IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/kap/compec/v57y2021i1d10.1007_s10614-020-10085-3.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A New Hybrid Instance-Based Learning Model for Decision-Making in the P2P Lending Market

Author

Listed:
  • Golnoosh Babaei

    (Islamic Azad University, South Tehran Branch)

  • Shahrooz Bamdad

    (Islamic Azad University, South Tehran Branch)

Abstract

Peer-to-Peer (P2P) lending has grown rapidly in the past years. Therefore, borrowers and lenders are provided with the opportunity of lending and borrowing independently of the banks. Lenders in the P2P lending market can share their total investment amount among different loans, so making a decision may be difficult for inexpert lenders. The aim of this study is to propose a novel decision-making framework in which instance-based learning as a lazy learning method and artificial neural networks as an eager learning approach are integrated. The proposed hybrid instance-based learning (HIBL) model has the ability to predict the return and risk of new loans and help investors to find the optimal portfolio. In order to check the effectiveness of our model, we use a real-world dataset from one of the most popular P2P lending marketplaces, namely Lending Club. Moreover, a comparison among our proposed model and a rating-based method reveals that the proposed HIBL model can improve investments in P2P lending.

Suggested Citation

  • Golnoosh Babaei & Shahrooz Bamdad, 2021. "A New Hybrid Instance-Based Learning Model for Decision-Making in the P2P Lending Market," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 57(1), pages 419-432, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:kap:compec:v:57:y:2021:i:1:d:10.1007_s10614-020-10085-3
    DOI: 10.1007/s10614-020-10085-3
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10614-020-10085-3
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10614-020-10085-3?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Moshiri, Saeed & Cameron, Norman E & Scuse, David, 1999. "Static, Dynamic, and Hybrid Neural Networks in Forecasting Inflation," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 14(3), pages 219-235, December.
    2. Guo, Yanhong & Zhou, Wenjun & Luo, Chunyu & Liu, Chuanren & Xiong, Hui, 2016. "Instance-based credit risk assessment for investment decisions in P2P lending," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 249(2), pages 417-426.
    3. Zhang, Chunrui & Zhang, Xianhong & Zhang, Yazhou, 2018. "Dynamic properties of feed-forward neural networks and application in contrast enhancement for image," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 281-290.
    4. Mamta Mittal & Lalit Mohan Goyal & Jasleen Kaur Sethi & D. Jude Hemanth, 2019. "Monitoring the Impact of Economic Crisis on Crime in India Using Machine Learning," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 53(4), pages 1467-1485, April.
    5. Zhang, Guoqiang & Eddy Patuwo, B. & Y. Hu, Michael, 1998. "Forecasting with artificial neural networks:: The state of the art," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 14(1), pages 35-62, March.
    6. Khurshid Kiani, 2005. "Detecting Business Cycle Asymmetries Using Artificial Neural Networks and Time Series Models," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 26(1), pages 65-89, August.
    7. Riza Emekter & Yanbin Tu & Benjamas Jirasakuldech & Min Lu, 2015. "Evaluating credit risk and loan performance in online Peer-to-Peer (P2P) lending," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(1), pages 54-70, January.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Yeh, Jen-Yin & Chiu, Hsin-Yu & Huang, Jhih-Huei, 2024. "Predicting failure of P2P lending platforms through machine learning: The case in China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    2. Štefan Lyócsa & Petra Vašaničová & Branka Hadji Misheva & Marko Dávid Vateha, 2022. "Default or profit scoring credit systems? Evidence from European and US peer-to-peer lending markets," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 8(1), pages 1-21, December.
    3. Szafranek, Karol, 2019. "Bagged neural networks for forecasting Polish (low) inflation," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 1042-1059.
    4. Xi Yang & Wenjuan Fan & Shanlin Yang, 2020. "Identifying the Influencing Factors on Investors’ Investment Behavior: An Empirical Study Focusing on the Chinese P2P Lending Market," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(13), pages 1-21, July.
    5. Zhao Wang & Cuiqing Jiang & Huimin Zhao, 2022. "Know Where to Invest: Platform Risk Evaluation in Online Lending," Information Systems Research, INFORMS, vol. 33(3), pages 765-783, September.
    6. Ligang Zhou & Chao Ma, 2023. "A Comparison of Different Rules on Loans Evaluation in Peer-to-Peer Lending by Gradient Boosting Models Under Moving Windows with Two Timestamps," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 62(4), pages 1481-1504, December.
    7. Mousumi Munmun & Dongli Zhang & Charles C. Luo, 2024. "Peer-to-Peer Lending Performance Improvement: Learn from Lean Principles," International Journal of Business and Management, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 19(1), pages 101-101, February.
    8. Ajay Byanjankar & József Mezei & Markku Heikkilä, 2021. "Data‐driven optimization of peer‐to‐peer lending portfolios based on the expected value framework," Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(2), pages 119-129, April.
    9. Li, Zhiyong & Li, Aimin & Bellotti, Anthony & Yao, Xiao, 2023. "The profitability of online loans: A competing risks analysis on default and prepayment," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 306(2), pages 968-985.
    10. Chen, Pei-Fen & Lo, Shihmin & Tang, Hai-Yuan, 2022. "What if borrowers stop paying their loans? Investors’ rates of return on a peer-to-peer lending platform," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 359-377.
    11. Chen, Rongda & Chen, Yikai & Jin, Chenglu & Xu, Guorui & Bao, Weiwei & Guo, Kenan, 2021. "Characteristics and mechanisms of not-fully marketized interest rates: Evidence from Chinese online lending," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    12. Sha, Yezhou, 2022. "Rating manipulation and creditworthiness for platform economy: Evidence from peer-to-peer lending," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    13. Pang, Professor Sulin & Hou, Xianyan & Xia, Lianhu, 2021. "Borrowers’ credit quality scoring model and applications, with default discriminant analysis based on the extreme learning machine," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 165(C).
    14. Golnoosh Babaei & Shahrooz Bamdad, 2020. "A neural‐network‐based decision‐making model in the peer‐to‐peer lending market," Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(3), pages 142-150, July.
    15. Zhang, Zan & Hu, Wenjun & Chang, Tsangyao, 2019. "Nonlinear effects of P2P lending on bank loans in a Panel Smooth Transition Regression model," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 468-473.
    16. Liu, Yi & Yang, Menglong & Wang, Yudong & Li, Yongshan & Xiong, Tiancheng & Li, Anzhe, 2022. "Applying machine learning algorithms to predict default probability in the online credit market: Evidence from China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    17. Khurshid M. KIANI & Terry L. KASTENS, 2006. "Using Macro-Financial Variables To Forecast Recessions. An Analysis Of Canada, 1957-2002," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 6(3).
    18. Charalampos Stasinakis & Georgios Sermpinis & Konstantinos Theofilatos & Andreas Karathanasopoulos, 2016. "Forecasting US Unemployment with Radial Basis Neural Networks, Kalman Filters and Support Vector Regressions," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 47(4), pages 569-587, April.
    19. Sulin Pang & Huili Xian & Rongzhou Li, 2022. "A default penalty model based on C2VP2C mode for internet financial platforms in Chinese market," Electronic Commerce Research, Springer, vol. 22(2), pages 485-511, June.
    20. Ji-Yoon Kim & Sung-Bae Cho, 2019. "Towards Repayment Prediction in Peer-to-Peer Social Lending Using Deep Learning," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 7(11), pages 1-17, November.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:kap:compec:v:57:y:2021:i:1:d:10.1007_s10614-020-10085-3. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.