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Analyzing the differential effects of COVID-19 on export flows: a focus on customs procedures

Author

Listed:
  • Omer Faruk Derindag

    (Inonu University)

  • Zaim Reha Yasar

    (Kirikkale University)

  • Caglayan Aslan

    (Republic of Turkey Ministry of Trade, Foreign Trade Statistics and OSTIM Technical University)

  • Salih Parmaksiz

    (Isparta University of Applied Science)

Abstract

COVID-19 has not only dramatically affected the ordinary course of social life, but also caused an idiosyncratic downturn in the global economy and created multidimensional effects on international trade and Cross-Border E-Commerce merchandise flows. This paper provides unique empirical evidence of how the consequences of the pandemic have distinctively diverged on conventional and simplified customs clearance, which includes Cross-Border E-Commerce orders, differed significantly. The Difference-in-differences (DiD) and Causal Inference estimates for the 2019:01-2021:06 interval suggest that simplified customs clearance shows more resilience to COVID-19 effects relative to conventional customs clearance and reduces the negative impact of COVID-19 influences on export performance in the case of Turkey. The fundamental outcomes remain consistent when the sample includes emerging markets and when the analysis employs the export of consumer goods as opposed to total exports in the conventional mode. Overall, the findings highlight the significant role of E-Commerce and simplified customs processes in enhancing export performance.

Suggested Citation

  • Omer Faruk Derindag & Zaim Reha Yasar & Caglayan Aslan & Salih Parmaksiz, 2024. "Analyzing the differential effects of COVID-19 on export flows: a focus on customs procedures," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 51(4), pages 977-1000, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:empiri:v:51:y:2024:i:4:d:10.1007_s10663-024-09634-y
    DOI: 10.1007/s10663-024-09634-y
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    E-customs; Simplified customs procedure declaration; Cross-border e-commerce; Export; COVID-19; Differences in differences;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F1 - International Economics - - Trade
    • L81 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Retail and Wholesale Trade; e-Commerce

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