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Risk of SARS-CoV-2 reinfection during multiple Omicron variant waves in the UK general population

Author

Listed:
  • Jia Wei

    (University of Oxford
    University of Oxford)

  • Nicole Stoesser

    (University of Oxford
    John Radcliffe Hospital
    The National Institute for Health Research Health Protection Research Unit in Healthcare Associated Infections and Antimicrobial Resistance at the University of Oxford
    University of Oxford)

  • Philippa C. Matthews

    (University of Oxford
    The Francis Crick Institute
    University College London)

  • Tarnjit Khera

    (Office for National Statistics)

  • Owen Gethings

    (Office for National Statistics)

  • Ian Diamond

    (Office for National Statistics)

  • Ruth Studley

    (Office for National Statistics)

  • Nick Taylor

    (Office for National Statistics)

  • Tim E. A. Peto

    (University of Oxford
    John Radcliffe Hospital
    The National Institute for Health Research Health Protection Research Unit in Healthcare Associated Infections and Antimicrobial Resistance at the University of Oxford
    University of Oxford)

  • A. Sarah Walker

    (University of Oxford
    University of Oxford
    The National Institute for Health Research Health Protection Research Unit in Healthcare Associated Infections and Antimicrobial Resistance at the University of Oxford
    MRC Clinical Trials Unit at UCL, UCL)

  • Koen B. Pouwels

    (The National Institute for Health Research Health Protection Research Unit in Healthcare Associated Infections and Antimicrobial Resistance at the University of Oxford
    University of Oxford)

  • David W. Eyre

    (University of Oxford
    John Radcliffe Hospital
    The National Institute for Health Research Health Protection Research Unit in Healthcare Associated Infections and Antimicrobial Resistance at the University of Oxford
    University of Oxford)

Abstract

SARS-CoV-2 reinfections increased substantially after Omicron variants emerged. Large-scale community-based comparisons across multiple Omicron waves of reinfection characteristics, risk factors, and protection afforded by previous infection and vaccination, are limited. Here we studied ~45,000 reinfections from the UK’s national COVID-19 Infection Survey and quantified the risk of reinfection in multiple waves, including those driven by BA.1, BA.2, BA.4/5, and BQ.1/CH.1.1/XBB.1.5 variants. Reinfections were associated with lower viral load and lower percentages of self-reporting symptoms compared with first infections. Across multiple Omicron waves, estimated protection against reinfection was significantly higher in those previously infected with more recent than earlier variants, even at the same time from previous infection. Estimated protection against Omicron reinfections decreased over time from the most recent infection if this was the previous or penultimate variant (generally within the preceding year). Those 14–180 days after receiving their most recent vaccination had a lower risk of reinfection than those >180 days from their most recent vaccination. Reinfection risk was independently higher in those aged 30–45 years, and with either low or high viral load in their most recent previous infection. Overall, the risk of Omicron reinfection is high, but with lower severity than first infections; both viral evolution and waning immunity are independently associated with reinfection.

Suggested Citation

  • Jia Wei & Nicole Stoesser & Philippa C. Matthews & Tarnjit Khera & Owen Gethings & Ian Diamond & Ruth Studley & Nick Taylor & Tim E. A. Peto & A. Sarah Walker & Koen B. Pouwels & David W. Eyre, 2024. "Risk of SARS-CoV-2 reinfection during multiple Omicron variant waves in the UK general population," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-14, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:15:y:2024:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-024-44973-1
    DOI: 10.1038/s41467-024-44973-1
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jie Deng & Yirui Ma & Qiao Liu & Min Du & Min Liu & Jue Liu, 2023. "Severity and Outcomes of SARS-CoV-2 Reinfection Compared with Primary Infection: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(4), pages 1-12, February.
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