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On the Earnings and Price Momentum Strategies: Evidence from European Real Estate Firms

Author

Listed:
  • Jochem J. Bron

    (Marlborough Partners)

  • Chinmoy Ghosh

    (University of Connecticut)

  • Milena Petrova

    (Syracuse University)

Abstract

We test the performance and interaction between earnings and price momentum for European real estate companies by first making use of decile portfolios sorted on the previous 3- to 12-month returns, standardized unexpected earnings and a combination of both. Then, the relation is tested on a risk-adjusted basis employing a 3-factor asset pricing model and Fama and Macbeth (1973) cross-sectional regression analyses. Our analyses reveal several critical findings: (1) both price and earnings momentum are effective for European firms, the effect being stronger for the UK than EU firms; (2) unlike U.S. REITs, price momentum seems to dominate drift for European firms; (3) there is weak evidence for positive interaction between drift and price momentum, contrary to the U.S. evidence; (4) the performance of momentum strategies depends on the state of the economy, while controlling for systematic factors; (5) idiosyncratic risk of real estate property firms may influence the returns on drift and momentum factors.

Suggested Citation

  • Jochem J. Bron & Chinmoy Ghosh & Milena Petrova, 2018. "On the Earnings and Price Momentum Strategies: Evidence from European Real Estate Firms," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 57(3), pages 400-430, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:jrefec:v:57:y:2018:i:3:d:10.1007_s11146-017-9633-0
    DOI: 10.1007/s11146-017-9633-0
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    References listed on IDEAS

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