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Substantially underestimated global health risks of current ozone pollution

Author

Listed:
  • Yuan Wang

    (Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology)

  • Yuanjian Yang

    (Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology)

  • Qiangqiang Yuan

    (Wuhan University)

  • Tongwen Li

    (Sun Yat-sen University)

  • Yi Zhou

    (Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology)

  • Lian Zong

    (Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology)

  • Mengya Wang

    (Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology)

  • Zunyi Xie

    (Henan University)

  • Hung Chak Ho

    (The City University of Hong Kong)

  • Meng Gao

    (Hong Kong Baptist University)

  • Shilu Tong

    (Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology
    Chinese Centre for Disease Control and Prevention
    Queensland University of Technology)

  • Simone Lolli

    (Contrada S)

  • Liangpei Zhang

    (Wuhan University)

Abstract

Existing assessments might have underappreciated ozone-related health impacts worldwide. Here our study assesses current global ozone pollution using the high-resolution (0.05°) estimation from a geo-ensemble learning model, with key focuses on population exposure and all-cause mortality burden. Our model demonstrates strong performance, achieving a mean bias of less than -1.5 parts per billion against in-situ measurements. We estimate that 66.2% of the global population is exposed to excess ozone for short term (> 30 days per year), and 94.2% suffers from long-term exposure. Furthermore, severe ozone exposure levels are observed in Cropland areas, particularly over Asia. Importantly, the all-cause ozone-attributable deaths significantly surpass previous recognition from specific diseases worldwide. Notably, mid-latitude Asia (30°N) and the western United States show high mortality burden, contributing substantially to global ozone-attributable deaths. Our study highlights current significant global ozone-related health risks and may benefit the ozone-exposed population in the future.

Suggested Citation

  • Yuan Wang & Yuanjian Yang & Qiangqiang Yuan & Tongwen Li & Yi Zhou & Lian Zong & Mengya Wang & Zunyi Xie & Hung Chak Ho & Meng Gao & Shilu Tong & Simone Lolli & Liangpei Zhang, 2025. "Substantially underestimated global health risks of current ozone pollution," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 16(1), pages 1-15, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:16:y:2025:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-024-55450-0
    DOI: 10.1038/s41467-024-55450-0
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