IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/kap/apfinm/v30y2023i1d10.1007_s10690-021-09355-3.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Optimizing Hedging Effectiveness of Indian Agricultural Commodity Futures: A Simulation Approach

Author

Listed:
  • Sanjay Mansabdar

    (Birla Institute of Technology and Science)

  • Hussain C. Yaganti

    (Birla Institute of Technology and Science)

Abstract

Indian agricultural commodity futures have seen declining volumes over the last ten years. Several studies in the literature have suggested that this may be due to their hedging effectiveness being, in general, low. To prevent manipulation, location options are embedded into such commodity futures allow for the short position holder at expiration to deliver several non-par assets in addition to the par asset. Choices of delivery specifications pertaining to the location option can impact hedging effectiveness of the futures contract. We use a Monte Carlo approach to guide the choice of these delivery specifications including the number of deliverable assets, their inter-se correlations, discounts incurred for delivery of non-par assets and contract life, with the goal of optimizing hedging effectiveness of futures. We also corroborate the results of simulations with empirical evidence. The simulations, while confirming some of the empirical results in the literature also suggest several additional insights for the optimal selection of contract delivery specifications and provide contract designers with comprehensive guidelines for making choices of contract delivery specifications. These results also confirm the necessity for regulators and exchanges to focus on and constantly optimize delivery specifications of such futures contract to make them more useful for hedgers by improving their hedging effectiveness.

