IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jsusta/v11y2019i22p6457-d287758.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The Impact of Lead Time Uncertainty on Supply Chain Performance Considering Carbon Cost

Author

Listed:
  • Zhuoqun Li

    (School of Transportation and Logistics, East China Jiao Tong University, Nanchang 330013, China)

  • Weiwei Fei

    (School of Transportation and Logistics, East China Jiao Tong University, Nanchang 330013, China)

  • Ermin Zhou

    (School of Transportation and Logistics, East China Jiao Tong University, Nanchang 330013, China)

  • Yuvraj Gajpal

    (Asper School of Business, University of Manitoba, Winipeg, MB R3T 5V4, Canada)

  • Xiding Chen

    (Department of Finance, Wenzhou Business College, Whenzhou 325035, China)

Abstract

In supply chain operation practices, lead time uncertainty is a common management issue. Uncertain lead time can lead to increased inventory costs and unstable service levels, which will directly affect the overall operation performance of the supply chain. While considering environmental performance in supply chain, it is important to understand how an uncertain lead time will affect sustainable performance. In this paper, we constructed a supply chain model with stochastic lead time and explored the relationship between uncertain lead time and supply chain performance. We considered carbon cost, inventory cost, and service level as a supply chain performance. System dynamics methodology was employed to observe and explore the dynamic change trend of the overall performance in the complicated supply chain model. This was done under both different levels of lead time standard deviation and different order policies. The results demonstrate how stochastic lead times can significantly increase inventory costs and carbon costs. Therefore, we propose appropriate ordering policies which mitigate the negative impacts of stochastic lead times.

