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Contribution of changes in atmospheric circulation patterns to extreme temperature trends

Author

Listed:
  • Daniel E. Horton

    (Stanford University
    Woods Institute for the Environment, Stanford University)

  • Nathaniel C. Johnson

    (International Pacific Research Center, University of Hawaii at Manoa
    Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California San Diego
    Cooperative Institute for Climate Science, Princeton University)

  • Deepti Singh

    (Stanford University)

  • Daniel L. Swain

    (Stanford University)

  • Bala Rajaratnam

    (Stanford University
    Woods Institute for the Environment, Stanford University
    Stanford University)

  • Noah S. Diffenbaugh

    (Stanford University
    Woods Institute for the Environment, Stanford University)

Abstract

This study identifies statistically significant trends in mid-atmospheric circulation patterns that partially explain observed changes in extreme temperature occurrence over Eurasia and North America; although the underlying cause of circulation pattern trends remains uncertain, most extreme temperature trends are shown to be consistent with thermodynamic warming.

Suggested Citation

  • Daniel E. Horton & Nathaniel C. Johnson & Deepti Singh & Daniel L. Swain & Bala Rajaratnam & Noah S. Diffenbaugh, 2015. "Contribution of changes in atmospheric circulation patterns to extreme temperature trends," Nature, Nature, vol. 522(7557), pages 465-469, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:nature:v:522:y:2015:i:7557:d:10.1038_nature14550
    DOI: 10.1038/nature14550
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    Cited by:

    1. Wang, Fei & Lai, Hexin & Li, Yanbin & Feng, Kai & Zhang, Zezhong & Tian, Qingqing & Zhu, Xiaomeng & Yang, Haibo, 2022. "Dynamic variation of meteorological drought and its relationships with agricultural drought across China," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 261(C).
    2. Feiyu Wang & Keqin Duan & Lei Zou, 2019. "Urbanization Effects on Human-Perceived Temperature Changes in the North China Plain," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(12), pages 1-15, June.
    3. Efi Rousi & Kai Kornhuber & Goratz Beobide-Arsuaga & Fei Luo & Dim Coumou, 2022. "Accelerated western European heatwave trends linked to more-persistent double jets over Eurasia," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-11, December.
    4. Zhengtai Zhang & Wenchao Han & Tian Xian, 2024. "Contributions of changes in atmospheric circulation and thermodynamic factors to trends in spring gale events in northern China from 1973 to 2020," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 177(6), pages 1-14, June.
    5. Srihari Sundar & Michael T. Craig & Ashley E. Payne & David J. Brayshaw & Flavio Lehner, 2023. "Meteorological drivers of resource adequacy failures in current and high renewable Western U.S. power systems," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-13, December.
    6. Robert Vautard & Julien Cattiaux & Tamara Happé & Jitendra Singh & Rémy Bonnet & Christophe Cassou & Dim Coumou & Fabio D’Andrea & Davide Faranda & Erich Fischer & Aurélien Ribes & Sebastian Sippel & , 2023. "Heat extremes in Western Europe increasing faster than simulated due to atmospheric circulation trends," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-9, December.
    7. Li, Muyuan & Yao, Jinfeng & Shen, Yanbo & Yuan, Bin & Simmonds, Ian & Liu, Yunyun, 2023. "Impact of synoptic circulation patterns on renewable energy-related variables over China," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).
    8. Kexin Zhang & Jiajia Luo & Jiaoting Peng & Hongchang Zhang & Yan Ji & Hong Wang, 2022. "Analysis of Extreme Temperature Variations on the Yunnan-Guizhou Plateau in Southwestern China over the Past 60 Years," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-17, July.
    9. Frances C. Moore, 2017. "Learning, Adaptation, And Weather In A Changing Climate," Climate Change Economics (CCE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 8(04), pages 1-21, November.
    10. Mingyu Park & Nathaniel C. Johnson & Thomas L. Delworth, 2024. "The driving of North American climate extremes by North Pacific stationary-transient wave interference," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-18, December.
    11. Xiaoting Sun & Qinghua Ding & Shih-Yu Simon Wang & Dániel Topál & Qingquan Li & Christopher Castro & Haiyan Teng & Rui Luo & Yihui Ding, 2022. "Enhanced jet stream waviness induced by suppressed tropical Pacific convection during boreal summer," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-10, December.
    12. Xiuping Yi & Ling Zou & Zigeng Niu & Daoyang Jiang & Qian Cao, 2022. "Multi-Model Ensemble Projections of Winter Extreme Temperature Events on the Chinese Mainland," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(10), pages 1-21, May.
    13. Xiaoyan Liang & Zhenmin Niu & Xiaolong Li, 2023. "Temporal and Spatial Variations of Extreme Climate Events in Northwestern China from 1960 to 2020," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(20), pages 1-20, October.
    14. Sarah M. Anderson & Linda S. Heath & Marla R. Emery & Jeffrey A. Hicke & Jeremy S. Littell & Alan Lucier & Jeffrey G. Masek & David L. Peterson & Richard Pouyat & Kevin M. Potter & Guy Robertson & Jin, 2021. "Developing a set of indicators to identify, monitor, and track impacts and change in forests of the United States," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 165(1), pages 1-16, March.
    15. Sergio M. Vicente‐Serrano & Tim R. McVicar & Diego G. Miralles & Yuting Yang & Miquel Tomas‐Burguera, 2020. "Unraveling the influence of atmospheric evaporative demand on drought and its response to climate change," Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 11(2), March.
    16. S. E. Perkins-Kirkpatrick & C. J. White & L. V. Alexander & D. Argüeso & G. Boschat & T. Cowan & J. P. Evans & M. Ekström & E. C. J. Oliver & A. Phatak & A. Purich, 2016. "Natural hazards in Australia: heatwaves," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 139(1), pages 101-114, November.
    17. Na Zhao & Mingxing Chen, 2021. "A Comprehensive Study of Spatiotemporal Variations in Temperature Extremes across China during 1960–2018," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(7), pages 1-16, March.
    18. M. Carmen Alvarez-Castro & Davide Faranda & Pascal Yiou, 2018. "Atmospheric Dynamics Leading to West European Summer Hot Temperatures Since 1851," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2018, pages 1-10, January.
    19. Xing Zhang & Tianjun Zhou & Wenxia Zhang & Liwen Ren & Jie Jiang & Shuai Hu & Meng Zuo & Lixia Zhang & Wenmin Man, 2023. "Increased impact of heat domes on 2021-like heat extremes in North America under global warming," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-11, December.
    20. Bedassa R. Cheneka & Simon J. Watson & Sukanta Basu, 2021. "Associating Synoptic-Scale Weather Patterns with Aggregated Offshore Wind Power Production and Ramps," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(13), pages 1-14, June.

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