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Climate change and developing country interests: Cases from the Zambezi River Basin

Author

Listed:
  • Channing Arndt
  • Paul S. Chinowsky
  • Charles Fant
  • Yohannes Gebretsadik
  • James E. Neumann
  • Sergey Paltsev
  • Adam Schlosser
  • Kenneth Strzepek
  • Finn Tarp
  • James Thurlow

Abstract

We consider the interplay of climate change impacts, global mitigation policies, and the interests of developing countries to 2050. Focusing on Malawi, Mozambique, and Zambia, we employ a structural approach to biophysical and economic modeling that incorporates climate uncertainty and allows for rigorous comparison of climate, biophysical, and economic outcomes across global mitigation regimes. We find that effective global mitigation policies generate two sources of benefit. First, less distorted climate outcomes result in typically more favourable economic outcomes.

Suggested Citation

  • Channing Arndt & Paul S. Chinowsky & Charles Fant & Yohannes Gebretsadik & James E. Neumann & Sergey Paltsev & Adam Schlosser & Kenneth Strzepek & Finn Tarp & James Thurlow, 2015. "Climate change and developing country interests: Cases from the Zambezi River Basin," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2015-116, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    • Handle: RePEc:unu:wpaper:wp-2015-116
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Paul Chinowsky & Amy Schweikert & Niko Strzepek & Ken Strzepek, 2015. "Infrastructure and climate change: a study of impacts and adaptations in Malawi, Mozambique, and Zambia," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 130(1), pages 49-62, May.
    2. Channing Arndt & James Thurlow, 2015. "Climate uncertainty and economic development: evaluating the case of Mozambique to 2050," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 130(1), pages 63-75, May.
    3. Mort Webster & Andrei Sokolov & John Reilly & Chris Forest & Sergey Paltsev & Adam Schlosser & Chien Wang & David Kicklighter & Marcus Sarofim & Jerry Melillo & Ronald Prinn & Henry Jacoby, 2012. "Analysis of climate policy targets under uncertainty," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 112(3), pages 569-583, June.
    4. Frankel, Jeffrey A., 2010. "The Natural Resource Curse: A Survey," Scholarly Articles 4454156, Harvard Kennedy School of Government.
    5. Channing Arndt & Paul Chinowsky & Kenneth Strzepek & James Thurlow, 2012. "Climate Change, Growth and Infrastructure Investment: The Case of Mozambique," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 16(3), pages 463-475, August.
    6. Paltsev, Sergey, 2012. "Implications of Alternative Mitigation Policies on World Prices for Fossil Fuels and Agricultural Products," WIDER Working Paper Series 065, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    7. Channing Arndt & Charles Fant & Sherman Robinson & Kenneth Strzepek, 2015. "Informed selection of future climates," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 130(1), pages 21-33, May.
    8. James E. Neumann & Kerry A. Emanuel & Sai Ravela & Lindsay C. Ludwig & Caroleen Verly, 2013. "Assessing the Risk of Cyclone-Induced Storm Surge and Sea Level Rise in Mozambique," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2013-036, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    9. C. Schlosser & Kenneth Strzepek, 2015. "Regional climate change of the greater Zambezi River Basin: a hybrid assessment," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 130(1), pages 9-19, May.
    10. repec:unu:wpaper:wp2012-65 is not listed on IDEAS
    11. Sachs, Jeffrey D. & Warner, Andrew M., 2001. "The curse of natural resources," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 45(4-6), pages 827-838, May.
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    Cited by:

    1. Hambulo Ngoma & Patrick Lupiya & Mulako Kabisa & Faaiqa Hartley, 2021. "Impacts of climate change on agriculture and household welfare in Zambia: an economy-wide analysis," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 167(3), pages 1-20, August.

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