IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/nat/natcom/v13y2022i1d10.1038_s41467-022-30700-1.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Inferring the epidemiological benefit of indoor vector control interventions against malaria from mosquito data

Author

Listed:
  • Ellie Sherrard-Smith

    (Imperial College London)

  • Corine Ngufor

    (Centre de Recherches Entomologiques de Cotonou
    London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine)

  • Antoine Sanou

    (Centre National de Recherche et de Formation sur le Paludisme)

  • Moussa W. Guelbeogo

    (Centre National de Recherche et de Formation sur le Paludisme)

  • Raphael N’Guessan

    (London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine
    Institut Pierre Richet)

  • Eldo Elobolobo

    (Centro de Investigação em Saúde de Manhiça)

  • Francisco Saute

    (Centro de Investigação em Saúde de Manhiça)

  • Kenyssony Varela

    (Abt Associates)

  • Carlos J. Chaccour

    (ISGlobal)

  • Rose Zulliger

    (USAID)

  • Joseph Wagman

    (PATH)

  • Molly L. Robertson

    (PATH)

  • Mark Rowland

    (London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine)

  • Martin J. Donnelly

    (Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine)

  • Samuel Gonahasa

    (Infectious Diseases Research Collaboration)

  • Sarah G. Staedke

    (London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine)

  • Jan Kolaczinski

    (World Health Organization)

  • Thomas S. Churcher

    (Imperial College London)

Abstract

The cause of malaria transmission has been known for over a century but it is still unclear whether entomological measures are sufficiently reliable to inform policy decisions in human health. Decision-making on the effectiveness of new insecticide-treated nets (ITNs) and the indoor residual spraying of insecticide (IRS) have been based on epidemiological data, typically collected in cluster-randomised control trials. The number of these trials that can be conducted is limited. Here we use a systematic review to highlight that efficacy estimates of the same intervention may vary substantially between trials. Analyses indicate that mosquito data collected in experimental hut trials can be used to parameterize mechanistic models for Plasmodium falciparum malaria and reliably predict the epidemiological efficacy of quick-acting, neuro-acting ITNs and IRS. Results suggest that for certain types of ITNs and IRS using this framework instead of clinical endpoints could support policy and expedite the widespread use of novel technologies.

