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Determinants of farmers’ adaptation decisions under changing climate: the case of Fars province in Iran

Author

Listed:
  • Samane Ghazali

    (Shiraz University)

  • Hossein Azadi

    (Ghent University
    Chinese Academy of Sciences
    Czech University of Life Sciences Prague)

  • Alishir Kurban

    (Chinese Academy of Sciences
    Chinese Academy of Sciences
    University of Chinese Academy of Sciences
    Sino-Belgian Joint Laboratory for Geo-Information)

  • Nicolae Ajtai

    (Babeş-Bolyai University)

  • Marcin Pietrzykowski

    (University of Agriculture in Krakow)

  • Frank Witlox

    (Ghent University
    University of Tartu
    Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics)

Abstract

Climate change is a serious concern for the agricultural sector given that this sector is highly dependent on climate conditions. Moreover, farmersʼ adaptation process under changing climate can be explained by the psychological factors and the incorporation of socio-environmental background. Therefore, the current study aimed at socio-cognitive perceptions and extended protection motivation theory (PMT) as the basis. This paper estimated the influence of cognitive factors on individualsʼ views and decisions regarding climate change adaptation. Data from this study came from a survey with 245 rural farmers in temperate mount areas of Fars province, Iran. Structural equation modeling (SEM) was used to estimate the different factors. Results showed that three core elements of the theory, namely, risk evaluation, adaptation evaluation, and maladaptation, were the statistically significant factors that could directly explain farmersʼ adaptation decisions to adopt appropriate coping strategies under changing climate. Findings also suggested that another structural factor, adaptation incentives, had a statistically significant influence on adaptation decision-making among farmers. The study proposed valuable insights on social discourse to promote adaptation. Findings strongly offered that social discourse should focus more strongly on confirming the truth and timeliness of information that individuals gained. Eventually, further investigations are necessary to conduct the measurement model in other cultures and geographical areas and see how socio-environmental components can influence risk evaluation and adaptation evaluation.

Suggested Citation

  • Samane Ghazali & Hossein Azadi & Alishir Kurban & Nicolae Ajtai & Marcin Pietrzykowski & Frank Witlox, 2021. "Determinants of farmers’ adaptation decisions under changing climate: the case of Fars province in Iran," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 166(1), pages 1-24, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:166:y:2021:i:1:d:10.1007_s10584-021-03088-y
    DOI: 10.1007/s10584-021-03088-y
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