IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/kap/netspa/v20y2020i3d10.1007_s11067-020-09496-4.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Origin-Destination Demand Reconstruction Using Observed Travel Time under Congested Network

Author

Listed:
  • Chao Sun

    (Jiangsu University)

  • Yulin Chang

    (Jiangsu University)

  • Xin Luan

    (Southeast University)

  • Qiang Tu

    (Southeast University)

  • Wenyun Tang

    (Nanjing Forestry University)

Abstract

Two bi-level models to reconstruct origin-destination (O-D) demand under congested network are explored in terms of the observed link and route travel times, where one model inputs the known trajectories of observed route travel times and the other model uses both known and unknown trajectories of observed route travel times. The proposed models leverage both the link and route traffic information to determine the network O-D demand that minimizes the distances between the observed and estimated traffic information (O-D, link and route travel times) in the upper-level, and optimize the stochastic user equilibrium (SUE) in the lower-level. Meanwhile, the observed information of travel time can capture the relationships between traffic flow and travel cost/time in congested network. The K-means (hard assignment) and Gaussian mixture model (GMM, soft assignment) clustering methods are presented to identify the trajectories of observed route travel times. An iterative solution algorithm is proposed to solve the built O-D reconstruction models, where the method of gradient descent, the method of successive average and Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm are used to solve the upper-level model, lower level model, and GMM, respectively. Results from numerical experiments demonstrate the superiority of the travel time based model over the traditional flow based method in congested traffic network, and also suggest that using both the route and link information outperforms only using link information in the reconstruction of O-D demand.

