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How stakeholders handle uncertainty in a local climate adaptation governance network

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  • Manuel Gottschick

Abstract

Uncertainty is a debated issue in climate research, in research on the governance of climate adaptation, and in research on the social limits to adaptation. As a contribution to this debate, a constructivist discourse research approach is chosen to analyse and interpret how stakeholders handle uncertainty related to climate change knowledge. Four diverse conceptualisations of how uncertainty is handled serve as the discourse analysis framework: rational discourse, no-regret discourse, blissful discourse, and formative discourse. This framework is applied to analyse and interpret interviews of diverse stakeholder groups from a local governance adaptation network. In this network, conflicts between irrigation farmers, water authorities and nature conservation are negotiated. For most interviewees, uncertainty about climate change knowledge is not judged as problematic. This paper elaborates on why this is so and provides tentative assessments for each discourse type. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2015

Suggested Citation

  • Manuel Gottschick, 2015. "How stakeholders handle uncertainty in a local climate adaptation governance network," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 132(3), pages 445-457, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:132:y:2015:i:3:p:445-457
    DOI: 10.1007/s10584-014-1203-3
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Kirstin Dow & Frans Berkhout & Benjamin L. Preston & Richard J. T. Klein & Guy Midgley & M. Rebecca Shaw, 2013. "Limits to adaptation," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 3(4), pages 305-307, April.
    2. Gary Yohe & Michael Oppenheimer, 2011. "Evaluation, characterization, and communication of uncertainty by the intergovernmental panel on climate change—an introductory essay," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 108(4), pages 629-639, October.
    3. Terje Aven & Ortwin Renn, 2010. "Risk Management and Governance," Risk, Governance and Society, Springer, number 978-3-642-13926-0, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. Ulrike Meinel & Ralf Schüle, 2018. "The Difficulty of Climate Change Adaptation in Manufacturing Firms: Developing an Action-Theoretical Perspective on the Causality of Adaptive Inaction," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(2), pages 1-16, February.
    2. Tiago Capela Lourenço & Ana Rovisco & Suraje Dessai & Richard Moss & Arthur Petersen, 2015. "Editorial introduction to the special issue on Uncertainty and Climate Change Adaptation," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 132(3), pages 369-372, October.
    3. Candice Howarth & Sian Morse-Jones & Andrew Kythreotis & Katya Brooks & Matt Lane, 2020. "Informing UK governance of resilience to climate risks: improving the local evidence-base," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 163(1), pages 499-520, November.
    4. Akse, Ruben, 2024. "Towards a conceptual model of uncertainty management for socio-technical innovations: A systematic review," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 209(C).
    5. Ulrike Meinel & Karl-Michael Höferl, 2017. "Non-Adaptive Behavior in the Face of Climate Change: First Insights from a Behavioral Perspective Based on a Case Study among Firm Managers in Alpine Austria," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(7), pages 1-18, June.

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