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The Journey to Safety: Conflict-Driven Migration Flows in Colombia

Author

Listed:
  • Nancy Lozano-Gracia

    (GeoDa Center, Arizona State University, nlozano@asu.edu)

  • Gianfranco Piras

    (REAL, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and Universidad Catolica del Norte, Chile)

  • Ana Maria Ibáñez

    (CEDE, Department of Economics, Universidad de Los Andes, Bogotá Colombia)

  • Geoffrey J. D. Hewings

    (REAL, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign)

Abstract

While there is a growing econometrics literature on the modeling of conflict and the interactions with trade, there has been relatively little evidence modeling the interregional migration behavior of individuals internally displaced by conflicts. The current article models the flows of households forced to leave their residence because of violent conflicts in Colombia. Results shed light on the main determinants of what we call journey to safety. Violence appears to be one of the most relevant pushing effects together with the absence of institutions and the dissatisfaction with the provision of basic needs. Furthermore, for regions with extreme violence levels, individuals appear to be willing to relocate to more distant locations. On the destination side, most populated regions are more attractive as well as areas with a sufficient level of fulfillment of basic needs.

Suggested Citation

  • Nancy Lozano-Gracia & Gianfranco Piras & Ana Maria Ibáñez & Geoffrey J. D. Hewings, 2010. "The Journey to Safety: Conflict-Driven Migration Flows in Colombia," International Regional Science Review, , vol. 33(2), pages 157-180, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:inrsre:v:33:y:2010:i:2:p:157-180
    DOI: 10.1177/0160017609336998
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Laura H. Atuesta & Dusan Paredes, 2014. "Do Mexicans flee from violence? The effects of drug-related violence on migration decisions in Mexico," Documentos de Trabajo en Economia y Ciencia Regional 53, Universidad Catolica del Norte, Chile, Department of Economics, revised Jul 2014.
    2. Diego Esparza & Jessica Lucas & Enrique Martinez & James Meernik & Ignacio Molinero & Victoria Nevarez, 2020. "Movement of the people: Violence and internal displacement," International Area Studies Review, Center for International Area Studies, Hankuk University of Foreign Studies, vol. 23(3), pages 233-250, September.
    3. Kristian Behrens & Alain Pholo Bala, 2013. "Do rent-seeking and interregional transfers contribute to urban primacy in Sub-Saharan Africa?," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 92(1), pages 163-195, March.
    4. Eva Olimpia Arceo-Gómez, 2012. "Drug-Related Violence and Forced Migration from Mexico to the United States," Working Papers DTE 526, CIDE, División de Economía.
    5. Killian Foubert & Ilse Ruyssen, 2021. "Leaving terrorism behind? Impact of terrorist attacks on migration intentions around the world," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium 21/1021, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration.
    6. K. Newbold, 2012. "Migration and regional science: opportunities and challenges in a changing environment," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 48(2), pages 451-468, April.
    7. Wharton, Kate & Uwaifo Oyelere, Ruth, 2011. "Conflict and its Impact on Educational Accumulation and Enrollment in Colombia: What We Can Learn from Recent IDPs," IZA Discussion Papers 5939, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    8. María Luz Moyano-Buitrago, 2021. "Inserción laboral de inmigrantes venezolanas, 2014-2019: ¿acumulación de desventajas?," Revista Sociedad y Economía, Universidad del Valle, CIDSE, issue 44, September.
    9. Katharina Fenz & Thomas Mitterling & Jesus Crespo Cuaresma & Isabell Roitner-Fransecky, 2024. "Climate, conflict and internal migration in Colombia," Vienna Yearbook of Population Research, Vienna Institute of Demography (VID) of the Austrian Academy of Sciences in Vienna, vol. 22(1), pages 1-1.
    10. Abel, Guy & Brottrager, Michael & Crespo Cuaresma, Jesus & Muttarak, Raya, 2018. "Climate, Conflict and Forced Migration," Department of Economics Working Paper Series 272, WU Vienna University of Economics and Business.
    11. Ruth Uwaifo Oyelere & Kate Wharton, 2013. "The Impact of Conflict on Education Attainment and Enrollment in Colombia: lessons from recent IDPs," HiCN Working Papers 141, Households in Conflict Network.
    12. Ana María Ibá-ez, 2014. "Growth in forced displacement: cross-country, sub-national and household evidence on potential determinants," Chapters, in: Robert E.B. Lucas (ed.), International Handbook on Migration and Economic Development, chapter 13, pages 350-387, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    13. Rodriguez, Maykol & Bodini, Antonio & Escobedo, Francisco J. & Clerici, Nicola, 2021. "Analyzing socio-ecological interactions through qualitative modeling: Forest conservation and implications for sustainability in the peri‑urban bogota (Colombia)," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 439(C).
    14. Bandiera, Antonella, 2021. "Deliberate displacement during conflict: Evidence from Colombia," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    15. Carlos A. Carrasco & Mario Durán-Bustamante, 2018. "War on drugs, violence, and the share of low-income workers in Mexico," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 38(2), pages 696-702.
    16. Fonner, Robert & Bohara, Alok K & Archambault, Stephen, 2018. "Migration Choices during Conflict in Nepal: Pull Forces and Landscape Interactions," International Journal of Development and Conflict, Gokhale Institute of Politics and Economics, vol. 8(2), pages 46-61.
    17. Rozo, Sandra V. & Vargas, Juan F., 2021. "Brothers or invaders? How crisis-driven migrants shape voting behavior," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
    18. Araujo, Inacio F. & Donaghy, Kieran P. & Haddad, Eduardo A. & Hewings, Geoffrey J.D., 2024. "Geographical Propagation of the Economic Impacts of the ISIS Conflict in Iraq," TD NEREUS 6-2024, Núcleo de Economia Regional e Urbana da Universidade de São Paulo (NEREUS).
    19. Aree Jampaklay & Kathleen Ford & Aphichat Chamratrithirong, 2020. "Migration and Unrest in the Deep South Thailand: A Multilevel Analysis of a Longitudinal Study," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 57(2), pages 727-745, April.
    20. Ajzenman, Nicolas & Dominguez-Rivera, Patricio & Undurraga, Raimundo, 2021. "Immigration, Crime, and Crime (Mis)Perceptions," IZA Discussion Papers 14087, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    21. Paul H. Jung & Jean-Claude Thill & Luis Armando Galvis-Aponte, 2021. "State Failure, Violence, and Trade: Dangerous Trade Routes in Colombia," Documentos de trabajo sobre Economía Regional y Urbana 303, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    22. Ivlevs, Artjoms & Veliziotis, Michail, 2017. "Beyond Conflict: Long-Term Labour Market Integration of Internally Displaced Persons in Post-Socialist Countries," IZA Discussion Papers 11215, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    23. David Escamilla-Guerrero & Edward Kosack & Zachary Ward, 2023. "The Impact of Violence during the Mexican Revolution on Migration to the United States," NBER Working Papers 31531, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    24. Raphael J. Nawrotzki & Verena Gantner & Jana Balzer & Thomas Wencker & Sabine Brüntrup-Seidemann, 2022. "Strategic Allocation of Development Projects in Post-Conflict Regions: A Gender Perspective for Colombia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(4), pages 1-26, February.

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