IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/ejores/v225y2013i2p353-362.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A modified Duckworth–Lewis method for adjusting targets in interrupted limited overs cricket

Author

Listed:
  • McHale, Ian G.
  • Asif, Muhammad

Abstract

In this paper we present a modified Duckworth/Lewis method. The key modification is an improved functional form for the model describing the runs to be scored in an innings. In the course of our work we compare several alternative methods for resetting targets in limited overs cricket that have been proposed in the literature and conclude that the Duckworth/Lewis method is the most viable. Our analysis also suggests that it is reasonable to use a single method for both the 50-over and 20-over formats of the game.

Suggested Citation

  • McHale, Ian G. & Asif, Muhammad, 2013. "A modified Duckworth–Lewis method for adjusting targets in interrupted limited overs cricket," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 225(2), pages 353-362.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ejores:v:225:y:2013:i:2:p:353-362
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ejor.2012.09.036
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0377221712007151
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ejor.2012.09.036?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. M Carter & G Guthrie, 2004. "Cricket interruptus: fairness and incentive in limited overs cricket matches," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 55(8), pages 822-829, August.
    2. F C Duckworth & A J Lewis, 2004. "A successful operational research intervention in one-day cricket," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 55(7), pages 749-759, July.
    3. F C Duckworth & A J Lewis, 2005. "Comment on Carter M and Guthrie G (2004). Cricket interruptus: fairness and incentive in limited overs cricket matches," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 56(11), pages 1333-1337, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Asif, Muhammad & McHale, Ian G., 2016. "In-play forecasting of win probability in One-Day International cricket: A dynamic logistic regression model," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 34-43.
    2. Silva, Rajitha M. & Manage, Ananda B.W. & Swartz, Tim B., 2015. "A study of the powerplay in one-day cricket," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 244(3), pages 931-938.
    3. Steven E Stern, 2016. "The Duckworth-Lewis-Stern method: extending the Duckworth-Lewis methodology to deal with modern scoring rates," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 67(12), pages 1469-1480, December.
    4. Yamini Nekkanti & Dibyojyoti Bhattacharjee, 2020. "Novel Performance Metrics to Evaluate the Duel Between a Batsman and a Bowler," Management and Labour Studies, XLRI Jamshedpur, School of Business Management & Human Resources, vol. 45(2), pages 201-211, May.
    5. Asif, M. & McHale, I.G., 2019. "A generalized non-linear forecasting model for limited overs international cricket," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(2), pages 634-640.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. F C Duckworth & A J Lewis, 2005. "Comment on Carter M and Guthrie G (2004). Cricket interruptus: fairness and incentive in limited overs cricket matches," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 56(11), pages 1333-1337, November.
    2. Muhammad Asif & Ali Ahmadian & Muhammad Azeem & Bruno Antonio Pansera, 2021. "A short comparative study on modified Duckworth-Lewis methods," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 16(11), pages 1-12, November.
    3. A J Lewis, 2005. "Towards fairer measures of player performance in one-day cricket," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 56(7), pages 804-815, July.
    4. A J Lewis, 2008. "Extending the range of player-performance measures in one-day cricket," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 59(6), pages 729-742, June.
    5. M B Wright, 2009. "50 years of OR in sport," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 60(1), pages 161-168, May.
    6. Norton, Hugh & Gray, Steve & Faff, Robert, 2015. "Yes, one-day international cricket ‘in-play’ trading strategies can be profitable!," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(S2), pages 164-176.
    7. Steven E Stern, 2016. "The Duckworth-Lewis-Stern method: extending the Duckworth-Lewis methodology to deal with modern scoring rates," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 67(12), pages 1469-1480, December.
    8. Kendall, Graham & Lenten, Liam J.A., 2017. "When sports rules go awry," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 257(2), pages 377-394.
    9. Asif, Muhammad & McHale, Ian G., 2016. "In-play forecasting of win probability in One-Day International cricket: A dynamic logistic regression model," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 34-43.
    10. A Ghoniem & H D Sherali, 2010. "Models and algorithms for the scheduling of a doubles tennis training tournament," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 61(5), pages 723-731, May.
    11. R Bhattacharya & P S Gill & T B Swartz, 2011. "Duckworth–Lewis and Twenty20 cricket," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 62(11), pages 1951-1957, November.
    12. Akhtar, Sohail & Scarf, Philip, 2012. "Forecasting test cricket match outcomes in play," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 28(3), pages 632-643.
    13. Asif, M. & McHale, I.G., 2019. "A generalized non-linear forecasting model for limited overs international cricket," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(2), pages 634-640.
    14. Yamini Nekkanti & Dibyojyoti Bhattacharjee, 2020. "Novel Performance Metrics to Evaluate the Duel Between a Batsman and a Bowler," Management and Labour Studies, XLRI Jamshedpur, School of Business Management & Human Resources, vol. 45(2), pages 201-211, May.
    15. M Carter & G Guthrie, 2005. "Reply to the comments of Duckworth and Lewis," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 56(11), pages 1337-1341, November.
    16. Oliver G. Stevenson & Brendon J. Brewer, 2021. "Finding your feet: A Gaussian process model for estimating the abilities of batsmen in test cricket," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 70(2), pages 481-506, March.
    17. Stephen Easton & Sean Pinder & Steven Stern, 2018. "Documenting the functional form of dynamic risk‐taking behaviour in a real options context using sporting contests," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 58(S1), pages 159-178, November.
    18. Silva, Rajitha M. & Manage, Ananda B.W. & Swartz, Tim B., 2015. "A study of the powerplay in one-day cricket," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 244(3), pages 931-938.
    19. Wright, Mike, 2014. "OR analysis of sporting rules – A survey," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 232(1), pages 1-8.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:ejores:v:225:y:2013:i:2:p:353-362. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/eor .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.