IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jmathe/v12y2024i24p3918-d1542527.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Artificial Intelligence in the New Era of Decision-Making: A Case Study of the Euro Stoxx 50

Author

Listed:
  • Javier Parra-Domínguez

    (BISITE Research Group, University of Salamanca, 37007 Salamanca, Spain)

  • Laura Sanz-Martín

    (BISITE Research Group, University of Salamanca, 37007 Salamanca, Spain)

Abstract

This study evaluates machine learning models for stock market prediction in the European stock market EU50, with emphasis on the integration of key technical indicators. Advanced techniques, such as ANNs, CNNs and LSTMs, are applied to analyze a large EU50 dataset. Key indicators, such as the simple moving average (SMA), exponential moving average (EMA), moving average convergence/divergence (MACD), stochastic oscillator, relative strength index (RSI) and accumulation/distribution (A/D), were employed to improve the model’s responsiveness to market trends and momentum shifts. The results show that CNN models can effectively capture localized price patterns, while LSTM models excel in identifying long-term dependencies, which is beneficial for understanding market volatility. ANN models provide reliable benchmark predictions. Among the models, CNN with RSI obtained the best results, with an RMSE of 0.0263, an MAE of 0.0186 and an R 2 of 0.9825, demonstrating high accuracy in price prediction. The integration of indicators such as SMA and EMA improves trend detection, while MACD and RSI increase the sensitivity to momentum, which is essential for identifying buy and sell signals. This research demonstrates the potential of machine learning models for refined stock prediction and informs data-driven investment strategies, with CNN and LSTM models being particularly well suited for dynamic price prediction.

Suggested Citation

  • Javier Parra-Domínguez & Laura Sanz-Martín, 2024. "Artificial Intelligence in the New Era of Decision-Making: A Case Study of the Euro Stoxx 50," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 12(24), pages 1-15, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jmathe:v:12:y:2024:i:24:p:3918-:d:1542527
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/12/24/3918/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/12/24/3918/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jmathe:v:12:y:2024:i:24:p:3918-:d:1542527. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.