Suggested Citation

  • Zhuoqun Li & Weiwei Fei & Ermin Zhou & Yuvraj Gajpal & Xiding Chen, 2019. "The Impact of Lead Time Uncertainty on Supply Chain Performance Considering Carbon Cost," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(22), pages 1-19, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:11:y:2019:i:22:p:6457-:d:287758
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/11/22/6457/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/11/22/6457/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ali Diabat & Jean-Philippe Richard, 2015. "An integrated supply chain problem: a nested lagrangian relaxation approach," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 229(1), pages 303-323, June.
    2. Zhou, Li & Naim, Mohamed M. & Disney, Stephen M., 2017. "The impact of product returns and remanufacturing uncertainties on the dynamic performance of a multi-echelon closed-loop supply chain," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 183(PB), pages 487-502.
    3. Hovelaque, Vincent & Bironneau, Laurent, 2015. "The carbon-constrained EOQ model with carbon emission dependent demand," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 285-291.
    4. Jingpu Song & Mingming Leng, 2012. "Analysis of the Single-Period Problem under Carbon Emissions Policies," International Series in Operations Research & Management Science, in: Tsan-Ming Choi (ed.), Handbook of Newsvendor Problems, edition 127, chapter 0, pages 297-313, Springer.
    5. Riccardo Giusti & Chiara Iorfida & Yuanyuan Li & Daniele Manerba & Stefano Musso & Guido Perboli & Roberto Tadei & Shuai Yuan, 2019. "Sustainable and De-Stressed International Supply-Chains Through the SYNCHRO-NET Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-26, February.
    6. Dejonckheere, J. & Disney, S. M. & Lambrecht, M. R. & Towill, D. R., 2003. "Measuring and avoiding the bullwhip effect: A control theoretic approach," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 147(3), pages 567-590, June.
    7. Lin, J. & Naim, M.M. & Purvis, L. & Gosling, J., 2017. "The extension and exploitation of the inventory and order based production control system archetype from 1982 to 2015," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 194(C), pages 135-152.
    8. Schiffer, Maximilian & Schneider, Michael & Laporte, Gilbert, 2018. "Designing sustainable mid-haul logistics networks with intra-route multi-resource facilities," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 265(2), pages 517-532.
    9. Chen Chao & Tian Zhihui & Yao Baozhen, 2019. "Optimization of two-stage location–routing–inventory problem with time-windows in food distribution network," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 273(1), pages 111-134, February.
    10. Spiegler, Virginia L.M. & Naim, Mohamed M., 2017. "Investigating sustained oscillations in nonlinear production and inventory control models," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 261(2), pages 572-583.
    11. Maher Agi & Rohit Nishant, 2017. "Understanding influential factors on implementing green supply chain management practices: An interpretive structural modelling analysis," Post-Print hal-02005891, HAL.
    12. Boute, Robert N. & Disney, Stephen M. & Lambrecht, Marc R. & Houdt, Benny Van, 2014. "Coordinating lead times and safety stocks under autocorrelated demand," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 232(1), pages 52-63.
    13. Lixia Li & Yu Yang & Gaoyuan Qin, 2019. "Optimization of Integrated Inventory Routing Problem for Cold Chain Logistics Considering Carbon Footprint and Carbon Regulations," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(17), pages 1-22, August.
    14. Chaharsooghi, S. Kamal & Heydari, Jafar, 2010. "LT variance or LT mean reduction in supply chain management: Which one has a higher impact on SC performance?," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(2), pages 475-481, April.
    15. Giusti, Riccardo & Manerba, Daniele & Bruno, Giorgio & Tadei, Roberto, 2019. "Synchromodal logistics: An overview of critical success factors, enabling technologies, and open research issues," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 129(C), pages 92-110.
    16. Seung Jae Park & Gérard P. Cachon & Guoming Lai & Sridhar Seshadri, 2015. "Supply Chain Design and Carbon Penalty: Monopoly vs. Monopolistic Competition," Production and Operations Management, Production and Operations Management Society, vol. 24(9), pages 1494-1508, September.
    17. Arıkan, Emel & Fichtinger, Johannes & Ries, Jörg M., 2014. "Impact of transportation lead-time variability on the economic and environmental performance of inventory systems," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 157(C), pages 279-288.
    18. Konur, Dinçer & Campbell, James F. & Monfared, Sepideh A., 2017. "Economic and environmental considerations in a stochastic inventory control model with order splitting under different delivery schedules among suppliers," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 46-65.
    19. Laura Macchion & Rosanna Fornasiero & Andrea Vinelli, 2017. "Supply chain configurations: a model to evaluate performance in customised productions," International Journal of Production Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(5), pages 1386-1399, March.
    20. Arikan, E. & Fichtinger, J. & Ries, J. M., 2014. "Impact of transportation lead-time variability on the economic and environmental performance of inventory systems," Publications of Darmstadt Technical University, Institute for Business Studies (BWL) 63386, Darmstadt Technical University, Department of Business Administration, Economics and Law, Institute for Business Studies (BWL).
    21. de Oliveira, Erick Meira & Cyrino Oliveira, Fernando Luiz, 2018. "Forecasting mid-long term electric energy consumption through bagging ARIMA and exponential smoothing methods," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 144(C), pages 776-788.
    22. Yi Zhao & Qingwan Xue & Xi Zhang, 2018. "Stochastic Empty Container Repositioning Problem with CO 2 Emission Considerations for an Intermodal Transportation System," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(11), pages 1-24, November.
    23. Robert N. Boute & Jan A. Van Mieghem, 2015. "Global Dual Sourcing and Order Smoothing: The Impact of Capacity and Lead Times," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 61(9), pages 2080-2099, September.
