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Trust and Distress Prediction in Modal Shift Potential of Long-Distance Road Freight in Containers: Modeling Approach in Transport Services for Sustainability

Author

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  • Elżbieta Szaruga

    (Department of Quantitative Methods, Faculty of Management and Economics of Services, University of Szczecin, 8 Cukrowa Street, Szczecin 71-004, Poland)

  • Elżbieta Skąpska

    (Division of Managerial Economics, Faculty of Management Engineering, Bialystok University of Technology, 45A Wiejska Street, Bialystok 15-351, Poland)

  • Elżbieta Załoga

    (Department of Transport Systems and Policy, Faculty of Management and Economics of Services, University of Szczecin, 8 Cukrowa Street, Szczecin 71-004, Poland)

  • Wiesław Matwiejczuk

    (Department of Production Management, Faculty of Management Engineering, Bialystok University of Technology, 45A Wiejska Street, Bialystok 15-351, Poland)

Abstract

Confidence in intermodal transport has not yet been defined. There are many different approaches to the concept of trust. However, the authors have integrated them with the paradigm shift in light of the challenges of sustainability. The objective of this article is to indicate the directions and criteria for that indicate the implementation of the paradigm shift, relative to the idea of sustainable transport. The auxiliary objective is to predict which countries in a given year will have the TRUST status, i.e., implement the paradigm shift, and which ones will not implement it (DISTRESS). The study used taxonometric techniques and built a model using General Discriminant Analysis. On these bases, the utility function was approximated, including the directions of implementation of the paradigm shift, depending on the scale of the environmental load of transport. Over the course of this research, an original and innovative econometric model was constructed, pointing to three variables which have the greatest impact on trust. Thanks to the cognitive value of the model, it is possible to identify individuals who deserve trust (i.e., it will implement the paradigm shift) with 93% probability. In the future, it is worth expanding the research by programing models for each country.

Suggested Citation

  • Elżbieta Szaruga & Elżbieta Skąpska & Elżbieta Załoga & Wiesław Matwiejczuk, 2018. "Trust and Distress Prediction in Modal Shift Potential of Long-Distance Road Freight in Containers: Modeling Approach in Transport Services for Sustainability," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(7), pages 1-19, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:10:y:2018:i:7:p:2370-:d:156856
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    Cited by:

    1. Artur Czech & Jerzy Lewczuk & Leonas Ustinovichius & Robertas Kontrimovičius, 2022. "Multi-Criteria Assessment of Transport Sustainability in Chosen European Union Countries: A Dynamic Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-22, July.
    2. Damian Bonk & Sylwia Kowalska, 2020. "Modal Choice Preferences in Inland Container Transport in Poland," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(Special 2), pages 99-109.
    3. Elżbieta Szaruga & Zuzanna Kłos-Adamkiewicz & Agnieszka Gozdek & Elżbieta Załoga, 2021. "Linkages between Energy Delivery and Economic Growth from the Point of View of Sustainable Development and Seaports," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-61, July.
    4. Ján Ližbetin, 2019. "Methodology for Determining the Location of Intermodal Transport Terminals for the Development of Sustainable Transport Systems: A Case Study from Slovakia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-17, February.
    5. Elżbieta Szaruga & Elżbieta Załoga, 2022. "Qualitative–Quantitative Warning Modeling of Energy Consumption Processes in Inland Waterway Freight Transport on River Sections for Environmental Management," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(13), pages 1-21, June.
    6. Elzbieta Szaruga & Elzbieta Zaloga, 2021. "Global Network Economy Society: Information Needs on the Ethical Framework and Trust in Transportation and Logistics Business among Users of the Google Search Engine," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(2B), pages 835-849.
    7. Helena Bulińska-Stangrecka & Anna Bagieńska, 2019. "HR Practices for Supporting Interpersonal Trust and Its Consequences for Team Collaboration and Innovation," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(16), pages 1-18, August.

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