48.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Farrell, Kaitlin J. & Ward, Nicole K. & Krinos, Arianna I. & Hanson, Paul C. & Daneshmand, Vahid & Figueiredo, Renato J. & Carey, Cayelan C., 2020. "Ecosystem-scale nutrient cycling responses to increasing air temperatures vary with lake trophic state," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 430(C).
    2. Soares, L.M.V. & Calijuri, M.C., 2021. "Sensitivity and identifiability analyses of parameters for water quality modeling of subtropical reservoirs," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 458(C).
    3. Dibike, Yonas & Marshall, Rebecca & de Rham, Laurent, 2024. "Climatic sensitivity of seasonal ice-cover, water temperature and biogeochemical cycling in Lake 239 of the Experimental Lakes Area (ELA), Ontario, Canada," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 489(C).
    4. Sebastiano Piccolroaz & Marco Toffolon, 2018. "The fate of Lake Baikal: how climate change may alter deep ventilation in the largest lake on Earth," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 150(3), pages 181-194, October.
    5. Weng, Weizhe & Boyle, Kevin J. & Farrell, Kaitlin J. & Carey, Cayelan C. & Cobourn, Kelly M. & Dugan, Hilary A. & Hanson, Paul C. & Ward, Nicole K. & Weathers, Kathleen C., 2020. "Coupling Natural and Human Models in the Context of a Lake Ecosystem: Lake Mendota, Wisconsin, USA," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 169(C).
    6. Lin, Yu-I & Pan, Shu-Yuan & Chang, Hui-Hsien & Yu, Mei-Siang & Lin, Wei-Lung, 2023. "Will extreme drought impact the reservoir water quality? A 30-year observational study," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 289(C).
    7. Sierra E, Cagle & Daniel L, Roelke, 2021. "Relative roles of fundamental processes underpinning PEG dynamics in dimictic lakes as revealed by a self-organizing, multi-population plankton model," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 462(C).
    8. Ratté-Fortin, Claudie & Chokmani, Karem & El Alem, Anas & Laurion, Isabelle, 2022. "A regional model to predict the occurrence of natural events: Application to phytoplankton blooms in continental waterbodies," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 473(C).
    9. R. Iestyn Woolway, 2023. "The pace of shifting seasons in lakes," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-10, December.
    10. Sebastiano Piccolroaz & R. Iestyn Woolway & Christopher J. Merchant, 2020. "Global reconstruction of twentieth century lake surface water temperature reveals different warming trends depending on the climatic zone," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 160(3), pages 427-442, June.
    11. Weng, Weizhe & Boyle, Kevin J. & Carey, Cayelan & Cobourn, Kelly M. & Dugan, Hilary & Farrell, Kaitlin & Hanson, Paul & Brahma, Sreeya Brahma & Ward, Nicole & Weathers, Kathleen, 2018. "Coupling Water Quality Numerical Simulation and Hedonic Models to Evaluate Impact of Changes in Nutrient Loading," 2018 Annual Meeting, August 5-7, Washington, D.C. 274030, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    12. Fang Yang & Weiying Feng & Leppäranta Matti & Yu Yang & Ioanna Merkouriadi & Rui Cen & Yangwei Bai & Changyou Li & Haiqing Liao, 2020. "Simulation and Seasonal Characteristics of the Intra-Annual Heat Exchange Process in a Shallow Ice-Covered Lake," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(18), pages 1-17, September.
    13. Fenocchi, Andrea & Rogora, Michela & Morabito, Giuseppe & Marchetto, Aldo & Sibilla, Stefano & Dresti, Claudia, 2019. "Applicability of a one-dimensional coupled ecological-hydrodynamic numerical model to future projections in a very deep large lake (Lake Maggiore, Northern Italy/Southern Switzerland)," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 392(C), pages 38-51.
    14. Shabnam Salehi & Mojtaba Ardestani, 2024. "Investigating Changes of Water Quality in Reservoirs based on Flood and Inflow Fluctuations," Papers 2403.05671, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2024.
    15. Qi Wang & Leon Boegman, 2021. "Multi-Year Simulation of Western Lake Erie Hydrodynamics and Biogeochemistry to Evaluate Nutrient Management Scenarios," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(14), pages 1-22, July.
    16. Jian Zhou & Peter R. Leavitt & Kevin C. Rose & Xiwen Wang & Yibo Zhang & Kun Shi & Boqiang Qin, 2023. "Controls of thermal response of temperate lakes to atmospheric warming," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-9, December.
    17. Shahram Missaghi & Miki Hondzo & William Herb, 2017. "Prediction of lake water temperature, dissolved oxygen, and fish habitat under changing climate," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 141(4), pages 747-757, April.
    18. Firoozeh Azadi & Parisa-Sadat Ashofteh & Hugo A. Loáiciga, 2019. "Reservoir Water-Quality Projections under Climate-Change Conditions," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 33(1), pages 401-421, January.
    19. Wen-Cheng Liu & Hong-Ming Liu & Rita Sau-Wai Yam, 2021. "A Three-Dimensional Coupled Hydrodynamic-Ecological Modeling to Assess the Planktonic Biomass in a Subalpine Lake," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(22), pages 1-22, November.
    20. Snortheim, Craig A. & Hanson, Paul C. & McMahon, Katherine D. & Read, Jordan S. & Carey, Cayelan C. & Dugan, Hilary A., 2017. "Meteorological drivers of hypolimnetic anoxia in a eutrophic, north temperate lake," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 343(C), pages 39-53.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:166:y:2021:i:1:d:10.1007_s10584-021-03124-x. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.