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Deterministic Tsunami Hazard Assessment for the Eastern Coast of the United Arab Emirates: Insights from the Makran Subduction Zone

Author

Listed:
  • Mouloud Hamidatou

    (Tsunami Early Warning Section, Seismology Department, National Center of Meteorology, Abu Dhabi P.O. Box 4815, United Arab Emirates)

  • Abdulla Almandous

    (World Meteorological Organization (WMO), CH-1211 Geneva, Switzerland
    National Center of Meteorology, Abu Dhabi P.O. Box 4815, United Arab Emirates)

  • Khalifa Alebri

    (Tsunami Early Warning Section, Seismology Department, National Center of Meteorology, Abu Dhabi P.O. Box 4815, United Arab Emirates)

  • Badr Alameri

    (Tsunami Early Warning Section, Seismology Department, National Center of Meteorology, Abu Dhabi P.O. Box 4815, United Arab Emirates)

  • Ali Megahed

    (Tsunami Early Warning Section, Seismology Department, National Center of Meteorology, Abu Dhabi P.O. Box 4815, United Arab Emirates)

Abstract

Tsunamis are destructive oceanic hazards caused by underwater disturbances, mainly earthquakes. A deterministic tsunami hazard assessment for the United Arab Emirates (UAE), due to the Makran Subduction Zone (MSZ), was conducted based on the history of earthquakes in the region and considering the rapid development and urbanization of the east coast of the UAE. A variety of earthquake source scenarios was modeled, involving moment magnitudes of 8.2, 8.8, and 9.2. Tsunami travel time (TTT), run-up, flow depth, and inundation maps were generated to pinpoint the areas susceptible to tsunami hazards for the eastern coastal cities of Kalba, Al Fujairah, Khor Fakkan, and Dibba. The results show that the worst-case M w 9.2 earthquake in a full MSZ rupture scenario resulted in an average TTT of 37 min, a maximum run-up height of 2.55 m, a maximum flow depth of 2.2 m, and a maximum inundation distance of 253 m on the east coast of the UAE. The M w 8.2 western MSZ earthquake and the M w 8.8 eastern MSZ earthquake scenarios were of less significant impact. These findings provide new insights into tsunami hazard assessment and are expected to play a vital role in advancing sustainable development in the region by providing key information for stakeholders and authorities as they highlight the need for enhanced tsunami mitigation and preparedness measures to reduce the potential impact of future tsunamis on the UAE.

Suggested Citation

  • Mouloud Hamidatou & Abdulla Almandous & Khalifa Alebri & Badr Alameri & Ali Megahed, 2024. "Deterministic Tsunami Hazard Assessment for the Eastern Coast of the United Arab Emirates: Insights from the Makran Subduction Zone," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(23), pages 1-33, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:16:y:2024:i:23:p:10665-:d:1537253
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    References listed on IDEAS

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