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Economic and Disease Burden of Dengue in Southeast Asia

Author

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  • Donald S Shepard
  • Eduardo A Undurraga
  • Yara A Halasa

Abstract

Background: Dengue poses a substantial economic and disease burden in Southeast Asia (SEA). Quantifying this burden is critical to set policy priorities and disease-control strategies. Methods and Findings: We estimated the economic and disease burden of dengue in 12 countries in SEA: Bhutan, Brunei, Cambodia, East-Timor, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Myanmar, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, and Viet Nam. We obtained reported cases from multiple sources—surveillance data, World Health Organization (WHO), and published studies—and adjusted for underreporting using expansion factors from previous literature. We obtained unit costs per episode through a systematic literature review, and completed missing data using linear regressions. We excluded costs such as prevention and vector control, and long-term sequelae of dengue. Over the decade of 2001–2010, we obtained an annual average of 2.9 million (m) dengue episodes and 5,906 deaths. The annual economic burden (with 95% certainty levels) was US$950m (US$610m–US$1,384m) or about US$1.65 (US$1.06–US$2.41) per capita. The annual number of disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), based on the original 1994 definition, was 214,000 (120,000–299,000), which is equivalent to 372 (210–520) DALYs per million inhabitants. Conclusion: Dengue poses a substantial economic and disease burden in SEA with a DALY burden per million inhabitants in the region. This burden is higher than that of 17 other conditions, including Japanese encephalitis, upper respiratory infections, and hepatitis B. Author Summary: Dengue fever, or break bone fever, is the most common infectious disease transmitted by a mosquito, and is a major economic and disease burden in endemic countries. Between 100–200 million (m) infections occur each year in more than 100 countries, resulting in about 20,000 deaths. Quantifying the burden of dengue is critical for policy makers to set policy priorities and make informed decisions about disease control. We estimated the economic and disease burden of dengue in 12 countries in Southeast Asia, using a consistent methodology that allows comparison among countries. We estimated an annual average of 2.9 m dengue episodes and 5,906 deaths. This amounts to an annual cost per capita of US$1.65 (0.03% GDP per capita in 2010), and a disease burden of 372 disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) per million inhabitants, a rate higher than that of 17 other conditions, including Japanese encephalitis, upper respiratory infections, and hepatitis B.

Suggested Citation

  • Donald S Shepard & Eduardo A Undurraga & Yara A Halasa, 2013. "Economic and Disease Burden of Dengue in Southeast Asia," PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases, Public Library of Science, vol. 7(2), pages 1-12, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:plo:pntd00:0002055
    DOI: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0002055
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    Cited by:

