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Capacity value of offshore wind in Great Britain

Author

Listed:
  • Gareth P Harrison
  • Samuel L Hawkins
  • Dan Eager
  • Lucy C Cradden

Abstract

The extent to which large volumes of offshore wind can contribute to a secure and reliable electricity supply is the subject of much debate. Central to providing credible answers is a detailed understanding of the wind resource and its variability in time and space. Here, a mesoscale atmospheric model was employed to create a 10 year hindcast of British onshore and offshore wind speeds and simulate the output of a British offshore wind fleet. This enabled estimation of the capacity value of British wind fleets both on- and offshore during periods of high winter demand. It provides a credible estimate of the distinct long-term contribution of production from a future British offshore wind fleet and indicates substantial improvement over onshore wind. Furthermore, a first level analysis demonstrated that the availability of offshore wind farms had a modest negative impact on the capacity value of wind but that conventional generation and demand levels played a more significant role.

Suggested Citation

  • Gareth P Harrison & Samuel L Hawkins & Dan Eager & Lucy C Cradden, 2015. "Capacity value of offshore wind in Great Britain," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 229(5), pages 360-372, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:risrel:v:229:y:2015:i:5:p:360-372
    DOI: 10.1177/1748006X15591619
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Dvorak, Michael J. & Archer, Cristina L. & Jacobson, Mark Z., 2010. "California offshore wind energy potential," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 35(6), pages 1244-1254.
    2. Lucy Cradden & Gareth Harrison & John Chick, 2012. "Will climate change impact on wind power development in the UK?," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 115(3), pages 837-852, December.
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    Cited by:

    1. Sun, Wei & Harrison, Gareth P., 2019. "Wind-solar complementarity and effective use of distribution network capacity," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 247(C), pages 89-101.

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