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A successful operational research intervention in one-day cricket

Author

Listed:
  • F C Duckworth

    (Stinchcombe)

  • A J Lewis

    (Oxford Brookes University)

Abstract

After its introduction to one-day cricket in 1997, the Duckworth/Lewis method has spread to become the standard rule throughout senior levels of the game for resetting the target in matches shortened after their start due to rain or other causes. This paper reviews how the method is working following its application to more than 400 known cases. A comparison of the Duckworth/Lewis model with several years of data from international matches is made that confirms the suitability of the underpinning model, but the data indicate that there is a need to update the model's parameters. An upgrading of the model is suggested to cope with high-scoring matches when the basic model's assumptions begin to break down. Although the price of the enhanced model is loss of simplicity and complete reliance on software, cricketing authorities have begun to believe the price to be worth paying. Data from actual matches are used throughout to illustrate the implementation of this successful use of Operational Research principles to the solution of a practical problem in one-day cricket.

Suggested Citation

  • F C Duckworth & A J Lewis, 2004. "A successful operational research intervention in one-day cricket," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 55(7), pages 749-759, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:pal:jorsoc:v:55:y:2004:i:7:d:10.1057_palgrave.jors.2601717
    DOI: 10.1057/palgrave.jors.2601717
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. S R Clarke & P Allsopp, 2002. "Response to Duckworth and Lewis, comment on Clarke and Allsopp (2001). Fair measures of performance: The World Cup of Cricket," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 53(10), pages 1160-1161, October.
    2. F C Duckworth & A J Lewis, 2002. "Comment on Clarke and Allsopp (2001). Fair measures of performance: The World Cup of Cricket," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 53(10), pages 1159-1160, October.
    3. S R Clarke & P Allsopp, 2001. "Fair measures of performance: the World Cup of cricket," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 52(4), pages 471-479, April.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Asif, Muhammad & McHale, Ian G., 2016. "In-play forecasting of win probability in One-Day International cricket: A dynamic logistic regression model," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 34-43.
    2. Muhammad Asif & Ali Ahmadian & Muhammad Azeem & Bruno Antonio Pansera, 2021. "A short comparative study on modified Duckworth-Lewis methods," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 16(11), pages 1-12, November.
    3. McHale, Ian G. & Asif, Muhammad, 2013. "A modified Duckworth–Lewis method for adjusting targets in interrupted limited overs cricket," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 225(2), pages 353-362.
    4. Kendall, Graham & Lenten, Liam J.A., 2017. "When sports rules go awry," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 257(2), pages 377-394.
    5. A J Lewis, 2005. "Towards fairer measures of player performance in one-day cricket," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 56(7), pages 804-815, July.
    6. Akhtar, Sohail & Scarf, Philip, 2012. "Forecasting test cricket match outcomes in play," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 28(3), pages 632-643.
    7. Silva, Rajitha M. & Manage, Ananda B.W. & Swartz, Tim B., 2015. "A study of the powerplay in one-day cricket," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 244(3), pages 931-938.
    8. Steven E Stern, 2016. "The Duckworth-Lewis-Stern method: extending the Duckworth-Lewis methodology to deal with modern scoring rates," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 67(12), pages 1469-1480, December.
    9. Stephen Easton & Sean Pinder & Steven Stern, 2018. "Documenting the functional form of dynamic risk‐taking behaviour in a real options context using sporting contests," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 58(S1), pages 159-178, November.
    10. F C Duckworth & A J Lewis, 2005. "Comment on Carter M and Guthrie G (2004). Cricket interruptus: fairness and incentive in limited overs cricket matches," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 56(11), pages 1333-1337, November.
    11. R Bhattacharya & P S Gill & T B Swartz, 2011. "Duckworth–Lewis and Twenty20 cricket," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 62(11), pages 1951-1957, November.
    12. Asif, M. & McHale, I.G., 2019. "A generalized non-linear forecasting model for limited overs international cricket," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(2), pages 634-640.
    13. A J Lewis, 2008. "Extending the range of player-performance measures in one-day cricket," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 59(6), pages 729-742, June.

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    Keywords

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