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On the potential change in wind power over the US due to increases of atmospheric greenhouse gases

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  • Segal, Moti
  • Pan, Zaitao
  • Arritt, Raymond W
  • Takle, Eugene S

Abstract

Wind power (WP) is a likely source of renewable energy to reduce fossil CO2 atmospheric emissions. However, WP availability might be affected by climate changes induced by such emissions. In this study a refined regional climate model, appropriate for resolving near-surface flows, was used to generate WP climatologies for the US consistent with present and mid-21st century enhanced atmospheric CO2 level. In both cases the regional climate simulation was forced by lateral boundary conditions based on simulations of the Hadley Centre general circulation model. Simulated present WP showed reasonable general agreement with patterns observed in most locations. In most of the US the enhanced CO2 simulation showed a trend of decreased daily average WP availability in the range of 0–30%. However, in limited areas in the southern and northwestern US, an increase in WP, peaking at 30%, was simulated. Under the enhanced CO2 climate scenario, the present relatively high WP availability in northern Texas and western Oklahoma, as well as in the northwest US, are almost unaffected. A decline in WP is simulated in the north–central US and the western mountainous region.

Suggested Citation

  • Segal, Moti & Pan, Zaitao & Arritt, Raymond W & Takle, Eugene S, 2001. "On the potential change in wind power over the US due to increases of atmospheric greenhouse gases," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 24(2), pages 235-243.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:24:y:2001:i:2:p:235-243
    DOI: 10.1016/S0960-1481(00)00194-4
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Bourillon,, 1999. "Wind energy — Clean power for generations," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 16(1), pages 948-953.
    2. Sailor, D.J & Hu, T & Li, X & Rosen, J.N, 2000. "A neural network approach to local downscaling of GCM output for assessing wind power implications of climate change," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 19(3), pages 359-378.
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    Cited by:

    1. Harrison, Gareth P. & Wallace, A. Robin, 2005. "Climate sensitivity of marine energy," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 30(12), pages 1801-1817.
    2. Sailor, David J. & Smith, Michael & Hart, Melissa, 2008. "Climate change implications for wind power resources in the Northwest United States," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 33(11), pages 2393-2406.
    3. Lucy Cradden & Gareth Harrison & John Chick, 2012. "Will climate change impact on wind power development in the UK?," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 115(3), pages 837-852, December.
    4. Jane Ebinger & Walter Vergara, 2011. "Climate Impacts on Energy Systems : Key Issues for Energy Sector Adaptation," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 2271.
    5. Schaeffer, Roberto & Szklo, Alexandre Salem & Pereira de Lucena, André Frossard & Moreira Cesar Borba, Bruno Soares & Pupo Nogueira, Larissa Pinheiro & Fleming, Fernanda Pereira & Troccoli, Alberto & , 2012. "Energy sector vulnerability to climate change: A review," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 38(1), pages 1-12.
    6. Wimhurst, Joshua J. & Greene, J. Scott, 2019. "Oklahoma's future wind energy resources and their relationship with the Central Plains low-level jet," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    7. Wang, Meina & Ullrich, Paul & Millstein, Dev, 2018. "The future of wind energy in California: Future projections with the Variable-Resolution CESM," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 127(C), pages 242-257.
    8. Pan, Zaitao & Segal, Moti & Arritt, Raymond W & Takle, Eugene S, 2004. "On the potential change in solar radiation over the US due to increases of atmospheric greenhouse gases," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 29(11), pages 1923-1928.

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