    1. Pi Guo & Tao Liu & Qin Zhang & Li Wang & Jianpeng Xiao & Qingying Zhang & Ganfeng Luo & Zhihao Li & Jianfeng He & Yonghui Zhang & Wenjun Ma, 2017. "Developing a dengue forecast model using machine learning: A case study in China," PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases, Public Library of Science, vol. 11(10), pages 1-22, October.
    2. Le T P Nghiem & Tarek Soliman & Darren C J Yeo & Hugh T W Tan & Theodore A Evans & John D Mumford & Reuben P Keller & Richard H A Baker & Richard T Corlett & Luis R Carrasco, 2013. "Economic and Environmental Impacts of Harmful Non-Indigenous Species in Southeast Asia," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 8(8), pages 1-9, August.
    3. Christopher Fitzpatrick & Alexander Haines & Mathieu Bangert & Andrew Farlow & Janet Hemingway & Raman Velayudhan, 2017. "An economic evaluation of vector control in the age of a dengue vaccine," PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases, Public Library of Science, vol. 11(8), pages 1-27, August.
    4. Rui Jie Ng & Zhuo Lin Chong & Mohd Hatta Abdul Mutalip & Chiu-Wan Ng, 2022. "Dengue Seroprevalence and Factors Associated with Dengue Seropositivity in Petaling District, Malaysia," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(12), pages 1-16, June.
    5. Xuan Deng & Rui Yan & Zi-qiao Li & Xue-wen Tang & Yang Zhou & Hanqing He, 2021. "Economic and disease burden of Japanese encephalitis in Zhejiang Province, 2013–2018," PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(6), pages 1-16, June.
    6. Adriana Zubieta-Zavala & Malaquias López-Cervantes & Guillermo Salinas-Escudero & Adrian Ramírez-Chávez & José Ramos Castañeda & Sendy Isarel Hernández-Gaytán & Juan Guillermo López Yescas & Luis Durá, 2018. "Economic impact of dengue in Mexico considering reported cases for 2012 to 2016," PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases, Public Library of Science, vol. 12(12), pages 1-18, December.
    7. Bach Xuan Tran & Giang Thu Vu & Long Hoang Nguyen & Anh Tuan Le Nguyen & Tung Thanh Tran & Binh Thanh Nguyen & Thao Phuong Thi Thai & Carl A. Latkin & Cyrus S. H. Ho & Roger C. M. Ho, 2018. "Cost-of-Illness and the Health-Related Quality of Life of Patients in the Dengue Fever Outbreak in Hanoi in 2017," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 15(6), pages 1-9, June.
    8. Gerhart Knerer & Christine S M Currie & Sally C Brailsford, 2020. "The economic impact and cost-effectiveness of combined vector-control and dengue vaccination strategies in Thailand: results from a dynamic transmission model," PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases, Public Library of Science, vol. 14(10), pages 1-32, October.
    9. Mokhalad A. Majeed & Helmi Zulhaidi Mohd Shafri & Zed Zulkafli & Aimrun Wayayok, 2023. "A Deep Learning Approach for Dengue Fever Prediction in Malaysia Using LSTM with Spatial Attention," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(5), pages 1-22, February.
    10. Eduardo A Undurraga & Yara A Halasa & Donald S Shepard, 2013. "Use of Expansion Factors to Estimate the Burden of Dengue in Southeast Asia: A Systematic Analysis," PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases, Public Library of Science, vol. 7(2), pages 1-15, February.
    11. Agustin L. Arcenas, 2016. "Climate Change, Dengue and the Economy: Ascertaining the Link Between Dengue and Climatic Conditions," UP School of Economics Discussion Papers 201601, University of the Philippines School of Economics.
    12. Nghiem, Le T.P. & Soliman, Tarek & Yeo, Darren C. J. & Tan, Hugh T. W. & Evans, Theodore A. & Mumford, John D. & Keller, Reuben P. & Baker, Richard H. A. & Corlett, Richard T. & Carrasco, Luis R., 2013. "Economic and Environmental Impacts of Harmful Non-Indigenous Species in Southeast Asia," MPRA Paper 57760, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. Emmanuelle Kumaran & Dyna Doum & Vanney Keo & Ly Sokha & BunLeng Sam & Vibol Chan & Neal Alexander & John Bradley & Marco Liverani & Didot Budi Prasetyo & Agus Rachmat & Sergio Lopes & Jeffrey Hii & L, 2018. "Dengue knowledge, attitudes and practices and their impact on community-based vector control in rural Cambodia," PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases, Public Library of Science, vol. 12(2), pages 1-16, February.
    14. Leigh R Bowman & Sarah Donegan & Philip J McCall, 2016. "Is Dengue Vector Control Deficient in Effectiveness or Evidence?: Systematic Review and Meta-analysis," PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases, Public Library of Science, vol. 10(3), pages 1-24, March.
    15. Mohd ‘Ammar Ihsan Ahmad Zamzuri & Farah Nabila Abd Majid & Rahmat Dapari & Mohd Rohaizat Hassan & Abd Majid Mohd Isa, 2022. "Perceived Risk for Dengue Infection Mediates the Relationship between Attitude and Practice for Dengue Prevention: A Study in Seremban, Malaysia," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(20), pages 1-17, October.
    16. Jue Tao Lim & Borame Sue Lee Dickens & Lawrence Zheng Xiong Chew & Esther Li Wen Choo & Joel Ruihan Koo & Joel Aik & Lee Ching Ng & Alex R Cook, 2020. "Impact of sars-cov-2 interventions on dengue transmission," PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases, Public Library of Science, vol. 14(10), pages 1-17, October.

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