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Infrastructure and climate change: a study of impacts and adaptations in Malawi, Mozambique, and Zambia

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  • Paul Chinowsky
  • Amy Schweikert
  • Niko Strzepek
  • Ken Strzepek

Abstract

The African Development Bank has called for $40 Billion USD per year over the coming decades to be provided to African countries to address development issues directly related to climate change. The current study addresses a key component of these issues, the effect of climate change on the road infrastructure of Malawi, Mozambique, and Zambia. The study incorporates a stressor-response approach to estimate the effects of projected precipitation, temperature, and flooding changes on the paved and unpaved road infrastructure of these countries. The paper highlights the result of running 425 climate scenarios for each road type and policy option from 2010 to 2050. Based on this broad analysis, it is estimated that the three southern African countries are facing a potential $596 million price tag based on median climate scenarios to maintain and repair roads as a result of damages directly related to temperature and precipitation changes from potential climate change through 2050. The challenge for policy makers is to determine the potential risk that a country is facing based on the uncertainties associated with the multiple aspects of climate change modeling. Copyright UNU-WIDER 2015

Suggested Citation

  • Paul Chinowsky & Amy Schweikert & Niko Strzepek & Ken Strzepek, 2015. "Infrastructure and climate change: a study of impacts and adaptations in Malawi, Mozambique, and Zambia," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 130(1), pages 49-62, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:130:y:2015:i:1:p:49-62
    DOI: 10.1007/s10584-014-1219-8
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Paul Chinowsky & Channing Arndt, 2012. "Climate Change and Roads: A Dynamic Stressor–Response Model," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 16(3), pages 448-462, August.
    2. Kessides, C., 1993. "The Contributions of Infrastructure to Economic Development, A review of Experience and Policy Implications," World Bank - Discussion Papers 213, World Bank.
    3. Derrick Hambly & Jean Andrey & Brian Mills & Chris Fletcher, 2013. "Projected implications of climate change for road safety in Greater Vancouver, Canada," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 116(3), pages 613-629, February.
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    1. Victor Hugo Souza de Abreu & Andrea Souza Santos & Thaís Guedes Máximo Monteiro, 2022. "Climate Change Impacts on the Road Transport Infrastructure: A Systematic Review on Adaptation Measures," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-22, July.
    2. Channing Arndt & Paul Chinowsky & Charles Fant & Yohannes Gebretsadik & James E. Neumann & Sergey Paltsev & C. Adam Schlosser & Kenneth Strzepek & Finn Tarp & James Thurlow, 2015. "Climate change and developing country interests: Cases from the Zambezi River Basin," WIDER Working Paper Series 116, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    3. Libanda Brigadier & Bob Alex Ogwang & Victor Ongoma & Chilekana Ngonga & Linda Nyasa, 2016. "Diagnosis of the 2010 DJF flood over Zambia," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 81(1), pages 189-201, March.
    4. Daniel Kwabena Twerefou & Paul Chinowsky & Kwame Adjei-Mantey & Niko Lazar Strzepek, 2015. "The Economic Impact of Climate Change on Road Infrastructure in Ghana," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 7(9), pages 1-18, August.
    5. Noah Kaiser & Christina K. Barstow, 2022. "Rural Transportation Infrastructure in Low- and Middle-Income Countries: A Review of Impacts, Implications, and Interventions," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(4), pages 1-48, February.
    6. Song, Yongze & Thatcher, Dominique & Li, Qindong & McHugh, Tom & Wu, Peng, 2021. "Developing sustainable road infrastructure performance indicators using a model-driven fuzzy spatial multi-criteria decision making method," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
    7. Xueying Wu & Wenyi Zhao & Tianshan Ma & Ziyu Yang, 2019. "Improving the Efficiency of Highway Construction Project Management Using Lean Management," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(13), pages 1-27, July.
    8. Hambulo Ngoma & Patrick Lupiya & Mulako Kabisa & Faaiqa Hartley, 2021. "Impacts of climate change on agriculture and household welfare in Zambia: an economy-wide analysis," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 167(3), pages 1-20, August.
    9. Libanda Brigadier & Bob Ogwang & Victor Ongoma & Chilekana Ngonga & Linda Nyasa, 2016. "Diagnosis of the 2010 DJF flood over Zambia," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 81(1), pages 189-201, March.
    10. Yi Yang & Beibei Liu & Peng Wang & Wei‐Qiang Chen & Timothy M. Smith, 2020. "Toward sustainable climate change adaptation," Journal of Industrial Ecology, Yale University, vol. 24(2), pages 318-330, April.
    11. Channing Arndt & Paul Chinowsky & Charles Fant & Sergey Paltsev & C. Adam Schlosser & Kenneth Strzepek & Finn Tarp & James Thurlow, 2019. "Climate change and developing country growth: the cases of Malawi, Mozambique, and Zambia," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 154(3), pages 335-349, June.
    12. Channing Arndt & Paul S. Chinowsky & Charles Fant & Yohannes Gebretsadik & James E. Neumann & Sergey Paltsev & Adam Schlosser & Kenneth Strzepek & Finn Tarp & James Thurlow, 2015. "Climate change and developing country interests: Cases from the Zambezi River Basin," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2015-116, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).

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