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The Duckworth-Lewis-Stern method: extending the Duckworth-Lewis methodology to deal with modern scoring rates

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  • Steven E Stern

    (Queensland University of Technology (QUT))

Abstract

The famous (and occasionally infamous) Duckworth-Lewis methodology for dealing with interruptions in limited overs cricket matches made its international debut in early 1997. For nearly 20 years, it has set the standard for target adjustment at nearly all levels of the game. In that time, though, it has not been static. In 2003, the Professional Edition of the method was introduced to handle changes to scoring patterns that were becoming apparent in modern cricket. We here introduce the Duckworth-Lewis-Stern (DLS) method, designed to deal with the now common extreme scoring rates seen in limited overs matches, particularly Twenty20. In addition, we outline key principles governing the structure and properties of target adjustment methods and compare DLS with other proposed procedures.

Suggested Citation

  • Steven E Stern, 2016. "The Duckworth-Lewis-Stern method: extending the Duckworth-Lewis methodology to deal with modern scoring rates," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 67(12), pages 1469-1480, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:pal:jorsoc:v:67:y:2016:i:12:d:10.1057_jors.2016.30
    DOI: 10.1057/jors.2016.30
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. R Bhattacharya & P S Gill & T B Swartz, 2011. "Duckworth–Lewis and Twenty20 cricket," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 62(11), pages 1951-1957, November.
    2. Robert Schall & Dianne Weatherall, 2013. "Accuracy and fairness of rain rules for interrupted one-day cricket matches," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(11), pages 2462-2479, November.
    3. McHale, Ian G. & Asif, Muhammad, 2013. "A modified Duckworth–Lewis method for adjusting targets in interrupted limited overs cricket," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 225(2), pages 353-362.
    4. F C Duckworth & A J Lewis, 2004. "A successful operational research intervention in one-day cricket," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 55(7), pages 749-759, July.
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    Cited by:

    1. Muhammad Asif & Ali Ahmadian & Muhammad Azeem & Bruno Antonio Pansera, 2021. "A short comparative study on modified Duckworth-Lewis methods," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 16(11), pages 1-12, November.
    2. Oliver G. Stevenson & Brendon J. Brewer, 2021. "Finding your feet: A Gaussian process model for estimating the abilities of batsmen in test cricket," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 70(2), pages 481-506, March.
    3. Praveen Ranjan Srivastava & Prajwal Eachempati & Ajay Kumar & Ashish Kumar Jha & Lalitha Dhamotharan, 2023. "Best strategy to win a match: an analytical approach using hybrid machine learning-clustering-association rule framework," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 325(1), pages 319-361, June.
    4. Asif, M. & McHale, I.G., 2019. "A generalized non-linear forecasting model for limited overs international cricket," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(2), pages 634-640.

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