Suggested Citation

  • Ellie Sherrard-Smith & Corine Ngufor & Antoine Sanou & Moussa W. Guelbeogo & Raphael N’Guessan & Eldo Elobolobo & Francisco Saute & Kenyssony Varela & Carlos J. Chaccour & Rose Zulliger & Joseph Wagma, 2022. "Inferring the epidemiological benefit of indoor vector control interventions against malaria from mosquito data," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-9, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:13:y:2022:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-022-30700-1
    DOI: 10.1038/s41467-022-30700-1
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-022-30700-1
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1038/s41467-022-30700-1?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Clare Strode & Sarah Donegan & Paul Garner & Ahmad Ali Enayati & Janet Hemingway, 2014. "The Impact of Pyrethroid Resistance on the Efficacy of Insecticide-Treated Bed Nets against African Anopheline Mosquitoes: Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis," PLOS Medicine, Public Library of Science, vol. 11(3), pages 1-32, March.
    2. Jamie T. Griffin & Neil M. Ferguson & Azra C. Ghani, 2014. "Estimates of the changing age-burden of Plasmodium falciparum malaria disease in sub-Saharan Africa," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 5(1), pages 1-10, May.
    3. Hannah Koenker & Albert Kilian, 2014. "Recalculating the Net Use Gap: A Multi-Country Comparison of ITN Use versus ITN Access," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 9(5), pages 1-7, May.
    4. Peter Winskill & Hannah C Slater & Jamie T Griffin & Azra C Ghani & Patrick G T Walker, 2017. "The US President's Malaria Initiative, Plasmodium falciparum transmission and mortality: A modelling study," PLOS Medicine, Public Library of Science, vol. 14(11), pages 1-14, November.
    5. Tini Garske & Neil M Ferguson & Azra C Ghani, 2013. "Estimating Air Temperature and Its Influence on Malaria Transmission across Africa," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 8(2), pages 1-13, February.
    6. Jane F. Namuganga & Adrienne Epstein & Joaniter I. Nankabirwa & Arthur Mpimbaza & Moses Kiggundu & Asadu Sserwanga & James Kapisi & Emmanuel Arinaitwe & Samuel Gonahasa & Jimmy Opigo & Chris Ebong & S, 2021. "The impact of stopping and starting indoor residual spraying on malaria burden in Uganda," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 12(1), pages 1-9, December.
    7. Hannah C. Slater & Amanda Ross & André Lin Ouédraogo & Lisa J. White & Chea Nguon & Patrick G.T. Walker & Pengby Ngor & Ricardo Aguas & Sheetal P. Silal & Arjen M. Dondorp & Paul La Barre & Robert Bur, 2015. "Assessing the impact of next-generation rapid diagnostic tests on Plasmodium falciparum malaria elimination strategies," Nature, Nature, vol. 528(7580), pages 94-101, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. H. Juliette T. Unwin & Ellie Sherrard-Smith & Thomas S. Churcher & Azra C. Ghani, 2023. "Quantifying the direct and indirect protection provided by insecticide treated bed nets against malaria," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-12, December.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. H. Juliette T. Unwin & Ellie Sherrard-Smith & Thomas S. Churcher & Azra C. Ghani, 2023. "Quantifying the direct and indirect protection provided by insecticide treated bed nets against malaria," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-12, December.
    2. Lucy C. Okell & Titus K. Kwambai & Aggrey Dhabangi & Carole Khairallah & Thandile Nkosi-Gondwe & Peter Winskill & Robert Opoka & Andria Mousa & Melf-Jakob Kühl & Tim C. D. Lucas & Joseph D. Challenger, 2023. "Projected health impact of post-discharge malaria chemoprevention among children with severe malarial anaemia in Africa," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-10, December.
    3. Katy A M Gaythorpe & Kévin Jean & Laurence Cibrelus & Tini Garske, 2019. "Quantifying model evidence for yellow fever transmission routes in Africa," PLOS Computational Biology, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(9), pages 1-18, September.
    4. A. N. Anoopkumar & Embalil Mathachan Aneesh, 2022. "A critical assessment of mosquito control and the influence of climate change on mosquito-borne disease epidemics," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 24(6), pages 8900-8929, June.
    5. Abraham Degarege & Kristopher Fennie & Dawit Degarege & Shasank Chennupati & Purnima Madhivanan, 2019. "Improving socioeconomic status may reduce the burden of malaria in sub Saharan Africa: A systematic review and meta-analysis," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 14(1), pages 1-26, January.
    6. Elena Esposito, 2018. "Side Effects of Immunity: The Rise of African Slavery in the US South," Cahiers de Recherches Economiques du Département d'économie 18.07, Université de Lausanne, Faculté des HEC, Département d’économie.
    7. Theresa Reiker & Monica Golumbeanu & Andrew Shattock & Lydia Burgert & Thomas A. Smith & Sarah Filippi & Ewan Cameron & Melissa A. Penny, 2021. "Emulator-based Bayesian optimization for efficient multi-objective calibration of an individual-based model of malaria," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 12(1), pages 1-11, December.
    8. Dinberu Seyoum & Niko Speybroeck & Luc Duchateau & Patrick Brandt & Angel Rosas-Aguirre, 2017. "Long-Lasting Insecticide Net Ownership, Access and Use in Southwest Ethiopia: A Community-Based Cross-Sectional Study," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-16, October.
    9. Lorenzo Cáceres Carrera & Carlos Victoria & Jose L Ramirez & Carmela Jackman & José E Calzada & Rolando Torres, 2019. "Study of the epidemiological behavior of malaria in the Darien Region, Panama. 2015–2017," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 14(11), pages 1-30, November.
    10. Cervellati, Matteo & Chiovelli, Giorgio & Esposito, Elena, 2019. "Bite and Divide: Malaria and Ethnolinguistic Diversity," CEPR Discussion Papers 13437, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    11. Margaux L. Sadoine & Audrey Smargiassi & Ying Liu & Philippe Gachon & Michel Fournier & Guillaume Dueymes & Jane Frances Namuganga & Grant Dorsey & Bouchra Nasri & Kate Zinszer, 2023. "Differential Influence of Environmental Factors on Malaria Due to Vector Control Interventions in Uganda," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(22), pages 1-13, November.
    12. Sierra Clark & Lea Berrang-Ford & Shuaib Lwasa & Didacus Namanya & Sabastian Twesigomwe & IHACC Research Team & Manisha Kulkarni, 2016. "A Longitudinal Analysis of Mosquito Net Ownership and Use in an Indigenous Batwa Population after a Targeted Distribution," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 11(5), pages 1-20, May.
    13. Kasahun Eba & Luc Duchateau & Beekam Kebede Olkeba & Pieter Boets & Dechasa Bedada & Peter L. M. Goethals & Seid Tiku Mereta & Delenasaw Yewhalaw, 2021. "Bio-Control of Anopheles Mosquito Larvae Using Invertebrate Predators to Support Human Health Programs in Ethiopia," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(4), pages 1-9, February.
    14. Woldegerima, Woldegebriel Assefa & Ouifki, Rachid & Banasiak, Jacek, 2021. "Mathematical analysis of the impact of transmission-blocking drugs on the population dynamics of malaria," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 400(C).
    15. Beekam Kebede Olkeba & Peter L. M. Goethals & Pieter Boets & Luc Duchateau & Teshome Degefa & Kasahun Eba & Delenasaw Yewhalaw & Seid Tiku Mereta, 2021. "Mesocosm Experiments to Quantify Predation of Mosquito Larvae by Aquatic Predators to Determine Potential of Ecological Control of Malaria Vectors in Ethiopia," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(13), pages 1-10, June.
    16. H Juliette T Unwin & Isobel Routledge & Seth Flaxman & Marian-Andrei Rizoiu & Shengjie Lai & Justin Cohen & Daniel J Weiss & Swapnil Mishra & Samir Bhatt, 2021. "Using Hawkes Processes to model imported and local malaria cases in near-elimination settings," PLOS Computational Biology, Public Library of Science, vol. 17(4), pages 1-18, April.
    17. Gi-geun Yang & Dohyeong Kim & Anh Pham & Christopher John Paul, 2018. "A Meta-Regression Analysis of the Effectiveness of Mosquito Nets for Malaria Control: The Value of Long-Lasting Insecticide Nets," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 15(3), pages 1-12, March.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:13:y:2022:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-022-30700-1. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.nature.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.