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The Amazon basin in transition

Author

Listed:
  • Eric A. Davidson

    (The Woods Hole Research Center, 149 Woods Hole Road)

  • Alessandro C. de Araújo

    (Embrapa Amazônia Oriental, Travessa Dr. Enéas Pinheiro, s/n, Marco, Caixa Postal 48, Belém, Pará 66095-100, Brazil
    Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas da Amazonia (INPA), Large Scale Biosphere-Atmosphere Experiment in Amazonia (LBA), Avenida André Araújo, 2936, Manaus, Amazonas, 69060-001, Brazil)

  • Paulo Artaxo

    (Instituto de Física, Universidade de São Paulo, Rua do Matão, Travessa R, 187, São Paulo, SP 05508-090, Brazil)

  • Jennifer K. Balch

    (The Woods Hole Research Center, 149 Woods Hole Road
    National Center for Ecological Analysis and Synthesis, 735 State Street, Suite 300, Santa Barbara, California 93101, USA)

  • I. Foster Brown

    (The Woods Hole Research Center, 149 Woods Hole Road
    Universidade Federal do Acre, Mestrado em Ecologia e Manejo de Recursos Naturais, Parque Zoobotânico, Distrito Industrial, Rio Branco, AC 69915-900, Brazil)

  • Mercedes M. C. Bustamante

    (Universidade de Brasília, Instituto de Ciências Biológicas, Campus Universitário Darcy Ribeiro, Asa Norte, Brasília, Distrito Federal 70910-900, Brazil)

  • Michael T. Coe

    (The Woods Hole Research Center, 149 Woods Hole Road)

  • Ruth S. DeFries

    (Columbia University, Evolution, and Environmental Biology, 1200 Amsterdam Avenue, New York, New York 10027, USA)

  • Michael Keller

    (USDA Forest Service, International Institute of Tropical Forestry, Jardín Botánico Sur, 1201 Calle Ceiba, San Juan, Puerto Rico 00926-1119, USA
    Embrapa Monitoramento por Satélite, Avenida Soldado Passarinho, 303, Fazenda Chapadão, Campinas, São Paulo, Brazil)

  • Marcos Longo

    (Harvard University, School of Engineering and Applied Sciences, 20 Oxford Street, Cambridge, Massachusetts 02138, USA)

  • J. William Munger

    (Harvard University, School of Engineering and Applied Sciences, 20 Oxford Street, Cambridge, Massachusetts 02138, USA)

  • Wilfrid Schroeder

    (University of Maryland, Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center, 5825 University Research Court Suite 4001, College Park, Maryland 20740, USA)

  • Britaldo S. Soares-Filho

    (Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Centro de Sensoriamento Remoto, Avenida Antônio Carlos 6627, Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais 31270-900, Brazil)

  • Carlos M. Souza

    (Imazon, Centro de Geotecnologia do Imazon, Rua Domingos Marreiros 2020, Belém, Pará 66060-160, Brazil)

  • Steven C. Wofsy

    (Harvard University, School of Engineering and Applied Sciences, 20 Oxford Street, Cambridge, Massachusetts 02138, USA)

Abstract

A synthesis of recent research shows that the effects of human actions have already altered the regional hydrology and energy balance of parts of the Amazon basin, and that interactions between deforestation, fire and climate change are likely to further alter carbon storage, precipitation patterns and river discharge.

Suggested Citation

  • Eric A. Davidson & Alessandro C. de Araújo & Paulo Artaxo & Jennifer K. Balch & I. Foster Brown & Mercedes M. C. Bustamante & Michael T. Coe & Ruth S. DeFries & Michael Keller & Marcos Longo & J. Will, 2012. "The Amazon basin in transition," Nature, Nature, vol. 481(7381), pages 321-328, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:nature:v:481:y:2012:i:7381:d:10.1038_nature10717
    DOI: 10.1038/nature10717
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    Cited by:

