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Evidence, causality, and sequential choice

Author

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  • Gerard J. Rothfus

    (The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill)

Abstract

Philosophers’ two favorite accounts of rational choice, Evidential Decision Theory (EDT) and Causal Decision Theory (CDT), each face a number of serious objections. Especially troubling are the recent charges that these theories are dynamically inconsistent. I note here that, under the epistemic assumptions that validate these charges, every decision theory that satisfies a pair of attractive postulates is doomed to a similar fate and then survey various lessons rational choice theorists might opt to draw from this.

Suggested Citation

  • Gerard J. Rothfus, 2024. "Evidence, causality, and sequential choice," Theory and Decision, Springer, vol. 97(4), pages 613-636, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:theord:v:97:y:2024:i:4:d:10.1007_s11238-024-09990-y
    DOI: 10.1007/s11238-024-09990-y
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