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Модель Прогноза Развития Товарных Рынков В Условиях Меняющихся Мер Государственной Политики

Author

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  • Бородин К.Г.

Abstract

В статье представлена экономико-математическая модель прогноза развития товарного рынка, позволяющая в сценарном режиме менять величину пошлины от импорта и инвестиций в производство, а в перспективе – добиваться оптимальных состояний для показателей спроса, предложения и цены внутреннего рынка. В модели учтены эффекты влияния пошлины от импорта и инвестиций на основные параметры товарного рынка. Отдельные практические возможности модели продемонстрированы на примере рынков мяса (рынки говядины, свинины и мяса птицы). Решены оптимизационные задачи по расчету величин импортной пошлины и инвестиций, необходимых для удвоения отечественного производства говядины; достижения максимального соотношения между объемами отечественного производства свинины и импорта; оценки величины инвестиций, позволяющей сохранить объемы производства на прежнем уровне при снижении импортной пошлины на мясо птицы до 20%.

Suggested Citation

  • Бородин К.Г., 2016. "Модель Прогноза Развития Товарных Рынков В Условиях Меняющихся Мер Государственной Политики," Журнал Экономика и математические методы (ЭММ), Центральный Экономико-Математический Институт (ЦЭМИ), vol. 52(1), pages 95-111, январь.
    • Handle: RePEc:scn:cememm:v:52:y:2016:i:1:p:95-111
    Note: Москва
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    References listed on IDEAS

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