    1. de Oliveira, Renan G. & Valle Júnior, Luiz Claudio G. & da Silva, Jonh Billy & Espíndola, Duani A.L.F. & Lopes, Rute D. & Nogueira, José S. & Curado, Leone F.A. & Rodrigues, Thiago R., 2021. "Temporal trend changes in reference evapotranspiration contrasting different land uses in southern Amazon basin," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 250(C).
    2. Caviglia-Harris, Jill & Biggs, Trent & Ferreira, Elvino & Harris, Daniel W. & Mullan, Katrina & Sills, Erin O., 2021. "The color of water: The contributions of green and blue water to agricultural productivity in the Western Brazilian Amazon," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    3. Mya Sherman & James Ford & Alejandro Llanos-Cuentas & María José Valdivia, 2016. "Food system vulnerability amidst the extreme 2010–2011 flooding in the Peruvian Amazon: a case study from the Ucayali region," Food Security: The Science, Sociology and Economics of Food Production and Access to Food, Springer;The International Society for Plant Pathology, vol. 8(3), pages 551-570, June.
    4. Franklin, Sergio L. & Pindyck, Robert S., 2018. "Tropical Forests, Tipping Points, and the Social Cost of Deforestation," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 153(C), pages 161-171.
    5. Damien Arvor & Marion Daugeard & Isabelle Tritsch & Neli Aparecida Mello-Thery & Hervé Thery & Vincent Dubreuil, 2018. "Combining socioeconomic development with environmental governance in the Brazilian Amazon: the Mato Grosso agricultural frontier at a tipping point," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 20(1), pages 1-22, February.
    6. da Silva, Israel W.H. & Marques, Thiago V. & Urbano, Stela A. & Mendes, Keila R. & Oliveira, Ane Caroline C.F. & Nascimento, Fábio da S. & de Morais, Leonardo Fiusa & Pereira, Waldeir dos S. & Mutti, , 2024. "Meteorological and biophysical controls of evapotranspiration in tropical grazed pasture under rainfed conditions," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 299(C).
    7. Solange Filoso & Maíra Ometto Bezerra & Katherine C B Weiss & Margaret A Palmer, 2017. "Impacts of forest restoration on water yield: A systematic review," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 12(8), pages 1-26, August.
    8. Athayde, Simone & Duarte, Carla G. & Gallardo, Amarilis L.C.F. & Moretto, Evandro M. & Sangoi, Luisa A. & Dibo, Ana Paula A. & Siqueira-Gay, Juliana & Sánchez, Luis E., 2019. "Improving policies and instruments to address cumulative impacts of small hydropower in the Amazon," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 265-271.
    9. Yuanwei Qin & Xiangming Xiao & Fang Liu & Fabio Sa e Silva & Yosio Shimabukuro & Egidio Arai & Philip Martin Fearnside, 2023. "Forest conservation in Indigenous territories and protected areas in the Brazilian Amazon," Nature Sustainability, Nature, vol. 6(3), pages 295-305, March.
    10. Jose Manuel Ochoa-Quintero & Charlotte H. Chang & Toby A. Gardner & Mariluce Rezende Messias & William J. Sutherland & Fernanda A. C. Delben, 2017. "Habitat Loss on Rondon’s Marmoset Potential Distribution," Land, MDPI, vol. 6(1), pages 1-15, January.
    11. David López-Carr, 2021. "A Review of Small Farmer Land Use and Deforestation in Tropical Forest Frontiers: Implications for Conservation and Sustainable Livelihoods," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(11), pages 1-23, October.
    12. Conceição, Katyanne V. & Chaves, Michel E.D. & Picoli, Michelle C.A. & Sánchez, Alber H. & Soares, Anderson R. & Mataveli, Guilherme A.V. & Silva, Daniel E. & Costa, Joelma S. & Camara, Gilberto, 2021. "Government policies endanger the indigenous peoples of the Brazilian Amazon," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
    13. Elton Luis Silva Abel & Rafael Coll Delgado & Regiane Souza Vilanova & Paulo Eduardo Teodoro & Carlos Antonio Silva Junior & Marcel Carvalho Abreu & Guilherme Fernando Capristo Silva, 2021. "Environmental dynamics of the Juruá watershed in the Amazon," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 23(5), pages 6769-6785, May.
    14. Caviglia-Harris, Jill & Sills, Erin & Bell, Andrew & Harris, Daniel & Mullan, Katrina & Roberts, Dar, 2016. "Busting the Boom–Bust Pattern of Development in the Brazilian Amazon," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 82-96.
    15. Yanfeng Wang & Ping Huang, 2022. "Potential fire risks in South America under anthropogenic forcing hidden by the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-9, December.
    16. Cammelli, Federico & Angelsen, Arild, 2019. "Amazonian farmers' response to fire policies and climate change," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 165(C), pages 1-1.
    17. Alkimim, Akenya & Clarke, Keith C., 2018. "Land use change and the carbon debt for sugarcane ethanol production in Brazil," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 65-73.
    18. Caetano, Marco Antonio Leonel & Gherardi, Douglas Francisco Marcolino & Yoneyama, Takashi, 2013. "A constraint satisfaction method applied to the problem of controlling the CO2 emission in the Legal Brazilian Amazon," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(21), pages 5322-5329.
    19. Darren Norris & Marie-Josée Fortin & William E Magnusson, 2014. "Towards Monitoring Biodiversity in Amazonian Forests: How Regular Samples Capture Meso-Scale Altitudinal Variation in 25 km2 Plots," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 9(8), pages 1-9, August.
    20. Yue Li & Paulo M. Brando & Douglas C. Morton & David M. Lawrence & Hui Yang & James T. Randerson, 2022. "Deforestation-induced climate change reduces carbon storage in remaining tropical forests," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-13, December.
    21. Manners, Rhys & Varela-Ortega, Consuelo, 2018. "The Role of Decision-making in Ecosystem Service Trade-offs in Lowland Bolivia's Amazonian Agricultural Systems," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 153(C), pages 31-42.
    22. Júlia Alves Menezes & Ulisses Confalonieri & Ana Paula Madureira & Isabela de Brito Duval & Rhavena Barbosa dos Santos & Carina Margonari, 2018. "Mapping human vulnerability to climate change in the Brazilian Amazon: The construction of a municipal vulnerability index," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 13(2), pages 1-30, February.
    23. May, Peter H. & Soares-Filho, Britaldo Silveira & Strand, Jon, 2013. "How much is the Amazon worth ? the state of knowledge concerning the value of preserving amazon rainforests," Policy Research Working Paper Series 6668, The World Bank.
    24. Xiangzheng Deng & Chunhong Zhao & Yingzhi Lin & Tao Zhang & Yi Qu & Fan Zhang & Zhan Wang & Feng Wu, 2014. "Downscaling the Impacts of Large-Scale LUCC on Surface Temperature along with IPCC RCPs: A Global Perspective," Energies, MDPI, vol. 7(4), pages 1-20, April.

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