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Will climate change impact on wind power development in the UK?

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Partly in response to concerns about anthropogenic climate change, renewable energy production is growing rapidly in the United Kingdom (UK). The wind power industry takes advantage of the country having some of the highest mean wind speeds in Europe. Future climate change, however, has the potential to alter the characteristics of the UK wind climate. Small changes in mean wind speed could produce much greater changes in wind energy output as the power generated is related to the cube of wind speed. This paper aims to use a simple method to provide insight into projected future UK wind climate and how this might differ from current patterns. A discussion of the scale of the projected impacts on the wind energy industry follows. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2012

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  • Lucy Cradden & Gareth Harrison & John Chick, 2012. "Will climate change impact on wind power development in the UK?," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 115(3), pages 837-852, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:115:y:2012:i:3:p:837-852
    DOI: 10.1007/s10584-012-0486-5
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    1. Breslow, Paul B. & Sailor, David J., 2002. "Vulnerability of wind power resources to climate change in the continental United States," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 27(4), pages 585-598.
    2. Sailor, David J. & Smith, Michael & Hart, Melissa, 2008. "Climate change implications for wind power resources in the Northwest United States," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 33(11), pages 2393-2406.
    3. Segal, Moti & Pan, Zaitao & Arritt, Raymond W & Takle, Eugene S, 2001. "On the potential change in wind power over the US due to increases of atmospheric greenhouse gases," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 24(2), pages 235-243.
    4. Pryor, S.C. & Barthelmie, R.J., 2010. "Climate change impacts on wind energy: A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 14(1), pages 430-437, January.
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    1. Engeland, Kolbjørn & Borga, Marco & Creutin, Jean-Dominique & François, Baptiste & Ramos, Maria-Helena & Vidal, Jean-Philippe, 2017. "Space-time variability of climate variables and intermittent renewable electricity production – A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 600-617.
    2. Bloomfield, H.C. & Brayshaw, D.J. & Troccoli, A. & Goodess, C.M. & De Felice, M. & Dubus, L. & Bett, P.E. & Saint-Drenan, Y.-M., 2021. "Quantifying the sensitivity of european power systems to energy scenarios and climate change projections," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 1062-1075.
    3. Hdidouan, Daniel & Staffell, Iain, 2017. "The impact of climate change on the levelised cost of wind energy," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 575-592.
    4. Cradden, Lucy C. & Harrison, Gareth P., 2013. "Adapting overhead lines to climate change: Are dynamic ratings the answer?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 197-206.
    5. Isabelle Tobin & Robert Vautard & Irena Balog & François-Marie Bréon & Sonia Jerez & Paolo Ruti & Françoise Thais & Mathieu Vrac & Pascal Yiou, 2015. "Assessing climate change impacts on European wind energy from ENSEMBLES high-resolution climate projections," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 128(1), pages 99-112, January.
    6. Santos, F. & Gómez-Gesteira, M. & deCastro, M. & Añel, J.A. & Carvalho, D. & Costoya, Xurxo & Dias, J.M., 2018. "On the accuracy of CORDEX RCMs to project future winds over the Iberian Peninsula and surrounding ocean," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 228(C), pages 289-300.
    7. Rosende, Catalina & Sauma, Enzo & Harrison, Gareth P., 2019. "Effect of Climate Change on wind speed and its impact on optimal power system expansion planning: The case of Chile," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 434-451.
    8. Gareth P Harrison & Samuel L Hawkins & Dan Eager & Lucy C Cradden, 2015. "Capacity value of offshore wind in Great Britain," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 229(5), pages 360-372, October.

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