    24. Disney, Stephen M. & Maltz, Arnold & Wang, Xun & Warburton, Roger D.H., 2016. "Inventory management for stochastic lead times with order crossovers," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 248(2), pages 473-486.
    25. Diabat, Ali & Al-Salem, Mohammed, 2015. "An integrated supply chain problem with environmental considerations," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 330-338.
    26. Andreas Thorsen & Tao Yao, 2017. "Robust inventory control under demand and lead time uncertainty," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 257(1), pages 207-236, October.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Katherinne Salas-Navarro & Paula Serrano-Pájaro & Holman Ospina-Mateus & Ronald Zamora-Musa, 2022. "Inventory Models in a Sustainable Supply Chain: A Bibliometric Analysis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(10), pages 1-21, May.
    2. Inas Al Khatib & Suha Alasheh & Abdulrahim Shamayleh, 2024. "The Drivers of Complexity in Inventory Management Within the Healthcare Industry: A Systematic Review," International Journal of Service Science, Management, Engineering, and Technology (IJSSMET), IGI Global, vol. 15(1), pages 1-26, January.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Lin, Junyi & Huang, Hongfu & Li, Shanshan & Naim, Mohamed M., 2023. "On the dynamics of order pipeline inventory in a nonlinear order-up-to system," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 266(C).
    2. Nouira, Imen & Hammami, Ramzi & Frein, Yannick & Temponi, Cecilia, 2016. "Design of forward supply chains: Impact of a carbon emissions-sensitive demand," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 80-98.
    3. Konur, Dinçer & Campbell, James F. & Monfared, Sepideh A., 2017. "Economic and environmental considerations in a stochastic inventory control model with order splitting under different delivery schedules among suppliers," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 46-65.
    4. Lin, Junyi & Zhou, Li & Spiegler, Virginia L.M. & Naim, Mohamed M. & Syntetos, Aris, 2022. "Push or Pull? The impact of ordering policy choice on the dynamics of a hybrid closed-loop supply chain," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 300(1), pages 282-295.
    5. Svoboda, Josef & Minner, Stefan & Yao, Man, 2021. "Typology and literature review on multiple supplier inventory control models," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 293(1), pages 1-23.
    6. Lin, Junyi & Naim, Mohamed M. & Spiegler, Virginia L.M., 2020. "Delivery time dynamics in an assemble-to-order inventory and order based production control system," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 223(C).
    7. Ponte, Borja & Dominguez, Roberto & Cannella, Salvatore & Framinan, Jose M., 2022. "The implications of batching in the bullwhip effect and customer service of closed-loop supply chains," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 244(C).
    8. Ponte, Borja & Costas, José & Puche, Julio & Pino, Raúl & de la Fuente, David, 2018. "The value of lead time reduction and stabilization: A comparison between traditional and collaborative supply chains," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 165-185.
    9. Michna, Zbigniew & Disney, Stephen M. & Nielsen, Peter, 2020. "The impact of stochastic lead times on the bullwhip effect under correlated demand and moving average forecasts," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    10. Ben-Ammar, Oussama & Bettayeb, Belgacem & Dolgui, Alexandre, 2019. "Optimization of multi-period supply planning under stochastic lead times and a dynamic demand," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 218(C), pages 106-117.
    11. Ponte, Borja & Puche, Julio & Rosillo, Rafael & de la Fuente, David, 2020. "The effects of quantity discounts on supply chain performance: Looking through the Bullwhip lens," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    12. Ponte, Borja & Cannella, Salvatore & Dominguez, Roberto & Naim, Mohamed M. & Syntetos, Aris A., 2021. "Quality grading of returns and the dynamics of remanufacturing," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 236(C).
    13. Ponte, Borja & Framinan, Jose M. & Cannella, Salvatore & Dominguez, Roberto, 2020. "Quantifying the Bullwhip Effect in closed-loop supply chains: The interplay of information transparencies, return rates, and lead times," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 230(C).
    14. Dominguez, Roberto & Cannella, Salvatore & Barbosa-Póvoa, Ana P. & Framinan, Jose M., 2018. "OVAP: A strategy to implement partial information sharing among supply chain retailers," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 122-136.
    15. Wang, Minke & Wu, Jiang & Kafa, Nadine & Klibi, Walid, 2020. "Carbon emission-compliance green location-inventory problem with demand and carbon price uncertainties," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).
    16. Schaefer, Brian & Konur, Dinçer, 2015. "Economic and environmental considerations in a continuous review inventory control system with integrated transportation decisions," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 142-165.
    17. Chenglin Hu & Junsong Bian & Kin-Keung Lai, 2023. "Joint Optimal Production Planning in Supply Chains under Diverse Low-Carbon Policies," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(15), pages 1-22, August.
    18. Davis-Sramek, Beth & Robinson, Jessica L. & Darby, Jessica L. & Thomas, Rodney W., 2020. "Exploring the differential roles of environmental and social sustainability in carrier selection decisions," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 227(C).
    19. Ma, Yungao & Wang, Nengmin & He, Zhengwen & Lu, Jizhou & Liang, Huigang, 2015. "Analysis of the bullwhip effect in two parallel supply chains with interacting price-sensitive demands," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 243(3), pages 815-825.
    20. Juanjuan Qin & Liguo Ren & Liangjie Xia, 2017. "Carbon Emission Reduction and Pricing Strategies of Supply Chain under Various Demand Forecasting Scenarios," Asia-Pacific Journal of Operational Research (APJOR), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 34(01), pages 1-27, February.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:11:y:2019:i:22:p:6457-:d:287758. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.