IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/agiwat/v261y2022ics0378377421005783.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Dynamic variation of meteorological drought and its relationships with agricultural drought across China

Author

Listed:
  • Wang, Fei
  • Lai, Hexin
  • Li, Yanbin
  • Feng, Kai
  • Zhang, Zezhong
  • Tian, Qingqing
  • Zhu, Xiaomeng
  • Yang, Haibo

Abstract

Under the background of climate warming, the global water cycle is gradually accelerating, which will lead to increased drought frequency and severity. China is one of the countries with the highest drought risk and the most serious drought impact, accompanied by abnormal and variable drought characteristics in recent decades. However, the dynamic variation of meteorological drought and its complicated relationships with agricultural drought are still unclear across China. In this study, the characteristics of meteorological drought were comprehensively identified across China during 1960–2019. The spatio-temporal variations and gridded trend characteristics of meteorological drought were revealed during the study period. Subsequently, the return period of meteorological drought was quantitatively determined based on copula models. Finally, the relationships between meteorological and agricultural drought were explicitly clarified. The results indicated that: (1) meteorological drought showed an increasing trend across China from 1960 to 2019, especially since the 1990s; (2) the most serious meteorological drought occurred in 2011, with a minimum standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI) value of –0.81; (3) the percentage of drought area (PDA) with an increasing trend in spring, summer, autumn and winter was 85.8%, 77.4%, 97.7% and 12.9%, respectively; (4) the most appropriate copula model of meteorological drought severity and duration was Frank copula; and (5) the propagation time from meteorological to agricultural drought was longer in winter and shorter in summer, which can determine the appropriate irrigation period and predict the occurrence of agricultural drought. This study sheds new viewpoints into the identification of meteorological drought variation and its relationships with agricultural drought, which can also be applied in other areas.

