IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jsusta/v14y2022i23p16128-d992023.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

PM2.5 Prediction Based on the CEEMDAN Algorithm and a Machine Learning Hybrid Model

Author

Listed:
  • Wenchao Ban

    (School of Ocean Engineering Equipment, Zhejiang Ocean University, Zhoushan 316000, China)

  • Liangduo Shen

    (School of Ocean Engineering Equipment, Zhejiang Ocean University, Zhoushan 316000, China)

Abstract

The current serious air pollution problem has become a closely investigated topic in people’s daily lives. If we want to provide a reasonable basis for haze prevention, then the prediction of PM2.5 concentrations becomes a crucial task. However, it is difficult to complete the task of PM2.5 concentration prediction using a single model; therefore, to address this problem, this paper proposes a fully adaptive noise ensemble empirical modal decomposition (CEEMDAN) algorithm combined with deep learning hybrid models. Firstly, the CEEMDAN algorithm was used to decompose the PM2.5 timeseries data into different modal components. Then long short-term memory (LSTM), a backpropagation (BP) neural network, a differential integrated moving average autoregressive model (ARIMA), and a support vector machine (SVM) were applied to each modal component. Lastly, the best prediction results of each component were superimposed and summed to obtain the final prediction results. The PM2.5 data of Hangzhou in recent years were substituted into the model for testing, which was compared with eight models, namely, LSTM, ARIMA, BP, SVM, CEEMDAN–ARIMA, CEEMDAN–LSTM, CEEMDAN–SVM, and CEEMDAN–BP. The results show that for the coupled CEEMDAN–LSTM–BP–ARIMA model, the prediction ability was better than all the other models, and the timeseries decomposition data of PM2.5 had their own characteristics. The data with different characteristics were predicted separately using appropriate models and the final combined model results obtained were the most satisfactory.

