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Investigating the Impact of Recent and Future Urbanization on Flooding in an Indian River Catchment

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Listed:
  • Sonu Thaivalappil Sukumaran

    (Arup, 12 Wellington Pl, Leeds LS1 4AP, UK)

  • Stephen J. Birkinshaw

    (School of Engineering, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne NE1 7RU, UK)

Abstract

Socioeconomic growth in India has caused massive infrastructure development which has resulted in extensive damage to the natural environment. A consequence of this urbanization has been extensive monsoon flooding in many locations within the country. The impact of recent land use and land cover (LULC) change because of urbanization and a series of future LULC scenarios is assessed for the Meenachil river basin in central Kerala, India. This catchment flows into the Kuttanad administrative area, which has the country’s lowest elevation, an increasing population, and currently suffers from regular flooding. Hydrological modeling using SHETRAN and hydraulic modeling using HEC-RAS predicts that an extreme event will produce a 105% rise in flood depth in 2100 compared to 2005. A scenario that incorporates Nature-based Solutions suggests the rise in flood depth could be reduced by 44%. A catchment response for future development is needed but is hindered by different administrative boundaries within the river basins that flow into the Kuttanad administrative area, and so this study concludes by providing regional-scale planning recommendations that integrate hydrologic components.

Suggested Citation

  • Sonu Thaivalappil Sukumaran & Stephen J. Birkinshaw, 2024. "Investigating the Impact of Recent and Future Urbanization on Flooding in an Indian River Catchment," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(13), pages 1-22, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:16:y:2024:i:13:p:5652-:d:1427466
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. P. Zope & T. Eldho & V. Jothiprakash, 2015. "Impacts of urbanization on flooding of a coastal urban catchment: a case study of Mumbai City, India," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 75(1), pages 887-908, January.
    2. Megersa Kebede Leta & Tamene Adugna Demissie & Jens Tränckner, 2021. "Modeling and Prediction of Land Use Land Cover Change Dynamics Based on Land Change Modeler (LCM) in Nashe Watershed, Upper Blue Nile Basin, Ethiopia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(7), pages 1-24, March.
    3. Boyu Feng & Ying Zhang & Robin Bourke, 2021. "Urbanization impacts on flood risks based on urban growth data and coupled flood models," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 106(1), pages 613-627, March.
    4. Praveen Lal C.S. & Sajini B. Nair, 2017. "Urbanization in Kerala—What Does the Census Data Reveal?," Indian Journal of Human Development, , vol. 11(3), pages 356-386, December.
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