IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/sae/envirb/v40y2013i3p384-404.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Incorporating Spatial Autocorrelation with Neural Networks in Empirical Land-Use Change Models

Author

Listed:
  • Hone-Jay Chu

    (Department of Geomatics, National Cheng Kung University, No. 1, University Road, Tainan City 701, Taiwan, Republic of China)

  • Chen-Fa Wu

    (Department of Horticulture, National Chung Hsing University, 250, Kuo Kuang Road, Taichung 402, Taiwan, Republic of China)

  • Yu-Pin Lin

    (Department of Bioenvironmental Systems Engineering, National Taiwan University, 1, Sec. 4, Roosevelt Road, Da-an District, Taipei City 106, Taiwan, Republic of China)

Abstract

Land-use data can accurately reflect spatial pattern dependence (ie, spatial autocorrelation) and a nonlinear relationship with driving variables. In this study land-use dynamics in the Paochiao Watershed, Taiwan are forcast for the next fifteen years by incorporating artificial neural networks with spatial autocorrelation (Auto-ANNs) into the conversion of land use and its effects (CLUE-s) model. In addition to spatial autocorrelations of land use, Auto-ANNs-CLUE-s considers the nonlinear relationships between driving factors and land-use patterns. Results of a three-map comparison indicate that the Auto-ANNs-CLUE-s model has a better overall performance than Auto-logistic-CLUE-s. The Auto-ANNs-CLUE-s is highly applicable for all resolutions from multiresolution validation. The results of landscape metrics demonstrate the prevalence of urban sprawl in the study area. The proposed model is an alternative means of improving land use and environmental planning.

