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Reconciled climate response estimates from climate models and the energy budget of Earth

Author

Listed:
  • Mark Richardson

    (Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology)

  • Kevin Cowtan

    (University of York)

  • Ed Hawkins

    (National Centre for Atmospheric Science, University of Reading)

  • Martin B. Stolpe

    (Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zurich)

Abstract

Energy budget and climate model estimates of transient climate response match when model output is processed in the same manner as an observational record. Removal of observational sampling biases infers an estimate of 1.66 °C, consistent with model estimates.

Suggested Citation

  • Mark Richardson & Kevin Cowtan & Ed Hawkins & Martin B. Stolpe, 2016. "Reconciled climate response estimates from climate models and the energy budget of Earth," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 6(10), pages 931-935, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcli:v:6:y:2016:i:10:d:10.1038_nclimate3066
    DOI: 10.1038/nclimate3066
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    Cited by:

    1. Serge Mandiefe Piabuo & Peter A. Minang & Chupezi Julius Tieguhong & Divine Foundjem-Tita & Frankline Nghobuoche, 2021. "Illegal logging, governance effectiveness and carbon dioxide emission in the timber-producing countries of Congo Basin and Asia," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 23(10), pages 14176-14196, October.
    2. Yuchuan Lai & Matteo Pozzi, 2024. "Sequential learning of climate change via a physical-parameter-based state-space model and Bayesian inference," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 177(6), pages 1-22, June.
    3. G. Cornelis van Kooten & Mark E. Eiswerth & Jonathon Izett & Alyssa R. Russell, 2021. "Climate Change and the Social Cost of Carbon: DICE Explained and Expanded," Working Papers 2021-01, University of Victoria, Department of Economics, Resource Economics and Policy Analysis Research Group.
    4. Chunli Zhao & Jianguo Chen & Guofeng Su & Hongyong Yuan, 2020. "Assessment of the climate change adaptation capacity of urban agglomerations in China," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 25(2), pages 221-236, February.
    5. Bruns, Stephan B. & Csereklyei, Zsuzsanna & Stern, David I., 2020. "A multicointegration model of global climate change," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 214(1), pages 175-197.
    6. Piers M. Forster & Harriet I. Forster & Mat J. Evans & Matthew J. Gidden & Chris D. Jones & Christoph A. Keller & Robin D. Lamboll & Corinne Le Quéré & Joeri Rogelj & Deborah Rosen & Carl-Friedrich Sc, 2020. "Current and future global climate impacts resulting from COVID-19," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 10(10), pages 913-919, October.
    7. Alexandra Jonko & Nathan M. Urban & Balu Nadiga, 2018. "Towards Bayesian hierarchical inference of equilibrium climate sensitivity from a combination of CMIP5 climate models and observational data," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 149(2), pages 247-260, July.
    8. Rémy Bonnet & Didier Swingedouw & Guillaume Gastineau & Olivier Boucher & Julie Deshayes & Frédéric Hourdin & Juliette Mignot & Jérôme Servonnat & Adriana Sima, 2021. "Increased risk of near term global warming due to a recent AMOC weakening," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 12(1), pages 1-9, December.
    9. King-Fai Li & Ka-Kit Tung, 2023. "Solar cycle as a distinct line of evidence constraining Earth’s transient climate response," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-17, December.

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