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COVID-19’s U.S. Temperature Response Profile

Author

Listed:
  • Richard T. Carson

    (University of California)

  • Samuel L. Carson

    (Independent Consultant)

  • Thayne K. Dye

    (Independent Consultant)

  • Samuel A. Mayfield

    (University of California)

  • Daniel C. Moyer

    (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)

  • Chu A. Yu

    (Wake Forest University)

Abstract

We estimate the U.S. temperature response profile (TRP) for COVID-19 and show it is highly sensitive to temperature variation. Replacing the erratic daily death counts U.S. states initially reported with counts based on death certificate date, we build a week-ahead statistical forecasting model that explains most of their daily variation (R2 = 0.97) and isolates COVID-19’s TRP (p

Suggested Citation

  • Richard T. Carson & Samuel L. Carson & Thayne K. Dye & Samuel A. Mayfield & Daniel C. Moyer & Chu A. Yu, 2021. "COVID-19’s U.S. Temperature Response Profile," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 80(4), pages 675-704, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:enreec:v:80:y:2021:i:4:d:10.1007_s10640-021-00603-8
    DOI: 10.1007/s10640-021-00603-8
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    References listed on IDEAS

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