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Power Parity and Lethal International Violence, 1969–1973

Author

Listed:
  • David Garnham

    (Department of Political Science University of Wisconsin—Milwaukee)

Abstract

Among students of international politics, there is little consensus concerning the nature of the relationship between dyadic power distributions and the likelihood of interstate violence: there may be no relationship, a positive relationship, or a negative relationship. This study hypothesized that lethal international violence between pairs of contiguous nation-states was more probable if the two states were equally powerful. Using the technique of pattern recognition, the hypothesis was tested—and substantiated—for the period 1969–1973. Furthermore, a discriminant function based on four indicators of national power (area, GNP, military manpower, and defense expenditures) appears to be a potentially useful predictor of lethal interstate violence.

Suggested Citation

  • David Garnham, 1976. "Power Parity and Lethal International Violence, 1969–1973," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 20(3), pages 379-394, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:jocore:v:20:y:1976:i:3:p:379-394
    DOI: 10.1177/002200277602000301
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Edward I. Altman, 1968. "The Prediction Of Corporate Bankruptcy: A Discriminant Analysis," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 23(1), pages 193-194, March.
    2. Edward I. Altman, 1968. "Financial Ratios, Discriminant Analysis And The Prediction Of Corporate Bankruptcy," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 23(4), pages 589-609, September.
    3. James Paul Wesley, 1962. "Frequency of wars and geographical opportunity," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 6(4), pages 387-389, December.
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    Cited by:

    1. Herbst, Luisa & Konrad, Kai A. & Morath, Florian, 2017. "Balance of power and the propensity of conflict," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, vol. 103(C), pages 168-184.

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