Suggested Citation

  • Sanjay Mansabdar & Hussain C. Yaganti, 2023. "Optimizing Hedging Effectiveness of Indian Agricultural Commodity Futures: A Simulation Approach," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 30(1), pages 13-36, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:apfinm:v:30:y:2023:i:1:d:10.1007_s10690-021-09355-3
    DOI: 10.1007/s10690-021-09355-3
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10690-021-09355-3
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10690-021-09355-3?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Shashi Gupta & Himanshu Choudhary & D.R. Agarwal, 2017. "Hedging Efficiency of Indian Commodity Futures," Paradigm, , vol. 21(1), pages 1-20, June.
    2. Josué Martínez‐Garmendia & James L. Anderson, 1999. "Hedging performance of shrimp futures contracts with multiple deliverable grades," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 19(8), pages 957-990, December.
    3. Dwight R. Sanders & Mark R. Manfredo, 2002. "The white shrimp futures market: Lessons in contract design and marketing," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 18(4), pages 505-522.
    4. Jana Hranaiova & Robert A. Jarrow & William G. Tomek, 2005. "Estimating The Value Of Delivery Options In Futures Contracts," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 28(3), pages 363-383, September.
    5. Johnson, Herb, 1987. "Options on the Maximum or the Minimum of Several Assets," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 22(3), pages 277-283, September.
    6. repec:bla:jfinan:v:44:y:1989:i:1:p:101-13 is not listed on IDEAS
    7. Don M. Chance & Michael L. Hemler, 1993. "The impact of delivery options on futures prices: A survey," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 13(2), pages 127-155, April.
    8. Garbade, Kenneth D & Silber, William L, 1983. "Futures Contracts on Commodities with Multiple Varieties: An Analysis of Premiums and Discounts," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 56(3), pages 249-272, July.
    9. Tashjian, Elizabeth, 1995. "Optimal futures contract design," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(2), pages 153-162.
    10. Garbade, Kenneth D & Silber, William L, 1983. "Price Movements and Price Discovery in Futures and Cash Markets," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 65(2), pages 289-297, May.
    11. Stephen Craig Pirrong & Roger Kormendi & Philip Meguire, 1994. "Multiple delivery points, pricing dynamics, and hedging effectiveness in futures markets for spatial commodities," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 14(5), pages 545-573, August.
    12. Boyle, Phelim P., 1977. "Options: A Monte Carlo approach," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 4(3), pages 323-338, May.
    13. Johnston, Elizabeth Tashjian & McConnell, John J, 1989. "Requiem for a Market: An Analysis of the Rise and Fall of a Financial Futures Contract," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 2(1), pages 1-23.
    14. Ederington, Louis H, 1979. "The Hedging Performance of the New Futures Markets," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 34(1), pages 157-170, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Lim, Terence & Lo, Andrew W. & Merton, Robert C. & Scholes, Myron S., 2006. "The Derivatives Sourcebook," Foundations and Trends(R) in Finance, now publishers, vol. 1(5–6), pages 365-572, April.
    2. Sanjay Mansabdar & Hussain C Yaganti, 2020. "Valuing the quality option in agricultural commodity futures: a Monte Carlo simulation based approach," Papers 2006.11222, arXiv.org.
    3. Adam-Müller, Axel F. A. & Wong, Kit Pong, 2002. "The impact of delivery risk on optimal production and futures hedging," CoFE Discussion Papers 02/08, University of Konstanz, Center of Finance and Econometrics (CoFE).
    4. Joost M.E. Pennings & Raymond M. Leuthold, 1999. "Commodity Futures Contract Viability: A Multidisciplinary Approach," Finance 9905002, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Jo Corkish & Allison Holland & Anne Fremault Vila, 1997. "The Determinants of Successful Financial Innovation: an Empirical Analysis of Futures Innovation on LIFFE," Bank of England working papers 70, Bank of England.
    6. Nygaard, Rune & Roll, Kristin H., 2024. "Cross-hedging wild salmon prices," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 33(C).
    7. Jędrzej Białkowski & Jan Koeman, 2017. "Does the Design of Spot Markets Matter for the Success of Futures Markets? Evidence from Dairy Futures," Working Papers in Economics 17/18, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
    8. Lien, Donald, 2004. "Cointegration and the optimal hedge ratio: the general case," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(5), pages 654-658, December.
    9. Jingjing Wang & Xiaoyang Wang, 2023. "Why is water illiquid?: The NQH2O water index futures," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 45(1), pages 602-621, March.
    10. Lin, Chung-Gee & Yang, Wei-Ning & Chen, Shu-Chuan, 2014. "Analyses of retirement benefits with options," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 130-135.
    11. Boyle, Phelim & Broadie, Mark & Glasserman, Paul, 1997. "Monte Carlo methods for security pricing," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 21(8-9), pages 1267-1321, June.
    12. Rombouts, Jeroen V.K. & Stentoft, Lars, 2011. "Multivariate option pricing with time varying volatility and correlations," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(9), pages 2267-2281, September.
    13. Alejandro Balbas & Susana Reichardt, 2010. "On the future contract quality option: a new look," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(15), pages 1217-1229.
    14. Alizadeh, Amir H. & Huang, Chih-Yueh & van Dellen, Stefan, 2015. "A regime switching approach for hedging tanker shipping freight rates," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 44-59.
    15. Joost M.E. Pennings & Raymond M. Leuthold, 1999. "Futures Exchange Innovations: Reinforcement versus Cannibalism," Finance 9905003, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    16. O'Connor, Fergal A. & Lucey, Brian M. & Batten, Jonathan A. & Baur, Dirk G., 2015. "The financial economics of gold — A survey," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 186-205.
    17. Bing-Huei Lin & Ren-Raw Chen & Jian-Hsin Chou, 1999. "Pricing and quality option in Japanese government bond futures," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 9(1), pages 51-65.
    18. Lars Stentoft, 2013. "American option pricing using simulation with an application to the GARCH model," Chapters, in: Adrian R. Bell & Chris Brooks & Marcel Prokopczuk (ed.), Handbook of Research Methods and Applications in Empirical Finance, chapter 5, pages 114-147, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    19. Mark Broadie & Jérôme Detemple, 1996. "Recent Advances in Numerical Methods for Pricing Derivative Securities," CIRANO Working Papers 96s-17, CIRANO.
    20. Ahmadian, D. & Ballestra, L.V. & Shokrollahi, F., 2022. "A Monte-Carlo approach for pricing arithmetic Asian rainbow options under the mixed fractional Brownian motion," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:kap:apfinm:v:30:y:2023:i:1:d:10.1007_s10690-021-09355-3. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.