Suggested Citation

  • Chao Sun & Yulin Chang & Xin Luan & Qiang Tu & Wenyun Tang, 2020. "Origin-Destination Demand Reconstruction Using Observed Travel Time under Congested Network," Networks and Spatial Economics, Springer, vol. 20(3), pages 733-755, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:netspa:v:20:y:2020:i:3:d:10.1007_s11067-020-09496-4
    DOI: 10.1007/s11067-020-09496-4
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11067-020-09496-4
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11067-020-09496-4?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Hazelton, Martin L., 2001. "Inference for origin-destination matrices: estimation, prediction and reconstruction," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 35(7), pages 667-676, August.
    2. Shao, Hu & Lam, William H.K. & Sumalee, Agachai & Chen, Anthony & Hazelton, Martin L., 2014. "Estimation of mean and covariance of peak hour origin–destination demands from day-to-day traffic counts," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 52-75.
    3. Maher, M. J., 1983. "Inferences on trip matrices from observations on link volumes: A Bayesian statistical approach," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 17(6), pages 435-447, December.
    4. Yang, Yudi & Fan, Yueyue & Royset, Johannes O., 2019. "Estimating probability distributions of travel demand on a congested network," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 122(C), pages 265-286.
    5. Chi Xie & Jennifer Duthie, 2015. "An Excess-Demand Dynamic Traffic Assignment Approach for Inferring Origin-Destination Trip Matrices," Networks and Spatial Economics, Springer, vol. 15(4), pages 947-979, December.
    6. Louis Grange & Felipe González & Shlomo Bekhor, 2017. "Path Flow and Trip Matrix Estimation Using Link Flow Density," Networks and Spatial Economics, Springer, vol. 17(1), pages 173-195, March.
    7. Yang, Yudi & Fan, Yueyue & Wets, Roger J.B., 2018. "Stochastic travel demand estimation: Improving network identifiability using multi-day observation sets," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 192-211.
    8. Chao Sun & Yulin Chang & Yuji Shi & Lin Cheng & Jie Ma, 2019. "Subnetwork Origin-Destination Matrix Estimation Under Travel Demand Constraints," Networks and Spatial Economics, Springer, vol. 19(4), pages 1123-1142, December.
    9. Zhou, Xuesong & Mahmassani, Hani S., 2007. "A structural state space model for real-time traffic origin-destination demand estimation and prediction in a day-to-day learning framework," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 41(8), pages 823-840, October.
    10. Sang Nguyen & Clermont Dupuis, 1984. "An Efficient Method for Computing Traffic Equilibria in Networks with Asymmetric Transportation Costs," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 18(2), pages 185-202, May.
    11. Yin, Kai & Wang, Wen & Bruce Wang, Xiubin & Adams, Teresa M., 2015. "Link travel time inference using entry/exit information of trips on a network," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 303-321.
    12. Ennio Cascetta & Domenico Inaudi & Gérald Marquis, 1993. "Dynamic Estimators of Origin-Destination Matrices Using Traffic Counts," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 27(4), pages 363-373, November.
    13. M. Bierlaire & F. Crittin, 2004. "An Efficient Algorithm for Real-Time Estimation and Prediction of Dynamic OD Tables," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 52(1), pages 116-127, February.
    14. Yang, Yudi & Fan, Yueyue, 2015. "Data dependent input control for origin–destination demand estimation using observability analysis," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 385-403.
    15. K. Ashok & M. E. Ben-Akiva, 2000. "Alternative Approaches for Real-Time Estimation and Prediction of Time-Dependent Origin–Destination Flows," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 34(1), pages 21-36, February.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Yulin Chang & Yijie Wang & Chao Sun & Peng Zhang & Wenqian Xu, 2023. "Day-to-Day Dynamic Traffic Flow Assignment Model under Mixed Travel Modes Considering Customized Buses," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(6), pages 1-22, March.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Anselmo Ramalho Pitombeira-Neto & Carlos Felipe Grangeiro Loureiro & Luis Eduardo Carvalho, 2020. "A Dynamic Hierarchical Bayesian Model for the Estimation of day-to-day Origin-destination Flows in Transportation Networks," Networks and Spatial Economics, Springer, vol. 20(2), pages 499-527, June.
    2. Flurin S. Hänseler & Nicholas A. Molyneaux & Michel Bierlaire, 2017. "Estimation of Pedestrian Origin-Destination Demand in Train Stations," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 51(3), pages 981-997, August.
    3. Yang, Yudi & Fan, Yueyue & Royset, Johannes O., 2019. "Estimating probability distributions of travel demand on a congested network," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 122(C), pages 265-286.
    4. Tangjian Wei & Feng Shi & Guangming Xu, 2019. "Estimation of Time-Varying Passenger Demand for High Speed Rail System," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2019, pages 1-24, March.
    5. Yong Lin, 2023. "Models, Algorithms and Applications of DynasTIM Real-Time Traffic Simulation System," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(2), pages 1-30, January.
    6. Fu, Hao & Lam, William H.K. & Shao, Hu & Ma, Wei & Chen, Bi Yu & Ho, H.W., 2022. "Optimization of multi-type sensor locations for simultaneous estimation of origin-destination demands and link travel times with covariance effects," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 166(C), pages 19-47.
    7. Cantelmo, Guido & Qurashi, Moeid & Prakash, A. Arun & Antoniou, Constantinos & Viti, Francesco, 2020. "Incorporating trip chaining within online demand estimation," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 171-187.
    8. Simonelli, Fulvio & Marzano, Vittorio & Papola, Andrea & Vitiello, Iolanda, 2012. "A network sensor location procedure accounting for o–d matrix estimate variability," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 46(10), pages 1624-1638.
    9. Gunnar Flötteröd & Michel Bierlaire & Kai Nagel, 2011. "Bayesian Demand Calibration for Dynamic Traffic Simulations," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 45(4), pages 541-561, November.
    10. Yang, Yudi & Fan, Yueyue & Wets, Roger J.B., 2018. "Stochastic travel demand estimation: Improving network identifiability using multi-day observation sets," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 192-211.
    11. Osorio, Carolina, 2019. "High-dimensional offline origin-destination (OD) demand calibration for stochastic traffic simulators of large-scale road networks," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 124(C), pages 18-43.
    12. Nie, Yu (Marco) & Zhang, H.M., 2008. "A variational inequality formulation for inferring dynamic origin-destination travel demands," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 42(7-8), pages 635-662, August.
    13. Kumarage, Sakitha & Yildirimoglu, Mehmet & Zheng, Zuduo, 2023. "A hybrid modelling framework for the estimation of dynamic origin–destination flows," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 176(C).
    14. Dimitris Bertsimas & Julia Yan, 2018. "From Physical Properties of Transportation Flows to Demand Estimation: An Optimization Approach," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 52(4), pages 1002-1011, August.
    15. Blume, Steffen O.P. & Corman, Francesco & Sansavini, Giovanni, 2022. "Bayesian origin-destination estimation in networked transit systems using nodal in- and outflow counts," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 161(C), pages 60-94.
    16. Chao Sun & Yulin Chang & Yuji Shi & Lin Cheng & Jie Ma, 2019. "Subnetwork Origin-Destination Matrix Estimation Under Travel Demand Constraints," Networks and Spatial Economics, Springer, vol. 19(4), pages 1123-1142, December.
    17. Yang, Yudi & Fan, Yueyue, 2015. "Data dependent input control for origin–destination demand estimation using observability analysis," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 385-403.
    18. Hoang, Nam H. & Vu, Hai L. & Lo, Hong K., 2018. "An informed user equilibrium dynamic traffic assignment problem in a multiple origin-destination stochastic network," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 207-230.
    19. Huo, Jinbiao & Liu, Chengqi & Chen, Jingxu & Meng, Qiang & Wang, Jian & Liu, Zhiyuan, 2023. "Simulation-based dynamic origin–destination matrix estimation on freeways: A Bayesian optimization approach," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 173(C).
    20. A. Stathopoulos & T. Tsekeris, 2003. "Framework for analysing reliability and information degradation of demand matrices in extended transport networks," Transport Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(1), pages 89-103, January.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:kap:netspa:v:20:y:2020:i:3:d:10.1007_s11067-020-09496-4. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.