IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/climat/v154y2019i1d10.1007_s10584-019-02422-9.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Are amphibians tracking their climatic niches in response to climate warming? A test with Iberian amphibians

Author

Listed:
  • Urtzi Enriquez-Urzelai

    (Universidad de Oviedo UO
    Campus de Mieres)

  • Nicola Bernardo

    (Estación Biológica de Doñana-CSIC)

  • Gregorio Moreno-Rueda

    (Universidad de Granada)

  • Albert Montori

    (Universitat de Barcelona)

  • Gustavo Llorente

    (Universitat de Barcelona)

Abstract

Current climate warming has already contributed to local extinctions. Amphibians are one of the most sensitive animal groups to climate change, currently undergoing a global decline. Predictive models for Europe and Iberian Peninsula forecast that the future impact of climate change on amphibians will depend on their capacity to alter their distributions by tracking climate warming. In the present study, we explore the responses of Iberian amphibian species to recent climate change, by comparing amphibian distributions between two time periods (1901–1990 vs. 2000–2015). Our findings suggest that, although climatic conditions have changed between the two periods, Iberian amphibians have barely shifted their distribution ranges northwards, with the exception of the southernmost species (Alytes dickhilleni). However, most Iberian amphibians appear to have moved their elevational limits upwards in mountains. Approximately half of the species showed different occupied niches between the two time periods, suggesting that many Iberian amphibians have not been able to reach all the new location with optimal climatic conditions for them. Furthermore, disappearing cold climatic conditions (e.g. those found at mountain tops) limit the potential distribution of cold-adapted species, including European widespread species with their southern margin in the Iberian Peninsula, and endemic species. The combination of a limited ability to shift their ranges and profound climatic changes could pose a challenge to the long-term persistence of Iberian amphibian populations.