Suggested Citation

  • Hone-Jay Chu & Chen-Fa Wu & Yu-Pin Lin, 2013. "Incorporating Spatial Autocorrelation with Neural Networks in Empirical Land-Use Change Models," Environment and Planning B, , vol. 40(3), pages 384-404, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:envirb:v:40:y:2013:i:3:p:384-404
    DOI: 10.1068/b37116
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1068/b37116
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1068/b37116?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Bin Zhou & Kara Kockelman, 2008. "Neighborhood impacts on land use change: a multinomial logit model of spatial relationships," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 42(2), pages 321-340, June.
    2. Pinkse, Joris & Slade, Margaret E., 1998. "Contracting in space: An application of spatial statistics to discrete-choice models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 85(1), pages 125-154, July.
    3. Xiaokun Wang & Kara M. Kockelman, 2009. "Application of the dynamic spatial ordered probit model: Patterns of land development change in Austin, Texas," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 88(2), pages 345-365, June.
    4. Castella, Jean-Christophe & Verburg, Peter H., 2007. "Combination of process-oriented and pattern-oriented models of land-use change in a mountain area of Vietnam," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 202(3), pages 410-420.
    5. Robert Pontius & Wideke Boersma & Jean-Christophe Castella & Keith Clarke & Ton Nijs & Charles Dietzel & Zengqiang Duan & Eric Fotsing & Noah Goldstein & Kasper Kok & Eric Koomen & Christopher Lippitt, 2008. "Comparing the input, output, and validation maps for several models of land change," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 42(1), pages 11-37, March.
    6. Wu, Daqian & Liu, Jian & Zhang, Gaosheng & Ding, Wenjuan & Wang, Wei & Wang, Renqing, 2009. "Incorporating spatial autocorrelation into cellular automata model: An application to the dynamics of Chinese tamarisk (Tamarix chinensis Lour.)," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 220(24), pages 3490-3498.
    7. Bhat, Chandra R. & Guo, Jessica, 2004. "A mixed spatially correlated logit model: formulation and application to residential choice modeling," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 38(2), pages 147-168, February.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Wang, Xiaokun (Cara) & Kockelman, Kara M. & Lemp, Jason D., 2012. "The dynamic spatial multinomial probit model: analysis of land use change using parcel-level data," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 77-88.
    2. Páez, Antonio & López, Fernando A. & Ruiz, Manuel & Morency, Catherine, 2013. "Development of an indicator to assess the spatial fit of discrete choice models," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 217-233.
    3. Carrión-Flores, Carmen E. & Flores-Lagunes, Alfonso & Guci, Ledia, 2018. "An estimator for discrete-choice models with spatial lag dependence using large samples, with an application to land-use conversions," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 77-93.
    4. repec:asg:wpaper:1048 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Chandra Bhat & Ipek Sener, 2009. "A copula-based closed-form binary logit choice model for accommodating spatial correlation across observational units," Journal of Geographical Systems, Springer, vol. 11(3), pages 243-272, September.
    6. Xiaokun Wang & Kara M. Kockelman, 2009. "Baysian Inference For Ordered Response Data With A Dynamic Spatial‐Ordered Probit Model," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 49(5), pages 877-913, December.
    7. Corral, Paul & Radchenko, Natalia, 2017. "What’s So Spatial about Diversification in Nigeria?," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 231-253.
    8. Feng Li & Guangdong Li & Weishan Qin & Jing Qin & Haitao Ma, 2018. "Identifying Economic Growth Convergence Clubs and Their Influencing Factors in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(8), pages 1-21, July.
    9. Daniel P. McMillen & Elizabeth T. Powers, 2017. "The eldercare landscape: Evidence from California," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(S2), pages 139-157, September.
    10. Michael Brady & Elena Irwin, 2011. "Accounting for Spatial Effects in Economic Models of Land Use: Recent Developments and Challenges Ahead," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 48(3), pages 487-509, March.
    11. Holger Cammerer & Annegret Thieken & Peter Verburg, 2013. "Spatio-temporal dynamics in the flood exposure due to land use changes in the Alpine Lech Valley in Tyrol (Austria)," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 68(3), pages 1243-1270, September.
    12. Smirnov, Oleg A., 2010. "Modeling spatial discrete choice," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 40(5), pages 292-298, September.
    13. Caspar G Chorus & Theo A Arentze & Harry J P Timmermans, 2009. "Spatial Choice: A Matter of Utility or Regret?," Environment and Planning B, , vol. 36(3), pages 538-551, June.
    14. Shen, Yu & de Abreu e Silva, João & Martínez, Luis Miguel, 2014. "Assessing High-Speed Rail’s impacts on land cover change in large urban areas based on spatial mixed logit methods: a case study of Madrid Atocha railway station from 1990 to 2006," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 184-196.
    15. Shoyama, Kikuko & Yamagata, Yoshiki, 2014. "Predicting land-use change for biodiversity conservation and climate-change mitigation and its effect on ecosystem services in a watershed in Japan," Ecosystem Services, Elsevier, vol. 8(C), pages 25-34.
    16. Luc Anselin, 2010. "Thirty years of spatial econometrics," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 89(1), pages 3-25, March.
    17. Bhat, Chandra R., 2011. "The maximum approximate composite marginal likelihood (MACML) estimation of multinomial probit-based unordered response choice models," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 45(7), pages 923-939, August.
    18. T. Randall Fortenbery & Steven C. Deller & Lindsay Amiel, 2013. "The Location Decisions of Biodiesel Refineries," Land Economics, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 89(1), pages 118-136.
    19. Chao Xu & Didit O Pribadi & Dagmar Haase & Stephan Pauleit, 2020. "Incorporating spatial autocorrelation and settlement type segregation to improve the performance of an urban growth model," Environment and Planning B, , vol. 47(7), pages 1184-1200, September.
    20. de Freitas, Marcos Wellausen Dias & Muñoz, Pablo & dos Santos, João Roberto & Alves, Diógenes Salas, 2018. "Land use and cover change modelling and scenarios in the Upper Uruguay Basin (Brazil)," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 384(C), pages 128-144.
    21. Melvin Lippe & Thomas Hilger & Sureeporn Sudchalee & Naruthep Wechpibal & Attachai Jintrawet & Georg Cadisch, 2017. "Simulating Stakeholder-Based Land-Use Change Scenarios and Their Implication on Above-Ground Carbon and Environmental Management in Northern Thailand," Land, MDPI, vol. 6(4), pages 1-18, December.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:sae:envirb:v:40:y:2013:i:3:p:384-404. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: SAGE Publications (email available below). General contact details of provider: .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.