Suggested Citation

  • Wang, Fei & Lai, Hexin & Li, Yanbin & Feng, Kai & Zhang, Zezhong & Tian, Qingqing & Zhu, Xiaomeng & Yang, Haibo, 2022. "Dynamic variation of meteorological drought and its relationships with agricultural drought across China," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 261(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:agiwat:v:261:y:2022:i:c:s0378377421005783
    DOI: 10.1016/j.agwat.2021.107301
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378377421005783
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.agwat.2021.107301?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ying Sun & Xuebin Zhang & Guoyu Ren & Francis W. Zwiers & Ting Hu, 2016. "Contribution of urbanization to warming in China," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 6(7), pages 706-709, July.
    2. Zuo, Depeng & Cai, Siyang & Xu, Zongxue & Peng, Dingzhi & Kan, Guangyuan & Sun, Wenchao & Pang, Bo & Yang, Hong, 2019. "Assessment of meteorological and agricultural droughts using in-situ observations and remote sensing data," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 222(C), pages 125-138.
    3. Daniel E. Horton & Nathaniel C. Johnson & Deepti Singh & Daniel L. Swain & Bala Rajaratnam & Noah S. Diffenbaugh, 2015. "Contribution of changes in atmospheric circulation patterns to extreme temperature trends," Nature, Nature, vol. 522(7557), pages 465-469, June.
    4. Hyedeuk Bae & Heesook Ji & Yoon-Jin Lim & Young Ryu & Moon-Hyun Kim & Baek-Jo Kim, 2019. "Characteristics of drought propagation in South Korea: relationship between meteorological, agricultural, and hydrological droughts," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 99(1), pages 1-16, October.
    5. Ding, Yibo & Gong, Xinglong & Xing, Zhenxiang & Cai, Huanjie & Zhou, Zhaoqiang & Zhang, Doudou & Sun, Peng & Shi, Haiyun, 2021. "Attribution of meteorological, hydrological and agricultural drought propagation in different climatic regions of China," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 255(C).
    6. Aiguo Dai, 2011. "Drought under global warming: a review," Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 2(1), pages 45-65, January.
    7. Xu, Yang & Zhang, Xuan & Hao, Zengchao & Hao, Fanghua & Li, Chong, 2021. "Projections of future meteorological droughts in China under CMIP6 from a three‐dimensional perspective," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 252(C).
    8. Huang, Shengzhi & Wang, Lu & Wang, Hao & Huang, Qiang & Leng, Guoyong & Fang, Wei & Zhang, Ying, 2019. "Spatio-temporal characteristics of drought structure across China using an integrated drought index," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 218(C), pages 182-192.
    9. Huang, Shengzhi & Huang, Qiang & Chang, Jianxia & Leng, Guoyong & Xing, Li, 2015. "The response of agricultural drought to meteorological drought and the influencing factors: A case study in the Wei River Basin, China," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 159(C), pages 45-54.
    10. Yang, Shihong & Xu, Junzeng & Liu, Xiaoyin & Zhang, Jiangang & Wang, Yijiang, 2016. "Variations of carbon dioxide exchange in paddy field ecosystem under water-saving irrigation in Southeast China," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 166(C), pages 42-52.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Zhang, Fan & Cui, Ningbo & Guo, Shanshan & Yue, Qiong & Jiang, Shouzheng & Zhu, Bin & Yu, Xiuyun, 2023. "Irrigation strategy optimization in irrigation districts with seasonal agricultural drought in southwest China: A copula-based stochastic multiobjective approach," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 282(C).
    2. Zhang, Tao & Qiu, Rangjian & Ding, Risheng & Wu, Jingwei & Clothier, Brent, 2023. "Multi-scale spectral characteristics of latent heat flux over flooded rice and winter wheat rotation system," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 288(C).
    3. Zhang, Qi & Yu, Xin & Qiu, Rangjian & Liu, Zhongxian & Yang, Zaiqiang, 2022. "Evolution, severity, and spatial extent of compound drought and heat events in north China based on copula model," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 273(C).
    4. Qin, Nianxiu & Lu, Qinqin & Fu, Guobin & Wang, Junneng & Fei, Kai & Gao, Liang, 2023. "Assessing the drought impact on sugarcane yield based on crop water requirements and standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 275(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Dai, Meng & Huang, Shengzhi & Huang, Qiang & Leng, Guoyong & Guo, Yi & Wang, Lu & Fang, Wei & Li, Pei & Zheng, Xudong, 2020. "Assessing agricultural drought risk and its dynamic evolution characteristics," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
    2. Samantaray, Alok Kumar & Ramadas, Meenu & Panda, Rabindra Kumar, 2022. "Changes in drought characteristics based on rainfall pattern drought index and the CMIP6 multi-model ensemble," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 266(C).
    3. Cai, Siyang & Zuo, Depeng & Wang, Huixiao & Xu, Zongxue & Wang, GuoQing & Yang, Hong, 2023. "Assessment of agricultural drought based on multi-source remote sensing data in a major grain producing area of Northwest China," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 278(C).
    4. Zhan, Cun & Liang, Chuan & Zhao, Lu & Jiang, Shouzheng & Niu, Kaijie & Zhang, Yaling, 2023. "Multifractal characteristics of multiscale drought in the Yellow River Basin, China," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 609(C).
    5. Li, Liang & Peng, Qing & Wang, Maodong & Cao, Yuxin & Gu, Xiaobo & Cai, Huanjie, 2024. "Quantitative analysis of vegetation drought propagation process and uncertainty in the Yellow River Basin," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 295(C).
    6. Qianchuan Mi & Chuanyou Ren & Yanhua Wang & Xining Gao & Limin Liu & Yue Li, 2023. "A robust ensemble drought index: construction and assessment," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 116(1), pages 1139-1159, March.
    7. Feiyu Wang & Keqin Duan & Lei Zou, 2019. "Urbanization Effects on Human-Perceived Temperature Changes in the North China Plain," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(12), pages 1-15, June.
    8. Na Zhao & Mingxing Chen, 2021. "A Comprehensive Study of Spatiotemporal Variations in Temperature Extremes across China during 1960–2018," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(7), pages 1-16, March.
    9. Zhang, Yu & Hao, Zengchao & Feng, Sifang & Zhang, Xuan & Xu, Yang & Hao, Fanghua, 2021. "Agricultural drought prediction in China based on drought propagation and large-scale drivers," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 255(C).
    10. Chong Du & Jiashuo Chen & Tangzhe Nie & Changlei Dai, 2022. "Spatial–temporal changes in meteorological and agricultural droughts in Northeast China: change patterns, response relationships and causes," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 110(1), pages 155-173, January.
    11. Susca, T. & Zanghirella, F. & Colasuonno, L. & Del Fatto, V., 2022. "Effect of green wall installation on urban heat island and building energy use: A climate-informed systematic literature review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
    12. Yanqun Ren & Jinping Liu & Patrick Willems & Tie Liu & Quoc Bao Pham, 2023. "Detection and Assessment of Changing Drought Events in China in the Context of Climate Change Based on the Intensity–Area–Duration Algorithm," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(10), pages 1-18, September.
    13. Srihari Sundar & Michael T. Craig & Ashley E. Payne & David J. Brayshaw & Flavio Lehner, 2023. "Meteorological drivers of resource adequacy failures in current and high renewable Western U.S. power systems," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-13, December.
    14. Mondol, Md Anarul Haque & Zhu, Xuan & Dunkerley, David & Henley, Benjamin J., 2021. "Observed meteorological drought trends in Bangladesh identified with the Effective Drought Index (EDI)," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 255(C).
    15. Baoni Li & Lihua Xiong & Quan Zhang & Shilei Chen & Han Yang & Shuhui Guo, 2022. "Effects of land use/cover change on atmospheric humidity in three urban agglomerations in the Yangtze River Economic Belt, China," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 113(1), pages 577-613, August.
    16. Ashenafi Yimam Kassaye & Guangcheng Shao & Xiaojun Wang & Shiqing Wu, 2021. "Quantification of drought severity change in Ethiopia during 1952–2017," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 23(4), pages 5096-5121, April.
    17. Youxin Wang & Tao Peng & Qingxia Lin & Vijay P. Singh & Xiaohua Dong & Chen Chen & Ji Liu & Wenjuan Chang & Gaoxu Wang, 2022. "A New Non-stationary Hydrological Drought Index Encompassing Climate Indices and Modified Reservoir Index as Covariates," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 36(7), pages 2433-2454, May.
    18. Li, Muyuan & Yao, Jinfeng & Shen, Yanbo & Yuan, Bin & Simmonds, Ian & Liu, Yunyun, 2023. "Impact of synoptic circulation patterns on renewable energy-related variables over China," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).
    19. Lv, Yuping & Gu, Linhui & Xu, Junzeng & Liu, Xiaoyin, 2024. "A coupled hourly water-carbon flux model at plot and field scales for water-saving irrigated rice paddy," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 293(C).
    20. Luong, Tuan Anh & Nguyen, Manh-Hung & Truong, N.T. Khuong & Le, Kien, 2023. "Rainfall variability and internal migration: The importance of agriculture linkage and gender inequality," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 326-336.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:agiwat:v:261:y:2022:i:c:s0378377421005783. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/agwat .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.