Suggested Citation

  • Urtzi Enriquez-Urzelai & Nicola Bernardo & Gregorio Moreno-Rueda & Albert Montori & Gustavo Llorente, 2019. "Are amphibians tracking their climatic niches in response to climate warming? A test with Iberian amphibians," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 154(1), pages 289-301, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:154:y:2019:i:1:d:10.1007_s10584-019-02422-9
    DOI: 10.1007/s10584-019-02422-9
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10584-019-02422-9
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10584-019-02422-9?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Chris D. Thomas & Jack J. Lennon, 1999. "Birds extend their ranges northwards," Nature, Nature, vol. 399(6733), pages 213-213, May.
    2. Camille Parmesan & Gary Yohe, 2003. "A globally coherent fingerprint of climate change impacts across natural systems," Nature, Nature, vol. 421(6918), pages 37-42, January.
    3. Luis-Miguel Chevin & Russell Lande & Georgina M Mace, 2010. "Adaptation, Plasticity, and Extinction in a Changing Environment: Towards a Predictive Theory," Working Papers id:2494, eSocialSciences.
    4. Sillero, Neftalí, 2011. "What does ecological modelling model? A proposed classification of ecological niche models based on their underlying methods," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 222(8), pages 1343-1346.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ernesto Azzurro & Paula Moschella & Francesc Maynou, 2011. "Tracking Signals of Change in Mediterranean Fish Diversity Based on Local Ecological Knowledge," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 6(9), pages 1-8, September.
    2. German Forero-Medina & John Terborgh & S Jacob Socolar & Stuart L Pimm, 2011. "Elevational Ranges of Birds on a Tropical Montane Gradient Lag behind Warming Temperatures," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 6(12), pages 1-5, December.
    3. Lucy R. Mason & Rhys E. Green & Christine Howard & Philip A. Stephens & Stephen G. Willis & Ainars Aunins & Lluís Brotons & Tomasz Chodkiewicz & Przemysław Chylarecki & Virginia Escandell & Ruud P. B., 2019. "Population responses of bird populations to climate change on two continents vary with species’ ecological traits but not with direction of change in climate suitability," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 157(3), pages 337-354, December.
    4. Fatih Fazlioglu & Justin S. H. Wan, 2021. "Warming matters: alpine plant responses to experimental warming," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 164(3), pages 1-17, February.
    5. Manica, Mattia & Rosà , Roberto & Pugliese, Andrea & Bolzoni, Luca, 2013. "Exclusion and spatial segregation in the apparent competition between two hosts sharing macroparasites," Theoretical Population Biology, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 12-22.
    6. Anne Goodenough & Adam Hart, 2013. "Correlates of vulnerability to climate-induced distribution changes in European avifauna: habitat, migration and endemism," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 118(3), pages 659-669, June.
    7. Wesley R. Brooks & Stephen C. Newbold, 2013. "Ecosystem damages in integrated assessment models of climate change," NCEE Working Paper Series 201302, National Center for Environmental Economics, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, revised Mar 2013.
    8. Robert J. Knell & Stephen J. Thackeray, 2016. "Voltinism and resilience to climate-induced phenological mismatch," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 137(3), pages 525-539, August.
    9. Rougier, Thibaud & Drouineau, Hilaire & Dumoulin, Nicolas & Faure, Thierry & Deffuant, Guillaume & Rochard, Eric & Lambert, Patrick, 2014. "The GR3D model, a tool to explore the Global Repositioning Dynamics of Diadromous fish Distribution," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 283(C), pages 31-44.
    10. Rong Fan & Jialin Lei & Entao Wu & Cai Lu & Yifei Jia & Qing Zeng & Guangchun Lei, 2022. "Species Distribution Modeling of the Breeding Site Distribution and Conservation Gaps of Lesser White-Fronted Goose in Siberia under Climate Change," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(11), pages 1-21, October.
    11. Brooks, Wesley R. & Newbold, Stephen C., 2014. "An updated biodiversity nonuse value function for use in climate change integrated assessment models," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 342-349.
    12. Yuncheng Zhao & Mingyue Zhao & Lei Zhang & Chunyi Wang & Yinlong Xu, 2021. "Predicting Possible Distribution of Tea ( Camellia sinensis L.) under Climate Change Scenarios Using MaxEnt Model in China," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 11(11), pages 1-18, November.
    13. Tae-Sung Kwon & Cheol Lee & Sung-Soo Kim, 2014. "Northward range shifts in Korean butterflies," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 126(1), pages 163-174, September.
    14. Asma Bourougaaoui & Mohamed L. Ben Jamâa & Christelle Robinet, 2021. "Has North Africa turned too warm for a Mediterranean forest pest because of climate change?," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 165(3), pages 1-20, April.
    15. Özgür Kamer Aksoy, 2022. "Predicting the Potential Distribution Area of the Platanus orientalis L. in Turkey Today and in the Future," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(18), pages 1-18, September.
    16. Richard Tol, 2011. "Regulating knowledge monopolies: the case of the IPCC," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 108(4), pages 827-839, October.
    17. Ding, Yimin & Wang, Weiguang & Song, Ruiming & Shao, Quanxi & Jiao, Xiyun & Xing, Wanqiu, 2017. "Modeling spatial and temporal variability of the impact of climate change on rice irrigation water requirements in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River, China," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 193(C), pages 89-101.
    18. Francesca Pilotto & Ingolf Kühn & Rita Adrian & Renate Alber & Audrey Alignier & Christopher Andrews & Jaana Bäck & Luc Barbaro & Deborah Beaumont & Natalie Beenaerts & Sue Benham & David S. Boukal & , 2020. "Meta-analysis of multidecadal biodiversity trends in Europe," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 11(1), pages 1-11, December.
    19. Hao Wang & Guohua Liu & Zongshan Li & Xin Ye & Bojie Fu & Yihe Lü, 2017. "Analysis of the Driving Forces in Vegetation Variation in the Grain for Green Program Region, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(10), pages 1-14, October.
    20. Fabina, Nicholas S. & Abbott, Karen C. & Gilman, R.Tucker, 2010. "Sensitivity of plant–pollinator–herbivore communities to changes in phenology," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 221(3), pages 453-458.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:154:y:2019:i:1:d:10.1007_s10584-019-02422-9. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.