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Present and historical climate variability in South West England

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  • A. Kosanic
  • S. Harrison
  • K. Anderson
  • I. Kavcic

Abstract

West Cornwall is the most south westerly part of mainland United Kingdom with a strong maritime climate. This paper analyses the earliest archived instrumental meteorological records collected in West Cornwall (SW England). Observations were obtained from the Met Office archive (Camborne 1957–2010; Culdrose 1985–2011), Trengwainton Garden (1940–2010), and from the Royal Cornwall Polytechnic Society, (data for Falmouth (1880–1952) and Helston (1843–1888)). Homogeneity tests were used (Levene and Brown-Forsythe tests) to exclude any trends not related to climate variability. The data exhibit trends in annual mean and maximum temperatures over the timescales analysed, and show a general temperature increase in the 20th and 21st century. Annual and seasonal temperature change was found to vary locally with strongly positive trends in autumn, spring and summer seasons. Trends in precipitation are positive only for the 19th century and only for one station. Correlation with the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) index gives negative results for precipitation data. However correlation with the NAO index is positive with temperature, especially in the winter season. Return period analysis shows a decrease in intensity and frequency of extreme precipitation events in the post-1975 period (Camborne and Trengwainton Garden stations). Climate change in the 20th century and future continued warming is likely to have major implications on biodiversity in this region. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2014

Suggested Citation

  • A. Kosanic & S. Harrison & K. Anderson & I. Kavcic, 2014. "Present and historical climate variability in South West England," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 124(1), pages 221-237, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:124:y:2014:i:1:p:221-237
    DOI: 10.1007/s10584-014-1101-8
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Camille Parmesan & Gary Yohe, 2003. "A globally coherent fingerprint of climate change impacts across natural systems," Nature, Nature, vol. 421(6918), pages 37-42, January.
    2. José Martín & José Bethencourt & Emilio Cuevas-Agulló, 2012. "Assessment of global warming on the island of Tenerife, Canary Islands (Spain). Trends in minimum, maximum and mean temperatures since 1944," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 114(2), pages 343-355, September.
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    3. Gardner, A.S. & Gaston, K.J. & Maclean, I.M.D., 2021. "Combining qualitative and quantitative methodology to assess prospects for novel crops in a warming climate," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 190(C).
    4. Richard A. Sharpe & Katrina M. Wyatt & Andrew James Williams, 2022. "Do the Determinants of Mental Wellbeing Vary by Housing Tenure Status? Secondary Analysis of a 2017 Cross-Sectional Residents Survey in Cornwall, South West England," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(7), pages 1-32, March.
    5. Gardner, A.S. & Maclean, I.M.D. & Gaston, K.J. & Bütikofer, L., 2021. "Forecasting future crop suitability with microclimate data," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 190(C).

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