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Reconcilable Differences: Momentum Trading by Institutions

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  • Richard W. Sias

Abstract

A growing literature evaluates the relation between lag returns and demand by institutional investors. Given that lag returns and institutional ownership are directly observable, it is surprising that previous tests yield dramatically different conclusions. This study examines differences across studies and finds that four factors account for these discrepancies: (1) value‐weighting versus equal‐weighting across stocks, (2) averaging versus aggregating over managers, (3) disagreement in the signs of measures of institutional demand, and (4) correlation between current capitalization and both lag returns and measures of institutional demand. Controlling for these factors, the results across different methods are remarkably uniform.

Suggested Citation

  • Richard W. Sias, 2007. "Reconcilable Differences: Momentum Trading by Institutions," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 42(1), pages 1-22, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:finrev:v:42:y:2007:i:1:p:1-22
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1540-6288.2007.00159.x
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    1. repec:zbw:bofitp:2012_009 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Yao, Yi & Yang, Rong & Liu, Zhiyuan & Hasan, Iftekhar, 2013. "Government intervention and institutional trading strategy: Evidence from a transition country," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 24(1), pages 44-68.
    3. Fotini Economou & Konstantinos Gavriilidis & Bartosz Gebka & Vasileios Kallinterakis, 2022. "Feedback trading: a review of theory and empirical evidence," Review of Behavioral Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 15(4), pages 429-476, February.
    4. Baltzer, Markus & Jank, Stephan & Smajlbegovic, Esad, 2019. "Who trades on momentum?," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 56-74.
    5. Zhao, Lu & Wang, Liang & Luo, Ronghua, 2024. "Mutual fund tournaments: State-dependent risk taking with transaction costs," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    6. Ye, Qing & Wu, Yuliang & Liu, Jia, 2019. "Institutional preferences, demand shocks and the distress anomaly," The British Accounting Review, Elsevier, vol. 51(1), pages 72-91.
    7. Zeng, Yeqin, 2016. "Institutional investors: Arbitrageurs or rational trend chasers," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 240-262.
    8. Eraslan, Veysel & Omole, John & Sensoy, Ahmet & Ozdamar, Melisa, 2022. "Other people's money: A comparison of institutional investors," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    9. Choi, Nicole & Sias, Richard W., 2009. "Institutional industry herding," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 94(3), pages 469-491, December.
    10. Dasgupta, Amil & Prat, Andrea, 2008. "Information aggregation in financial markets with career concerns," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 143(1), pages 83-113, November.
    11. Jochem J. Bron & Chinmoy Ghosh & Milena Petrova, 2018. "On the Earnings and Price Momentum Strategies: Evidence from European Real Estate Firms," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 57(3), pages 400-430, October.
    12. Alexander Franck & Andreas Walter & Johannes Witt, 2013. "Momentum strategies of German mutual funds," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 27(3), pages 307-332, September.
    13. Biljana N. Adebambo & Xuemin (Sterling) Yan, 2018. "Investor Overconfidence, Firm Valuation, and Corporate Decisions," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 64(11), pages 5349-5369, November.
    14. Bradrania, Reza & Wu, Winston, 2023. "Foreign institutions, local investors and momentum trading," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 40-64.
    15. Jank, Stephan & Smajlbegovic, Esad, 2015. "Dissecting short-sale performance: Evidence from large position disclosures," CFR Working Papers 15-15, University of Cologne, Centre for Financial Research (CFR).
    16. Claudio Raddatz & Sergio Schmukler, 2013. "Deconstructing Herding: Evidence from Pension Fund Investment Behavior," Journal of Financial Services Research, Springer;Western Finance Association, vol. 43(1), pages 99-126, February.
    17. Joseph Golec, 2007. "Are the Insider Trades of a Large Institutional Investor Informed?," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 42(2), pages 161-190, May.
    18. Yao, Yi & Yang, Rong & Liu, Zhiyuan & Hasan, Iftekhar, 2012. "Government intervention and institutional trading strategy: Evidence from a transition country," BOFIT Discussion Papers 9/2012, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
    19. Aboulamer, Anas & Kryzanowski, Lawrence, 2016. "Are idiosyncratic volatility and MAX priced in the Canadian market?," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 20-36.
    20. Rainer Baule & Bart Frijns & Sebastian Schlie, 2024. "Feedback Trading: The Intraday Case of Retail Derivatives," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(9), pages 1487-1507, September.
    21. Bhaskar Chhimwal & Varadraj Bapat, 2021. "Comparative Study of Momentum and Contrarian Behavior of Different Investors: Evidence from the Indian Market," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 28(1), pages 19-53, March.
    22. Yin Hong, 2011. "Positive feedback trading, institutional investors and securities price fluctuation," China Finance Review International, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 1(2), pages 120-132, January.

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