Suggested Citation

  • Wenchao Ban & Liangduo Shen, 2022. "PM2.5 Prediction Based on the CEEMDAN Algorithm and a Machine Learning Hybrid Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(23), pages 1-15, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:14:y:2022:i:23:p:16128-:d:992023
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/14/23/16128/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/14/23/16128/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Oluwafadekemi Aero & Adeyemi A. Ogundipe, 2018. "Fiscal Deficit and Economic Growth in Nigeria: Ascertaining a Feasible Threshold," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 8(3), pages 296-306.
    2. Kim, Tae-Young & Cho, Sung-Bae, 2019. "Predicting residential energy consumption using CNN-LSTM neural networks," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 182(C), pages 72-81.
    3. Shahid, Farah & Zameer, Aneela & Muneeb, Muhammad, 2020. "Predictions for COVID-19 with deep learning models of LSTM, GRU and Bi-LSTM," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    4. Yingrui Zhou & Taiyong Li & Jiayi Shi & Zijie Qian, 2019. "A CEEMDAN and XGBOOST-Based Approach to Forecast Crude Oil Prices," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2019, pages 1-15, February.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Jinyuan Liu & Shouxi Wang & Nan Wei & Yi Yang & Yihao Lv & Xu Wang & Fanhua Zeng, 2023. "An Enhancement Method Based on Long Short-Term Memory Neural Network for Short-Term Natural Gas Consumption Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(3), pages 1-14, January.
    2. Shengwen Zhou & Shunsheng Guo & Baigang Du & Shuo Huang & Jun Guo, 2022. "A Hybrid Framework for Multivariate Time Series Forecasting of Daily Urban Water Demand Using Attention-Based Convolutional Neural Network and Long Short-Term Memory Network," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(17), pages 1-22, September.
    3. Yulan Li & Kun Ma, 2022. "A Hybrid Model Based on Improved Transformer and Graph Convolutional Network for COVID-19 Forecasting," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(19), pages 1-17, September.
    4. Zhao, Xinxing & Li, Kainan & Ang, Candice Ke En & Cheong, Kang Hao, 2023. "A deep learning based hybrid architecture for weekly dengue incidences forecasting," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
    5. Masum, Mohammad & Masud, M.A. & Adnan, Muhaiminul Islam & Shahriar, Hossain & Kim, Sangil, 2022. "Comparative study of a mathematical epidemic model, statistical modeling, and deep learning for COVID-19 forecasting and management," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    6. Abubakar Ahmad Musa & Adamu Hussaini & Weixian Liao & Fan Liang & Wei Yu, 2023. "Deep Neural Networks for Spatial-Temporal Cyber-Physical Systems: A Survey," Future Internet, MDPI, vol. 15(6), pages 1-24, May.
    7. Lan, Puzhe & Han, Dong & Xu, Xiaoyuan & Yan, Zheng & Ren, Xijun & Xia, Shiwei, 2022. "Data-driven state estimation of integrated electric-gas energy system," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 252(C).
    8. Yu, Lean & Ma, Yueming & Ma, Mengyao, 2021. "An effective rolling decomposition-ensemble model for gasoline consumption forecasting," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    9. Ijaz Ul Haq & Amin Ullah & Samee Ullah Khan & Noman Khan & Mi Young Lee & Seungmin Rho & Sung Wook Baik, 2021. "Sequential Learning-Based Energy Consumption Prediction Model for Residential and Commercial Sectors," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(6), pages 1-17, March.
    10. Lu, Yakai & Tian, Zhe & Zhou, Ruoyu & Liu, Wenjing, 2021. "A general transfer learning-based framework for thermal load prediction in regional energy system," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 217(C).
    11. Sun, Hongchang & Niu, Yanlei & Li, Chengdong & Zhou, Changgeng & Zhai, Wenwen & Chen, Zhe & Wu, Hao & Niu, Lanqiang, 2022. "Energy consumption optimization of building air conditioning system via combining the parallel temporal convolutional neural network and adaptive opposition-learning chimp algorithm," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 259(C).
    12. Luo, X.J. & Oyedele, Lukumon O. & Ajayi, Anuoluwapo O. & Akinade, Olugbenga O. & Owolabi, Hakeem A. & Ahmed, Ashraf, 2020. "Feature extraction and genetic algorithm enhanced adaptive deep neural network for energy consumption prediction in buildings," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    13. Namrye Son, 2021. "Comparison of the Deep Learning Performance for Short-Term Power Load Forecasting," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(22), pages 1-25, November.
    14. Wu, Han & Liang, Yan & Heng, Jiani, 2023. "Pulse-diagnosis-inspired multi-feature extraction deep network for short-term electricity load forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 339(C).
    15. Zeng, Huibin & Shao, Bilin & Dai, Hongbin & Yan, Yichuan & Tian, Ning, 2023. "Prediction of fluctuation loads based on GARCH family-CatBoost-CNNLSTM," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 263(PE).
    16. Zizhen Cheng & Li Wang & Yumeng Yang, 2023. "A Hybrid Feature Pyramid CNN-LSTM Model with Seasonal Inflection Month Correction for Medium- and Long-Term Power Load Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(7), pages 1-18, March.
    17. Hyunsoo Kim & Jiseok Jeong & Changwan Kim, 2022. "Daily Peak-Electricity-Demand Forecasting Based on Residual Long Short-Term Network," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(23), pages 1-17, November.
    18. Li, Penghua & Zhang, Zijian & Grosu, Radu & Deng, Zhongwei & Hou, Jie & Rong, Yujun & Wu, Rui, 2022. "An end-to-end neural network framework for state-of-health estimation and remaining useful life prediction of electric vehicle lithium batteries," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    19. Mirza, Adeel Feroz & Mansoor, Majad & Usman, Muhammad & Ling, Qiang, 2023. "A comprehensive approach for PV wind forecasting by using a hyperparameter tuned GCVCNN-MRNN deep learning model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 283(C).
    20. Chung, Won Hee & Gu, Yeong Hyeon & Yoo, Seong Joon, 2022. "District heater load forecasting based on machine learning and parallel CNN-LSTM attention," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 246(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:14:y:2022:i:23:p:16128-:d:992023. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.