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A Green Revolution for Sub-Saharan Africa: Past Failures and Future Prospects

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  • Keijiro Otsuka
  • Rie Muraoka

Abstract

The continuing population growth in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) has contributed to a decline in cultivated area per farming population. Consequently, food insecurity is increasingly becoming a major concern in this continent. To ensure food security, a Green Revolution, which dramatically increases crop yield, must be introduced. But, several major questions are being raised: why did SSA fail to achieve a Green Revolution in the past? What are its future prospects? What should be done to realise a Green Revolution in SSA? This article answers these questions based on an examination of crop yield trends, literature review and the results of our own case studies in SSA.

Suggested Citation

  • Keijiro Otsuka & Rie Muraoka, 2017. "A Green Revolution for Sub-Saharan Africa: Past Failures and Future Prospects," Journal of African Economies, Centre for the Study of African Economies, vol. 26(suppl_1), pages 73-98.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:jafrec:v:26:y:2017:i:suppl_1:p:i73-i98.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/jae/ejx010
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    1. Ayala Wineman & Timothy Njagi & C. Leigh Anderson & Travis W. Reynolds & Didier Yélognissè Alia & Priscilla Wainaina & Eric Njue & Pierre Biscaye & Miltone W. Ayieko, 2020. "A Case of Mistaken Identity? Measuring Rates of Improved Seed Adoption in Tanzania Using DNA Fingerprinting," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 71(3), pages 719-741, September.
    2. Yitayew, Asresu & Abdulai, Awudu & Yigezu, Yigezu A., 2023. "The effects of advisory services and technology channeling on farm yields and technical efficiency of wheat farmers in Ethiopia," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
    3. Paul Christian & Steven Glover & Florence Kondylis & Valerie Mueller & Matteo Ruzzante & Astrid Zwager, 2022. "Do private consultants promote savings and investments in rural Mozambique?," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 53(1), pages 22-36, January.
    4. Kamel Louhichi & Umed Temursho & Liesbeth Colen & Sergio Gomez y Paloma, 2019. "Upscaling the productivity performance of the Agricultural Commercialization Cluster Initiative in Ethiopia [Élargissement des performance de productivité de l'Initiative des grappes de Commerciali," Working Papers hal-02790390, HAL.
    5. Kolawole Ogundari & Bolarinwa Olufemi Daniel, 2018. "Working Paper 294 - Agricultural Innovations, Production, and Household Welfare in Africa," Working Paper Series 2421, African Development Bank.
    6. Stella Kiconco & Suresh Chandra Babu & Kenneth Akankwasa, 2022. "Adoption Patterns and Intensity for Multiple BananaTechnologies in Uganda," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(23), pages 1-14, November.
    7. Rosegrant, Mark W. & Fan, Shenggen & Otsuka, Keijiro, 2021. "Global issues in agricultural development," IFPRI book chapters, in: Agricultural development: New perspectives in a changing world, chapter 2, pages 35-78, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    8. Kazushi Takahashi & Rie Muraoka & Keijiro Otsuka, 2020. "Technology adoption, impact, and extension in developing countries’ agriculture: A review of the recent literature," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 51(1), pages 31-45, January.
    9. Jude Esguerra, 2024. "Book Review of Agricultural development in Asia and Africa: essays in honor of Keijiro Otsuka," Philippine Review of Economics, University of the Philippines School of Economics and Philippine Economic Society, vol. 61(1), pages 87-93, June.
    10. Jayne, Thomas S. & Mason, Nicole M. & Burke, William J. & Ariga, Joshua, 2018. "Review: Taking stock of Africa’s second-generation agricultural input subsidy programs," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 1-14.
    11. Maertens, Miet & Oyinbo, Oyakhilomen & Abdoulaye, Tahirou & Chamberlin, Jordan, 2023. "Sustainable maize intensification through site-specific nutrient management advice: Experimental evidence from Nigeria," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
    12. Vijaya Ramachandran, 2021. "Convergence, Development, and Energy-Intensive Infrastructure in Africa: A Review of the Evidence," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(19), pages 1-23, September.
    13. Kayenat Kabir & Uris Lantz C. Baldos & Thomas W. Hertel, 2023. "The new Malthusian challenge in the Sahel: prospects for improving food security in Niger," Food Security: The Science, Sociology and Economics of Food Production and Access to Food, Springer;The International Society for Plant Pathology, vol. 15(2), pages 455-476, April.
    14. Srijna Jha & Harald Kaechele & Marcos Lana & T.S Amjath-Babu & Stefan Sieber, 2020. "Exploring Farmers’ Perceptions of Agricultural Technologies: A Case Study from Tanzania," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-21, January.
    15. Samuel Chukwudi Agunyai & Lere Amusan, 2023. "Implications of Land Grabbing and Resource Curse for Sustainable Development Goal 2 in Africa: Can Globalization Be Blamed?," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(14), pages 1-18, July.
    16. Rogna, Marco, 2023. "The Effects of Rising Prices on Corn Production in Western African Countries," 97th Annual Conference, March 27-29, 2023, Warwick University, Coventry, UK 334549, Agricultural Economics Society - AES.
    17. Relwendé A. Nikiema & Sakiko Shiratori & Jules Rafalimanantsoa & Ryosuke Ozaki & Takeshi Sakurai, 2023. "How are higher rice yields associated with dietary outcomes of smallholder farm households of Madagascar?," Food Security: The Science, Sociology and Economics of Food Production and Access to Food, Springer;The International Society for Plant Pathology, vol. 15(3), pages 823-838, June.
    18. Sung Kyu Kim & Fiona Marshall & Neil M. Dawson, 2022. "Revisiting Rwanda’s agricultural intensification policy: benefits of embracing farmer heterogeneity and crop-livestock integration strategies," Food Security: The Science, Sociology and Economics of Food Production and Access to Food, Springer;The International Society for Plant Pathology, vol. 14(3), pages 637-656, June.
    19. Keijiro Otsuka & Yukichi Mano & Kazushi Takahashi, 2023. "The Rice Green Revolution in Sub-Saharan Africa: Issues and Opportunities," Natural Resource Management and Policy, in: Keijiro Otsuka & Yukichi Mano & Kazushi Takahashi (ed.), Rice Green Revolution in Sub-Saharan Africa, chapter 0, pages 3-24, Springer.
    20. Ateka, Josiah & Onono-Okelo, Perez Ayieko & Etyang, Martin, 2021. "Does the inverse farm size productivity hypothesis hold for perennial monocrop systems in developing countries? Evidence from Kenya," African Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, African Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 16(3), September.
    21. Emelie Rohne Till, 2021. "A green revolution in sub‐Saharan Africa? The transformation of Ethiopia's agricultural sector," Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(2), pages 277-315, March.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Green Revolution; agricultural revolution; sub-Saharan Africa; maize; rice;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O13 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Agriculture; Natural Resources; Environment; Other Primary Products
    • Q16 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - R&D; Agricultural Technology; Biofuels; Agricultural Extension Services
    • Q18 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Agricultural Policy; Food Policy; Animal Welfare Policy

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