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Co-existence of short-term reversals and momentum in the Australian equity market

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  • Daniel Chai
  • Binh Do

Abstract

Small stocks tend to reverse, whereas large stocks tend to trend over a one-month horizon, which explains the lack of short-term reversals in the Australian market as a whole. However, large stocks exhibit intra-industry reversals, in which industry winners underperform industry losers in the subsequent month, when controlling for price momentum. Conversely, once this intra-industry reversal is neutralised, large stocks display momentum behaviour, in which market winners outperform market losers. These conditional strategies generate positive, significant risk-adjusted returns on large stocks in Australia. This paper documents significant industry momentum, as winning industries outperform losing industries in the following month. This industry momentum effect dominates the intra-industry reversal. The paper also finds evidence that conditional reversals are driven by illiquidity and are inhibited by stock prices under-reacting to earnings announcements.

Suggested Citation

  • Daniel Chai & Binh Do, 2016. "Co-existence of short-term reversals and momentum in the Australian equity market," Australian Journal of Management, Australian School of Business, vol. 41(1), pages 55-76, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:ausman:v:41:y:2016:i:1:p:55-76
    DOI: 10.1177/0312896214535789
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    Cited by:

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Industry momentum; liquidity; momentum; short-term reversals;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading

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